## Fantasy Hockey Dilemma

Ok, so this is my first year at trying out this fantasy hockey thing. I have been having a blast with it so far and my team is still doing will. Win, lose or draw for the season, I am definitely glad I got myself into one of these little pools.

At any rate...I came upon an interesting conundrum whilst picking my match-ups for tonight's games. I have (3) goalies on my roster: Quick, Rinne and Elliot. It turns out all three goalies play tonight and (2) of them (Rinne and Elliot) play against one another. Since you can only start (2) goalies at a time (if you have 3 on your team) I figured there was some math that needed figuring to decide on which (2) goalies I should start tonight.

Our pool sets up W=4pts, GA= -.25, SO=3pts

After all the math was calculated I learned a couple of interesting facts:

1. If you pick both goalies who play against one another, you will not get a negative number (pending one goalie gets the W) even if the losing goalie gives up 6-7 goals.

2. If you pick two goalies who do not play against each other, the range is significantly larger and negative numbers are a definite possibility.

The ranges of both possibilities (Head to Head vs Different Games):

H2H: + 1.25 - + 6.75

Diff: -3.00 - + 14.00

The % of getting a value over +0:

H2H: 100%

Diff: 72%

The % of getting a value over +4:

H2H: 29%

Diff: 45%

So...moral of the story...if you are in the beginning of the week and looking for most potential points and have the ability to make up ground if you get a negative value, go for glory.

If you have a slim lead and looking to hedge your bet, head to head is a great luxury for you.

This is a user-created FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Defending Big D. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable hockey and Dallas Stars fans.

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