Turning 30 can be stressful regardless of your profession, but for hockey players—and especially forwards—that milestone birthday can signal a significant decline in production. Previous studies by Gabriel Desjardins (2010) and Eric Tulsky (2014) found that per-game scoring rates are at their highest around age 25, then begin dipping around 30, but TSN's Travis Yost takes a look at what happens to a player's other metrics.
It led me to wonder if other metrics regressed in similar fashion. We know forwards score less (per 60) as they age, but are they generally less threatening, too? Do their shot attempt totals and scoring chance totals drop off in similar fashion, or is there more to this story than what Desjardins and Tulsky originally found?
When Yost examined shot attempt totals and scoring change totals for players 18-38 at even-strength, he found a decline that mirrored the original studies. He offered up this reason why:
At the very least, we can reasonably conclude that a big reason why forward scoring drops off as a player ages through the league is because they simply are less threatening in the offensive zone. We see this start to manifest as a player approaches the age of 30. By the time he's blown past the 30-year hill, his numbers are far more likely than not to take a considerable slide.
There's more on age—plus a helpful chart—at the link. [TSN]
Texas Stars expert and beat writer Sean Shapiro did an AMA on Reddit yesterday. It's full of insight on everything from coach Derek Laxdal to Devin Shore. [Reddit]
If you missed Tyler Seguin's weekly guest spot on the Ticket on Wednesday, the audio is now available for your listening pleasure. [The Ticket]
Speaking of that Seguin guy, the woulda, coulda, shoulda surrounding his departure from Boston continues.
Cam Neely: ‘We Probably Could Have Done Some Things Differently With Tyler Seguin' " CBS Boston https://t.co/pQhXaoIGMy— Jimmy Murphy (@MurphysLaw74) November 5, 2015
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The Stars are holding steady in the No. 2 spot in the new, goalie-themed edition of Sportsnet's Power Rankings. [Sportsnet]
From "mastodonic" to "The Dainty Barbarian," brush up on your favorite Razorisms, courtesy of The Hockey Writers' Jordan Dix. [THW]
Team Canada went ahead and made it official.
There's no one else in the league who's quite like Big Buff. [TSN]
Zach Parise left last night's Minnesota/Nashville game with a lower-body injury after a hit from James Neal. [SB Nation]