For Lindy, A Statistical Recap of Minnesota at Dallas

Tom Pennington

The Stars beat the Wild 4-0. This is the statistical story of that win.

The sky has stopped falling temporarily. The Dallas Stars knocked off the Minnesota Wild handily tonight by a score of 4-0. By any measure the Stars were dominant. They returned to their strengths by pushing the tempo. You remember the saying about how the best defense is a good offense? The Stars proved that at least for a night during their blitz of the Wild.

Fenwick_chart_for_2014-01-21_wild_0_at_stars_4_medium

The game was never really close. The Stars were dominant at even strength. The Stars looked wonderful on the powerplay. The only time this game was close on the shot chart was when both teams had zero attempts on net. From that point on the Stars laid it on thick, eventually ending up with plus 12 attempts at net more than the Wild at even strength despite the Wild trying to open things up to get back in the game.

The scoring chances tell an even more dominating story.

In these posts you will also find the scoring chance tally from each game. These are tallied by hand, spit through an Excel spreadsheet, and sorted to show who was on the ice for each scoring chance for and against. The scoring chances for the game are tallied according the the standards used here in the past. The area where chances are recorded is the area directly in front of the net extending to the top of the face off circles. The justification for why chances are tracked can be found here if you are so inclined. Essentially any shot directed towards the net from this area is a scoring chance.

Scoring_area_medium_medium

The Scoring Area

The definitions for the cumulative table can be found in the blockquoted text below:

CF, CA, and CF% are Corsi For, Corsi Against, and Corsi For Percentage. The next statistics follow the same pattern. F is Fenwick, S is shots, and ESSC is even strength scoring chances.

The Stars generated 12 chances at even strength while only allowing four. The Stars consistently threw puck on the net on the powerplay where they generated an additional seven chances.

Team CF CA CF% FF FA FF% SF SA SF% ESSCF ESSCA ESSC%
Dallas Stars 42 30 58.30% 30 22 57.70% 22 12 64.70% 12 4 75
Minnesota Wild 30 42 41.70% 22 30 42.30% 12 22 35.30% 4 12 25

The Corsi totals for some individuals Stars look rather pedestrian tonight, but the scoring chance totals show a more accurate picture of what happened. The reunited Jamie Benn and Tyler Seguin line was dominant in their ability to generate chances.

Name CF CA C% EVSCF EVSCA Diff
BRENDEN DILLON 18 16 2 6 4 2
TREVOR DALEY 12 11 1 3 0 3
SHAWN HORCOFF (A) 9 5 4 4 1 3
ALEX CHIASSON 5 3 2 6 1 5
RAY WHITNEY (A) 11 7 4 5 1 4
JAMIE BENN (C) 11 14 -3 8 1 7
RYAN GARBUTT 12 11 1 2 1 1
RICH PEVERLEY 10 6 4 5 2 3
CODY EAKIN 9 8 1 2 1 1
ANTOINE ROUSSEL 13 8 5 2 1 1
JORDIE BENN 17 12 5 6 2 4
AARON ROME 12 8 4 3 2 1
ALEX GOLIGOSKI 11 11 0 8 0 8
VERNON FIDDLER 16 7 9 6 2 4
VALERI NICHUSHKIN 12 13 -1 2 1 1
SERGEI GONCHAR 16 10 6 6 2 4
ERIK COLE 11 7 4 9 1 8
TYLER SEGUIN 10 13 -3 7 0 7

Benn and Seguin were both plus seven. Erik Cole and Alex Goligoski were both plus eight. Every member of the Stars lineup was at least plus one in scoring chance differential. The Stars got a full team effort on a night when they desperately needed it.

This is how the Stars are capable of playing. When they attack they can be a very good team. When they worry about making mistakes and play conservatively they aren't a good team. They are going to give up some goals, but at this stage who cares?

The only thing anyone will worry about when the story of this season is written is if the Stars scored more than they allowed. The Stars can worry about improving the blueline in the offseason or, perhaps, at the trade deadline. Other than that this team needs to continue to focus on their strengths to be successful. They showed what they can do tonight. A few more efforts like this and the Stars are right back in the playoff hunt.

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