Stats Recap: In Which the People Who Led the Dallas Stars Are Not Who You Think
The Fak 'Em line got both huge goals for the Stars, but it was some other players who had the best nights when it came to creating chances.
Remember when we said that on paper, this was a coin flip of a series? Well the Dallas Stars came up heads on Friday night as they opened the second round against the St. Louis Blues with a 2-1 victory at the American Airlines Center.
Despite the low score total, this was a Stars-style game with a whole bunch of shots attempts and dangerous scoring chances. That is reflected in the team statistics, pulled from the fine folks at War on Ice.
Team | All Sit CF | All Sit CF% | All Sit SCF | All Sit HSCF | 5v5 CF | 5v5 CF% | 5v5 SCF | 5v5 HSCF |
Dallas Stars | 72 | 51.4 | 39 | 20 | 62 | 52.1 | 34 | 18 |
St. Louis Blues | 68 | 48.6 | 30 | 13 | 57 | 47.9 | 24 | 11 |
That's pretty darn even, both at even strength and with all special teams considered. Both teams had ebbs and flows (and the Stars were definitely the aggressor early), and where the Stars really set themselves apart was their ability to find dangerous shots rather than simply outside shots. Even in the third, when the Blues pressed for the tying goal, the Stars out-chanced them 13-8 and only lost the high-danger chance battle 5-4.
(It is worth noting here that the Blues lone goal came on a low-danger, outside shot. Sometimes hockey is gonna hockey.)
Where it really gets interesting for me is the individual statistics, all tallied from hockeystats.ca. The narrative of what lines played well and what lines struggled is based on the only line that actually produced offense, but it doesn't match up with the lines that were creating the most chances.
Player | All Sit CF | All Sit CA | All Sit CF% | All Sit Zone Start | 5v5 CF | 5v5 CA | 5v5 CF% | 5v5 Zone Start |
Kris Russell | 16 | 29 | 35.56 | 33.33 | 14 | 23 | 37.84 | 33.33 |
John Klingberg | 36 | 18 | 66.67 | 50 | 16 | 12 | 63.64 | 35.71 |
Jason Demers | 20 | 28 | 41.67 | 33.33 | 18 | 22 | 45 | 33.33 |
Patrick Sharp | 24 | 13 | 64.86 | 61.54 | 16 | 13 | 55.17 | 50 |
Radek Faksa | 14 | 23 | 37.84 | 33.33 | 14 | 19 | 42.42 | 40 |
Mattias Janmark | 16 | 10 | 61.54 | 66.67 | 16 | 10 | 61.54 | 66.67 |
Jamie Benn | 29 | 18 | 61.7 | 52.94 | 21 | 15 | 58.33 | 38.46 |
Patrick Eaves | 21 | 3 | 87.5 | 72.73 | 13 | 3 | 81.25 | 57.14 |
Cody Eakin | 16 | 17 | 48.48 | 38.46 | 14 | 13 | 51.85 | 38.46 |
Antoine Roussel | 15 | 21 | 41.67 | 36.36 | 14 | 17 | 45.16 | 44.44 |
Colton Sceviour | 18 | 21 | 46.15 | 80 | 17 | 17 | 50 | 80 |
Travis Moen | 13 | 16 | 44.83 | 66.67 | 13 | 16 | 44.83 | 66.67 |
Stephen Johns | 17 | 22 | 43.59 | 81.82 | 17 | 22 | 43.59 | 81.82 |
Alex Goligoski | 26 | 19 | 57.78 | 35.29 | 26 | 14 | 65 | 35.71 |
Vernon Fiddler | 12 | 17 | 41.38 | 66.67 | 12 | 14 | 46.15 | 66.67 |
Johnny Oduya | 21 | 20 | 51.22 | 60 | 21 | 17 | 55.26 | 69.23 |
Ales Hemsky | 16 | 26 | 38.1 | 36.36 | 14 | 23 | 37.84 | 36.36 |
Jason Spezza | 30 | 11 | 73.17 | 71.43 | 22 | 11 | 66.67 | 60 |
All hail Jason Spezza, our shot-creating overlord. And please don't be broken for long this time, Patrick Eaves.
On a more serious note, this does illustrate an interesting difference in the eye test and possession metrics and perhaps the value of using large-sample-size metrics like shot attempts in any individual game. Still, it's very interesting that the Antoine Roussel - Radek Faksa - Ales Hemsky line struggled to create shots but had the only two that really mattered. Make of that what you will.
The Stars are also continuing to shelter the heck out of Stephen Johns, and his possession metrics indicate that's the right call at this point. John Klingberg and Alex Goligoski, meanwhile, had no problems doing what they do, at least for one game.
The Blues lineup also featured some notable possession variation from some of their big guns.
Player | All Sit CF | All Sit CA | All Sit CF% | All Sit Zone Start | 5v5 CF | 5v5 CA | 5v5 CF% | 5v5 Zone Start |
Carl Gunnarsson | 17 | 19 | 47.22 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 48.48 | 22.22 |
Joel Edmundson | 15 | 17 | 46.88 | 40 | 15 | 17 | 46.88 | 40 |
Steve Ott | 10 | 14 | 41.67 | 20 | 10 | 14 | 41.67 | 20 |
Scottie Upshall | 13 | 18 | 41.94 | 16.67 | 12 | 16 | 42.86 | 16.67 |
Jori Lehtera | 19 | 17 | 5278 | 85.71 | 19 | 16 | 54.29 | 83.33 |
Robby Fabbri | 19 | 12 | 61.29 | 54.55 | 14 | 12 | 53.85 | 54.44 |
Jaden Schwartz | 22 | 117 | 56.41 | 78.57 | 17 | 17 | 50 | 75 |
Jay Bouwmeester | 22 | 17 | 56.41 | 78.57 | 22 | 23 | 48.89 | 58.82 |
Alexander Steen | 20 | 21 | 48.78 | 46.15 | 15 | 20 | 42.86 | 50 |
Patrik Berglund | 14 | 21 | 40 | 20 | 14 | 17 | 45.16 | 20 |
Kevin Shattenkirk | 22 | 26 | 45.83 | 72.73 | 20 | 25 | 44.44 | 66.67 |
Paul Stastny | 19 | 13 | 59.38 | 50 | 12 | 11 | 52.17 | 56.25 |
Alex Pietrangelo | 30 | 33 | 47.62 | 50 | 22 | 25 | 46.81 | 58.82 |
Kyle Brodziak | 13 | 19 | 40.62 | 14.29 | 12 | 17 | 41.38 | 14.29 |
Troy Brouwer | 18 | 11 | 62.07 | 42.86 | 13 | 9 | 59.09 | 50 |
David Backes | 14 | 25 | 35.9 | 50 | 12 | 20 | 37.5 | 57.14 |
Colton Parayko | 25 | 18 | 58.14 | 33.33 | 19 | 17 | 52.78 | 36.36 |
Vladimir Tarasenko | 23 | 18 | 56.1 | 84.62 | 21 | 17 | 55.26 | 81.82 |
I just don't get the feeling David Backes enjoys playing against Jamie Benn. Maybe it's the whole USA-Canada thing. Maybe it's that Benn has a radar that seems to pick up exactly when Backes has lost defensive awareness of his position. Whatever it is, he continues to struggle against Dallas.
Kevin Shattenkirk (again, a goal scorer - go figure) and Alex Pietrangelo also didn't have anything to write home about despite very favorable zone starts. And Blues coach Ken Hitchcock continues his strategy of sending Tarasenko out almost exclusively in offensively-favorable situations.