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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Game 51 Scoring Chances: Stars Gain Ground On Minnesota

The Dallas Stars didn't quite get the two points they needed against the visiting Minnesota Wild, but at this point in the season points are points. Glen Gulutzan tried some new line combinations with captain Brenden Morrow on the shelf that were aimed at generating more scoring opportunities (and most certainly allowing fewer against). The results were hit and miss throughout the game with miscues aplenty that clearly annoyed Gulutzan after the game. The Stars were able to eek out a shootout win though, and Tomas Vincour rewarded Gulutzan for giving him the opportunity to play in the top nine as we'll see after the jump.

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 2 5 2 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2 2 4 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 2 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 2 2 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 8 14 7 13 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

The Wild outchanced the Stars 14-8 for the game, and in every period they had the advantage. Dany Heatley played the Matt Moulson and Matt Duchene role for the Wild. He was everywhere, and it seemed like he was able to get anywhere he wanted whenever he wanted. He wasn't enough though to keep the Stars from winning in the shootout. The Stars had a few standout performers last night, and their exploits are chronicled after the jump. So, click it already.

Star-divide

The Stars decided to shake things up with the lineup last night. Eric Nystrom moved up in the lineup to replace the injured Morrow. In his stead Gulutzan inserted Vincour on the third line. Like I mentioned before the jump the results were hit and miss. The Benn line was exceptional again. At this point it doesn't matter who you put with Benn. His line is going to get theirs.

The second and third lines were polar opposites though. The new second line struggled as much as it has all season to generate positive results. Whoever is on the ice with Ribeiro ends up a massive negative in the chance department. If they're fortunate they break even. Loui Eriksson, Nystrom, and Ribeiro were all -5 chances at even strength. The problem is magnified by the fact that they started most of their shifts in the offensive zone which means they should be generating more offense. The biggest obstacle in the way of the Stars playoff push has been, and will continue to be, the complete lack of production from the second forward unit.

Nystrom didn't look bad in his minutes, but the biggest value he contributes is that he isn't afraid to shoot. He didn't have that opportunity last night despite the favorable starting position. His third line replacement, Vincour, has a broader skill set. His underdeveloped offensive game makes giving him top six minutes problematic right now. I've raved about Vincour for most of the season because he does just about everything else you could want out of an NHL player. Last night he was excellent defensively, in transition, and at pressuring the puck in the offensive zone. The third line was still trusted with defensive minutes, and Vincour fit in wonderfully.

Vincour vs Ribeiro is an interesting study in the difference between Corsi and Scoring Chances. Vincour was on the ice for a Corsi of -9 while starting out primarily in the defensive zone. Ribeiro was a +10 while starting out primarily in the offensive zone. Vincour was only a -1 scoring chances versus the -5 for Ribeiro. What that basically means is that the Ribeiro unit got shots, they just weren't real good shots.

# Player EV PP SH
2 N. GROSSMAN 19:46 2 4 0:00 0 0 3:31 0 0
3 S. ROBIDAS 15:23 2 8 2:15 1 0 5:16 0 1
6 T. DALEY 19:56 1 5 0:00 0 0 2:50 0 0
33 A. GOLIGOSKI 19:11 4 1 2:15 1 0 0:32 0 0
36 P. LARSEN 19:05 3 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
44 S. SOURAY 16:12 2 8 0:00 0 0 3:51 0 1
11 J. DOWELL 6:13 0 2 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
14 J. BENN 20:13 5 2 0:54 0 0 0:05 0 0
16 A. BURISH 9:51 0 1 0:00 0 0 2:02 0 0
20 R. DVORAK 12:28 0 2 0:00 0 0 2:39 0 1
21 L. ERIKSSON 16:36 2 7 1:19 1 0 2:26 0 0
23 T. WANDELL 6:31 0 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
24 E. NYSTROM 15:30 0 5 0:00 0 0 1:54 0 0
29 S. OTT 17:09 4 3 0:02 0 0 2:35 0 0
38 V. FIDDLER 11:33 1 3 0:00 0 0 2:39 0 1
63 M. RIBEIRO 16:16 1 6 2:15 1 0 0:47 0 0
73 M. RYDER 18:13 5 2 1:19 1 0 0:00 0 0
81 T. VINCOUR 10:42 1 2 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0

The Stars top players were the members of the Benn line. Benn, Michael Ryder, Alex Goligoski, and Philip Larsen were your highest pluses last night. Stephane Robidas and Sheldon Souray had the unfortunate responsibility of trying to pay attention to Heatley. That...didn't work out well. Both guys were -6 at even strength to "lead" the Stars in the bad way.

Team Period Time Note DAL Opponent
MIN 1 14:43 Heatley 3 20 32 38 44 7 10 15 32 39 46 4v5
DAL 1 13:33 Benn 2 14 29 32 33 73 5 14 32 43 44 45 5v5
MIN 1 12:24 Heatley 3 21 24 32 44 63 3 15 21 25 32 46 5v5
MIN 1 12:00 Heatley 3 21 24 32 44 63 3 5 15 21 25 32 5v5
MIN 1 11:50 Setoguchi 2 6 20 32 38 81 3 5 7 10 22 32 5v5
DAL 1 10:56 Ryder 14 29 32 33 36 73 14 26 32 39 44 45 5v5
MIN 1 8:22 Heatley 3 20 32 38 44 81 15 21 25 32 39 44 5v5
DAL 2 18:18 Backstrom 2 6 14 29 32 73 14 26 32 39 44 45 5v5
MIN 2 8:08 Cullen 2 6 16 24 32 38 7 21 22 32 39 44 5v5
MIN 2 7:17 Ryder 14 29 32 33 36 73 15 32 43 45 46 55 5v5
DAL 2 4:49 Ribeiro,g 3 21 32 33 63 73 14 32 43 46 55 5v4
MIN 2 2:56 Brodziak 3 11 21 23 32 44 15 21 25 32 39 44 5v5
MIN 2 2:19 Latendresse 2 6 14 29 32 73 5 7 10 14 32 46 5v5
MIN 3 14:42 Brodziak 2 6 11 21 32 63 15 21 25 32 39 44 5v5
MIN 3 14:15 Heatley 3 21 24 32 44 63 3 5 15 21 25 32 5v5
MIN 3 11:08 Johnson 3 21 24 32 44 63 3 5 15 21 25 32 5v5
DAL 3 9:39 Ryder 32 33 36 38 73 81 10 32 39 41 43 46 5v5
DAL 3 6:47 Ryder 3 14 29 32 44 73 15 21 25 32 46 55 5v5
MIN 4 4:04 Heatley 3 6 29 32 44 3 15 21 32 46 4v4
DAL 4 3:10 Larsen 14 21 32 33 36 25 26 32 46 55 4v4
DAL 4 1:23 Souray 3 21 32 44 63 22 25 32 46 55 4v4
MIN 4 1:11 Prosser 3 21 32 44 63 22 25 32 39 55 4v4

The Stars return to the ice Tuesday against the Phoenix Coyotes. You guessed it. These are two more critical points. The Stars are fighting with the Coyotes (among, it seems like, 35,000 others teams) for the final playoff seed in the West. Gulutzan was pretty annoyed after the game about all of the mistakes. If the Stars want to collect two critical points from the Coyotes they need to clean things up, and try to mark Shane Doan. Marking top offensive threats from the opposition is a problem for the Stars at times. They would be wise to keep tabs of where Doan is on the ice.


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Say, is Ribiero gonna submit that...

…to the Ministry of Silly Walks?

Our GM,
who art in the front office,
on Conn Smythe be they name.

by ex_seraphim (Angelou del Angel) on Feb 5, 2012 3:07 PM CST reply actions  

He kind of looks like a figure skater there, eh?

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by Josh Lile on Feb 5, 2012 3:15 PM CST up reply actions  

People talk about Morrow possibly being trade bait

But I think if the Stars fall out of the race here in the next few weeks before the deadline it’s Ribeiro that will be their biggest trade piece. Might be able to get a nice young player for him, lots of teams would pay a pretty high price for a second line center for a Stanley Cup push. Only one more year left on his contract as well, though it’s a steep cap hit ($5 million i think).

Maybe the Capitals would give up young Johansson. Him and Eriksson on a line together would be a coach’s bliss.

by disposablehero on Feb 5, 2012 3:35 PM CST reply actions  

Not sure if I would want Ribiero if I were another team.

He is a massive liability in the defensive zone and doesn’t skate that well. Terrible trade off when he is not putting up points.

by modano9 on Feb 5, 2012 3:47 PM CST up reply actions  

And who is the second-line center this year or the next few?

Wandell is not the answer, and having to rely on the FA market is pretty risky.

Teams are not going to trade you their promising young center for a veteran center that produces slightly more.

Follow me on Twitter @ErinB_DBD

by Erin Bolen on Feb 5, 2012 4:18 PM CST up reply actions  

This is exactly the problem.

The second line is a major reason the Stars aren’t currently in playoff position.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
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by Josh Lile on Feb 5, 2012 4:48 PM CST up reply actions  

Two words...

Matt Fraser.

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by Brandon Worley on Feb 5, 2012 7:53 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

/sarcasm

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by Brandon Worley on Feb 5, 2012 8:01 PM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Heh, I'm surprised you didn't say Scott Glennie

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
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by Josh Lile on Feb 5, 2012 9:38 PM CST up reply actions  

Obviously in this scenario Johansson would be your second line center

And yeah, you’d probably have to give up another asset to pry him away from the Caps. But Ribeiro has been more productive this year, and has produced at close to PPG levels in the recent past. Given more talented wingers (which he would have on many, many other teams), I don’t think it’s unreasonable that he would see a significant uptick in production.

Ribs’ overall game (including defensive zone coverage and faceoffs) is not terribly impressive. But the guy can still put up some points as a second line center, and be a key powerplay contributor at the very least. Teams that feel they are strong contenders for the Cup that need more production down the middle would pay a pretty penny for that.

by disposablehero on Feb 6, 2012 6:04 PM CST up reply actions  

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