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Dallas Stars October in Review: Hockeymetrics (Part 2)

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Friday, I posted part 1 of the Hockeymetric Series on where the Stars stand against the rest of the league in 5-on-4 and 4-on-5 TOI at the end of October. Today, we'll take a look at where they stand in various Goals For and Goals Against metrics.

For the purposes of this exercise, I'll be sorting the tables by GF/60 and GA/60. As I mentioned in my last Hockeymetrics post, I think GF/60 and GA/60 metrics do a better job of measuring a power play and penalty kill's effectiveness than the current method of just taking Goals For and Goals Against and dividing them by the number of power play or penalty killing opportunities.

Statistics After the Jump:

First, we'll look at the GF/60 stats for 5-on-5 play, which also include Shots For/60 and Shots Against/60. The column +-per60 is simply a Goal Differential (GF/60 - GA/60)

TEAM TOI GF GA GF/60 SF/60 SPCT GA/60 SA/60 SPCT +-per60
WSH 627.6 36 24 3.4 28.8 880 2.3 31.5 927 1.1
DAL 657.8 34 26 3.1 27.5 887 2.4 28.0 915 0.7
CGY 576.4 30 27 3.1 25.0 875 2.8 28.9 903 0.3
PIT 623.3 30 20 2.9 32.2 910 1.9 26.1 926 1.0
ATL 459.6 22 20 2.9 26.5 892 2.6 34.3 924 0.3
S.J 683.5 33 25 2.9 31.2 907 2.2 27.9 921 0.7
PHI 534.3 25 23 2.8 32.1 913 2.6 28.5 909 0.2
L.A 686.3 32 24 2.8 27.0 896 2.1 24.8 915 0.7
NYR 688.2 32 28 2.8 28.0 900 2.4 30.3 919 0.3
BUF 489.2 23 13 2.8 36.6 923 1.6 28.7 944 1.2
CBJ 576.1 26 30 2.7 28.6 905 3.1 28.7 891 -0.4
CHI 601.5 27 20 2.7 35.3 924 2.0 19.8 899 0.7
OTT 550.7 25 28 2.7 31.8 914 3.1 25.2 879 -0.3
T.B 534.8 23 24 2.6 26.9 904 2.7 29.5 909 -0.1
DET 558.6 24 27 2.6 32.1 920 2.9 27.4 894 -0.3
EDM 703.6 31 32 2.6 24.0 890 2.7 34.4 921 -0.1
COL 680.9 28 23 2.5 24.9 901 2.0 31.0 935 0.4
BOS 620.0 24 21 2.3 28.5 918 2.0 27.2 925 0.3
FLA 551.5 21 28 2.3 26.8 915 3.0 35.6 914 -0.8
STL 550.5 21 21 2.3 27.0 915 2.3 30.3 924 0.0
ANA 541.3 21 21 2.3 26.7 913 2.3 34.9 933 0.0
MTL 650.7 23 28 2.1 26.5 920 2.6 28.8 910 -0.5
NYI 648.2 23 28 2.1 29.0 927 2.6 30.6 915 -0.5
N.J 565.8 20 19 2.1 29.7 929 2.0 26.5 924 0.1
VAN 688.1 23 26 2.0 31.4 936 2.3 26.9 916 -0.3
PHX 643.5 19 17 1.8 28.7 938 1.6 25.2 937 0.2
CAR 552.6 17 33 1.8 30.5 940 3.6 28.2 873 -1.7
TOR 548.5 15 29 1.6 31.8 948 3.2 27.5 884 -1.5
NSH 620.1 17 24 1.6 24.9 934 2.3 29.8 922 -0.7

 

Second to the high scoring Caps in 5-on-5 GF/60? Yeah, you can't really complain about that. For comparison sake, the Stars ended last season with a 2.6 GF/60 rating and a 2.7 GA/60 at 5-on-5 for a differential of -0.1. Behindthenet shows it at -0.2, but I imagine that's due to rounding.

So essentially, they've turned a -0.2 goal differential into a +0.7. You certainly can't complain about that.

Next, we'll take a look at GA/60. This list is sorted from the highest GA/60 to the least. The Stars come in with the 14th fewest GA/60 in the NHL.

TEAM TOI GF GA GF/60 SF/60 SPCT GA/60 SA/60 SPCT +-per60
CAR 552.6 17 33 1.8 30.5 940 3.6 28.2 873 -1.7
TOR 548.5 15 29 1.6 31.8 948 3.2 27.5 884 -1.5
OTT 550.7 25 28 2.7 31.8 914 3.1 25.2 879 -0.3
CBJ 576.1 26 30 2.7 28.6 905 3.1 28.7 891 -0.4
MIN 633.1 16 32 1.5 26.3 942 3.0 28.5 894 -1.5
FLA 551.5 21 28 2.3 26.8 915 3.0 35.6 914 -0.8
DET 558.6 24 27 2.6 32.1 920 2.9 27.4 894 -0.3
CGY 576.4 30 27 3.1 25.0 875 2.8 28.9 903 0.3
EDM 703.6 31 32 2.6 24.0 890 2.7 34.4 921 -0.1
T.B 534.8 23 24 2.6 26.9 904 2.7 29.5 909 -0.1
PHI 534.3 25 23 2.8 32.1 913 2.6 28.5 909 0.2
NYI 648.2 23 28 2.1 29.0 927 2.6 30.6 915 -0.5
MTL 650.7 23 28 2.1 26.5 920 2.6 28.8 910 -0.5
ATL 459.6 22 20 2.9 26.5 892 2.6 34.3 924 0.3
NYR 688.2 32 28 2.8 28.0 900 2.4 30.3 919 0.3
DAL 657.8 34 26 3.1 27.5 887 2.4 28.0 915 0.7
VAN 688.1 23 26 2.0 31.4 936 2.3 26.9 916 -0.3
WSH 627.6 36 24 3.4 28.8 880 2.3 31.5 927 1.1
NSH 620.1 17 24 1.6 24.9 934 2.3 29.8 922 -0.7
ANA 541.3 21 21 2.3 26.7 913 2.3 34.9 933 0.0
STL 550.5 21 21 2.3 27.0 915 2.3 30.3 924 0.0
S.J 683.5 33 25 2.9 31.2 907 2.2 27.9 921 0.7
L.A 686.3 32 24 2.8 27.0 896 2.1 24.8 915 0.7
BOS 620.0 24 21 2.3 28.5 918 2.0 27.2 925 0.3
CHI 601.5 27 20 2.7 35.3 924 2.0 19.8 899 0.7
N.J 565.8 20 19 2.1 29.7 929 2.0 26.5 924 0.1
COL 680.9 28 23 2.5 24.9 901 2.0 31.0 935 0.4
PIT 623.3 30 20 2.9 32.2 910 1.9 26.1 926 1.0
BUF 489.2 23 13 2.8 36.6 923 1.6 28.7 944 1.2
PHX 643.5 19 17 1.8 28.7 938 1.6 25.2 937 0.2

 

Again, last year, the Stars had a GA/60 of 2.7 during 5-on-5 play versus their current 2.4 GA/60 during 5-on-5 play. From a league-wide perspective, Detroit had a GA/60 of 2.5 during 5-on-5 play last season. This year, they've checked in with a 2.9.

Next, we'll look at the GF/60 during 5-on-4 power play time.

TEAM TOI GF GA GF/60 SF/60 SPCT GA/60 SA/60 SPCT +-per60
CGY 51.8 10 0 11.6 48.6 762 0.0 6.9 1000 11.6
ATL 56.5 10 0 10.6 46.7 773 0.0 6.4 1000 10.6
PHI 87.8 15 2 10.3 60.2 830 1.4 12.3 889 8.9
S.J 97.3 16 1 9.9 45.0 781 0.6 8.0 923 9.2
PHX 89.2 14 0 9.4 45.8 794 0.0 8.1 1000 9.4
VAN 96.4 15 2 9.3 55.4 831 1.2 6.8 818 8.1
DET 88.3 12 0 8.2 59.8 864 0.0 6.1 1000 8.2
NYR 80.9 11 1 8.2 51.2 841 0.7 7.4 900 7.4
WSH 96.5 13 2 8.1 66.6 879 1.2 12.4 900 6.8
EDM 84.0 11 2 7.9 42.9 817 1.4 6.4 778 6.4
ANA 63.1 8 2 7.6 65.6 884 1.9 10.5 818 5.7
CHI 70.7 9 1 7.6 41.6 816 0.8 5.9 857 6.8
L.A 96.8 12 2 7.4 47.1 842 1.2 13.0 905 6.2
PIT 90.0 11 0 7.3 54.0 864 0.0 8.0 1000 7.3
TOR 67.7 8 0 7.1 47.9 852 0.0 8.0 1000 7.1
MIN 96.2 11 3 6.9 48.6 859 1.9 8.1 769 5.0
CBJ 86.7 10 1 6.9 50.5 863 0.7 12.5 944 6.2
COL 92.1 10 1 6.5 44.9 855 0.7 9.1 929 5.9
N.J 65.9 7 1 6.4 45.5 860 0.9 10.9 917 5.5
NYI 84.3 9 0 6.4 56.3 886 0.0 10.7 1000 6.4
CAR 97.3 9 0 5.6 43.8 873 0.0 4.3 1000 5.6
DAL 90.7 8 0 5.3 64.2 918 0.0 8.6 1000 5.3
BUF 82.1 7 2 5.1 49.7 897 1.5 15.3 905 3.7
STL 71.8 6 1 5.0 47.6 895 0.8 5.8 857 4.2
T.B 83.8 7 3 5.0 49.4 899 2.1 15.0 857 2.9
MTL 80.3 6 1 4.5 53.1 915 0.7 8.2 909 3.7
BOS 80.2 6 3 4.5 47.1 905 2.2 15.7 857 2.2
FLA 80.5 6 2 4.5 46.2 903 1.5 15.6 905 3.0
NSH 77.1 4 1 3.1 67.0 953 0.8 3.9 800 2.3
OTT 63.7 3 1 2.8 43.3 935 0.9 6.6 857 1.9

 

Obviously, as well as the Stars have played on 5-on-5 this year, they've struggled a bit with the power play with the 22nd highest GF/60 rating in the NHL during 5-on-4 play of 5.3. Last season, the Stars had a 5.1 rating, good for 27th highest in the NHL.

Finally, a look at the 4-on-5 GA/60. As you can probably guess, these numbers won't be pretty.

TEAM TOI GF GA GF/60 SF/60 SPCT GA/60 SA/60 SPCT +-per60
FLA 64.8 2 13 1.9 10.2 818 12.0 53.7 776 -10.2
DET 59.8 1 11 1.0 10.0 900 11.0 61.2 820 -10.0
TOR 75.3 1 13 0.8 11.2 929 10.4 53.4 806 -9.6
DAL 71.3 1 12 0.8 5.1 833 10.1 49.7 797 -9.3
ANA 85.0 2 13 1.4 9.2 846 9.2 47.3 806 -7.8
L.A 94.0 0 14 0.0 7.7 1000 8.9 47.9 813 -8.9
NSH 61.2 2 9 2.0 12.7 846 8.8 50.0 824 -6.9
VAN 89.0 0 13 0.0 4.0 1000 8.8 50.6 827 -8.8
MTL 85.4 1 12 0.7 13.3 947 8.4 47.1 821 -7.7
BUF 58.0 0 8 0.0 7.2 1000 8.3 50.7 837 -8.3
T.B 79.2 0 11 0.0 8.3 1000 8.3 52.3 841 -8.3
CBJ 81.7 2 11 1.5 10.3 857 8.1 58.7 863 -6.6
BOS 70.6 0 9 0.0 6.8 1000 7.7 57.8 868 -7.7
WSH 98.4 0 12 0.0 10.4 1000 7.3 45.1 838 -7.3
N.J 67.9 1 8 0.9 10.6 917 7.1 52.1 864 -6.2
EDM 85.8 0 10 0.0 4.2 1000 7.0 53.9 870 -7.0
STL 81.0 2 9 1.5 11.1 867 6.7 45.9 855 -5.2
NYI 88.8 2 9 1.4 10.8 875 6.1 57.5 894 -4.7
CGY 69.2 2 7 1.7 10.4 833 6.1 52.0 883 -4.3
PHX 83.2 1 8 0.7 10.8 933 5.8 57.0 899 -5.0
CAR 104.0 1 10 0.6 14.4 960 5.8 54.8 895 -5.2
PHI 73.4 0 7 0.0 9.8 1000 5.7 41.7 863 -5.7
ATL 65.5 2 6 1.8 8.3 778 5.5 44.0 875 -3.7
S.J 91.8 1 8 0.7 5.9 889 5.2 53.0 901 -4.6
PIT 97.1 2 8 1.2 13.0 905 4.9 38.9 873 -3.7
NYR 104.5 2 8 1.1 9.8 882 4.6 44.2 896 -3.4
COL 108.1 2 8 1.1 5.0 778 4.4 61.6 928 -3.3
CHI 85.4 1 6 0.7 8.4 917 4.2 52.7 920 -3.5
MIN 87.6 0 6 0.0 5.5 1000 4.1 47.3 913 -4.1
OTT 82.8 4 5 2.9 15.2 810 3.6 60.9 940 -0.7

 

Now those statistics speaking for themselves, look who has the 2nd highest GA/60 rating for 5-on-4 play? That's right, the Red Wings.

Last season, the Stars checked in with a 7.1 GA/60 mark in 4-on-5 shorthanded situations.

Overall Analysis

These stats pretty much confirm what we've already learned by watching the team play and comparing their point totals from October 2008 to October 2009. The team has improved in many areas.

Still, it's not hard to see there's problem spots in the special teams. Some areas, such as the penalty killing, you'd like to believe they'll able to get sorted out because it's been a calling card of this team for a long time, no matter whose been the coach.

The power play, however, is going to a little hit or miss, primarily because of the absence of a puck moving defenseman.