FanPost

Mock Standings with Proposed Realignment

I remember seeing talk about how it creates an unfair advantage for teams in strong divisions and whatnot and I wanted to take a journey down the road to see what the affect would be. I have put together a table of what the extrapolated standings would be based on this years winning percentages. Also, I should probably say that I'm a huge fan of this realignment and the excitement it would bring, so I'm using this data to support that argument. Feel free to point out the trends you see that would be negative, though.

This first table is a table of the schedule for our new conference. The last row is the the number of games a team has against all the teams in the new conference. For out of conference games it should be 16 and for interconference games it should be 38 (for our Conference) The bottom row is total games for each team in the Conference. Obviously, this should be 82.

CHICLSDALDETMINNSHSTLWPGTotals
ANH 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
BOS 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
BUF 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
CAR 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
CGY 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
CHI 0 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 38
CLS 5 0 5 5 5 6 6 6 38
COL 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
DAL 5 5 0 5 6 6 6 5 38
DET 5 5 5 0 6 5 6 6 38
EDM 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
FLA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
LA 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
MIN 6 5 6 6 0 5 5 5 38
MON 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
NJ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
NSH 6 6 6 5 5 0 5 5 38
NYI 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
NYR 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
OTT 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
PHI 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
PHO 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
PIT 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
SJ 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
STL 5 6 6 6 5 5 0 5 38
TB 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
TOR 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
VAN 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
WAS 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 16
WPG 6 6 5 6 5 5 5 0 38
Totals 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82

After generating a schedule, I then had to figure out what the win percentages were for each team in the Conference. After I got that, I extrapolated that number to the new schedule. I'm going to post on table per team, but you should get the idea.

This is where some guess work came in. In all cases I tried to carry over OTL's, but there were some cases where for example a team would be 4-0-1 against a team this year but only play them twice in the new schedule. I think in most of those cases i made them be 2-0-0 against the team. Also, for WPG was a special case. Since they are in the east they've pretty much only played one game against their new conference mates. They've shown to be a strong home team,s o I tried to take that into account in most cases. As an example Dallas is 0-1-0 against them this year which would put them at 0-5-0, which i feel is unrealistic so I changed it to 1-3-1 and WPG to 3-1-1. This last point also demonstrates one other assumption I've made. If a team in a head to head matchup has an OTL the corresponding team also has an OTL in it. So if there is a 4-2-1 head to head, the corresponding head to head is 2-4-1. I know this isn't super realistic but it seems to be statistically sound.

So given, that here are the charts for the individual teams...

Team = The Team of Record

Versus = Who the Played

W = Wins this year

L = Losses this year

OTL = Overtime Losses this year

W% = Win Percentage This year

GA = Games Against in the new schedule

New W = Wins in the new schedule

New L = Losses in the new schedule

New OTL = Overtime Losses in the new schedule

SUM = SUM of New W, New L and New OTL

EVAL = YES if SUM = GA and NO if SUM doesn't equal GA.

(I used the last two columns for checking and error correction)

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
CHI ANH 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CHI BOS 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CHI BUF 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI CAR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CHI CGY 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CHI CLS 6 0 0 1 5 5 0 0 5 YES
CHI COL 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CHI DAL 2 2 0 0.5 5 2 3 0 5 YES
CHI DET 3 0 2 1 5 3 0 2 5 YES
CHI EDM 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CHI FLA 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI LA 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CHI MIN 2 0 0 1 6 6 0 0 6 YES
CHI MON 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI NJ 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CHI NSH 1 3 0 0.25 6 1 5 0 6 YES
CHI NYI 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI NYR 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI OTT 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI PHI 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CHI PHO 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CHI PIT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CHI SJ 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CHI STL 3 2 0 0.6 5 3 2 0 5 YES
CHI TB 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CHI TOR 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI VAN 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CHI WAS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CHI WPG 1 0 0 1 6 4 2 0 6 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
CLS ANH 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CLS BOS 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CLS BUF 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CLS CAR 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS CGY 3 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CLS CHI 0 6 0 0 5 0 5 0 5 YES
CLS COL 1 1 1 0.5 2 1 0 1 2 YES
CLS DAL 1 3 0 0.25 5 1 4 0 5 YES
CLS DET 1 2 1 0.333333333 5 1 3 1 5 YES
CLS EDM 1 2 0 0.333333333 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS FLA 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS LA 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
CLS MIN 2 2 0 0.5 5 2 3 0 5 YES
CLS MON 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CLS NJ 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CLS NSH 1 4 1 0.2 6 1 4 1 6 YES
CLS NYI 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS NYR 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
CLS OTT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS PHI 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS PHO 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
CLS PIT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS SJ 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS STL 1 4 0 0.2 6 1 5 0 6 YES
CLS TB 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS TOR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS VAN 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS WAS 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
CLS WPG 1 0 0 1 6 4 2 0 6 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
DAL ANH 5 1 0 0.833333333 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL BOS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL BUF 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
DAL CAR 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL CGY 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL CHI 2 2 0 0.5 5 2 3 0 5 YES
DAL CLS 3 1 0 0.75 5 4 1 0 5 YES
DAL COL 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL DET 0 3 1 0 5 0 4 1 5 YES
DAL EDM 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL FLA 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DAL LA 3 3 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL MIN 3 1 0 0.75 6 4 2 0 6 YES
DAL MON 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL NJ 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL NSH 2 1 0 0.666666667 6 4 2 0 6 YES
DAL NYI 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL NYR 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL OTT 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL PHI 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DAL PHO 3 2 1 0.6 2 1 0 1 2 YES
DAL PIT 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
DAL SJ 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DAL STL 1 2 0 0.333333333 6 2 4 0 6 YES
DAL TB 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DAL TOR 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
DAL VAN 2 1 0 0.666666667 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DAL WAS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DAL WPG 0 1 0 0 5 1 3 1 5 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
DET ANH 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET BOS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DET BUF 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DET CAR 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET CGY 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET CHI 2 3 0 0.4 5 0 3 2 5 YES
DET CLS 3 1 0 0.75 5 3 1 1 5 YES
DET COL 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET DAL 4 0 0 1 5 4 0 1 5 YES
DET EDM 3 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 YES
DET FLA 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET LA 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET MIN 2 1 1 0.666666667 6 4 1 1 6 YES
DET MON 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET NJ 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET NSH 3 2 0 0.6 5 3 2 0 5 YES
DET NYI 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET NYR 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
DET OTT 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DET PHI 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET PHO 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
DET PIT 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DET SJ 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
DET STL 3 2 0 0.6 6 3 3 0 6 YES
DET TB 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
DET TOR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET VAN 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
DET WAS 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
DET WPG 1 0 0 1 6 4 2 0 6 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
MIN ANH 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
MIN BOS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
MIN BUF 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN CAR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN CGY 2 4 0 0.333333333 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN CHI 0 1 1 0 6 0 6 0 6 YES
MIN CLS 2 2 0 0.5 5 3 2 0 5 YES
MIN COL 3 3 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
MIN DAL 1 2 1 0.333333333 6 2 4 0 6 YES
MIN DET 2 1 1 0.666666667 6 1 4 1 6 YES
MIN EDM 4 2 0 0.666666667 2 1 1 0 2 YES
MIN FLA 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
MIN LA 1 2 0 0.333333333 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN MON 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
MIN NJ 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
MIN NSH 1 1 1 0.5 5 2 2 1 5 YES
MIN NYI 0 1 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
MIN NYR 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN OTT 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
MIN PHI 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN PHO 2 1 0 0.666666667 2 1 1 0 2 YES
MIN PIT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN SJ 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
MIN STL 2 1 1 0.666666667 5 3 1 1 5 YES
MIN TB 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
MIN TOR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN VAN 2 3 1 0.4 2 0 1 1 2 YES
MIN WAS 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
MIN WPG 0 1 1 0 5 1 3 1 5 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
NSH ANH 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH BOS 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
NSH BUFF 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH CAR 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
NSH CGY 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
NSH CHI 3 0 1 1 6 5 1 0 6 YES
NSH CLS 5 0 1 1 6 4 1 1 6 YES
NSH COL 3 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH DAL 1 2 0 0.333333333 6 2 4 0 6 YES
NSH DET 2 3 0 0.4 5 2 3 0 5 YES
NSH EDM 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH FLA 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH LA 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH MIN 2 1 0 0.666666667 5 2 2 1 5 YES
NSH MON 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
NSH NJ 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
NSH NYI 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH NYR 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH OTT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH PHI 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
NSH PHO 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
NSH PIT 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
NSH SJ 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
NSH STL 4 0 1 1 5 4 0 1 5 YES
NSH TB 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH TOR 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
NSH VAN 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
NSH WAS 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
NSH WPG 0 0 0 0 5 3 2 0 5 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
STL ANH 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
STL BOS 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
STL BUF 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL CAR 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
STL CGY 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
STL CHI 2 2 1 0.5 5 2 3 0 5 YES
STL CLS 4 1 0 0.8 6 5 1 0 6 YES
STL COL 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
STL DAL 2 1 0 0.666666667 6 4 2 0 6 YES
STL DET 2 3 0 0.4 6 3 3 0 6 YES
STL EDM 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
STL FLA 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL LA 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
STL MIN 2 1 1 0.666666667 5 1 3 1 5 YES
STL MON 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL NJ 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL NSH 1 2 2 0.333333333 5 0 4 1 5 YES
STL NYI 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL NYR 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL OTT 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL PHI 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL PHO 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL PIT 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 YES
STL SJ 4 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL TB 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL TOR 0 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 YES
STL Van 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
STL WAS 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
STL WPG 1 0 0 1 5 3 1 1 5 YES

TeamVersusWLOTLW %GANew WNew LNew OTLSUMEval
WPG ANH 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
WPG BOS 2 2 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
WPG BUF 3 0 1 1 2 1 0 1 2 YES
WPG CAR 3 2 0 0.6 2 1 1 0 2 YES
WPG CGY 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG CHI 0 1 0 0 6 2 4 0 6 YES
WPG CLS 0 1 0 0 6 2 4 0 6 YES
WPG COL 2 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
WPG DAL 1 0 0 1 5 3 1 1 5 YES
WPG DET 0 1 0 0 6 2 4 0 6 YES
WPG EDM 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG FLA 2 2 1 0.5 2 1 0 1 2 YES
WPG LA 1 0 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
WPG MIN 2 0 0 1 5 3 1 1 5 YES
WPG MON 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG NJ 1 2 1 0.333333333 2 0 1 1 2 YES
WPG NSH 0 0 0 0 5 2 3 0 5 YES
WPG NYI 1 1 1 0.5 2 1 0 1 2 YES
WPG NYR 0 3 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG OTT 1 2 0 0.333333333 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG PHI 3 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 YES
WPG PHO 1 1 0 0.5 2 1 1 0 2 YES
WPG PIT 1 3 0 0.25 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG SJ 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG STL 0 0 1 0 5 1 3 1 5 YES
WPG TB 3 1 0 0.75 2 1 1 0 2 YES
WPG TOR 2 1 1 0.666666667 2 1 0 1 2 YES
WPG VAN 0 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 2 YES
WPG WAS 3 1 1 0.75 2 1 0 1 2 YES

Alright, so where does that leave us? With an overall record of:

TeamWinsLossesOTLGames PlayedPoints
CHI 44 31 7 82 95
CLS 20 56 6 82 46
DAL 40 36 6 82 86
DET 39 34 9 82 87
MIN 25 49 8 82 58
NSH 41 33 8 82 90
STL 49 25 8 82 106
WPG 32 41 9 82 73

With a Final Standings of:

TeamPoints
STL 106
CHI 95
NSH 90
DET 87
DAL 86
WPG 73
MIN 58
CLS 46

As you can see, the fight for the last playoff spot would be very close with the remaining 8 games most likely directly affecting the standings in 4 point swings every night. I also noticed the precipitous dropoff in points at the bottom of the conference so i wanted to look at points earned out of conference.

If you remove the conference games the standing look drastically different, demonstrating exactly how important the conference games are:

TeamWinLossOTLGamesPoints
STL 31 8 5 44 67
DAL 23 17 4 44 50
CHI 20 19 5 44 45
NSH 19 20 5 44 43
DET 18 22 4 44 40
WPG 17 21 6 44 40
MIN 13 27 4 44 30
CLS 10 30 4 44 24

This is a user-created FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Defending Big D. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable hockey and Dallas Stars fans.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Defending Big D

You must be a member of Defending Big D to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Defending Big D. You should read them.

Join Defending Big D

You must be a member of Defending Big D to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Defending Big D. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker