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Alex Goligoski: The Wizard of Ice

(Heh. The Wizard of Ice. I got a chuckle out of it. But yeah...)

Allow me to make a potentially controversial statement. After I make the statement don't check out. Keep an open mind about the idea I am going to present, and if you think I'm crazy after hearing my case then by all means say so. Hear me out first though. Alex Goligoski is the most valuable defenseman the Stars have acquired since Philippe Boucher (think Sydor-level value), and as he enters his prime he has a real tangible chance to carve out a special place in Dallas Stars history.

What is an Alex Goligoski?

Goligoski is an incredibly skilled offensive defenseman. When he arrived in Dallas it was immediately apparent how skilled he was. He skated with a purpose up and down the ice, he was making pinpoint passes through opposing defenses with ease, and he proved to have a very deadly shot. The area of his game that received, and still does receive, the most criticism is in his play in his own end. I think it's a very fair criticism, and I see no problem at all with offering constructive criticism. It would be hard for anyone in any walk of life to improve at a given craft without such criticism, but in the case of Goligoski I think the defensive criticisms have the ability to hide his value from some.

 

The label “offensive defenseman” has a negative connotation that follows it every time it is uttered. The phrase generates an unpleasant image for most hockey fans. They think of players like Marc-Andre Bergeron who only have one job: crank the puck on the power play. They think of fast wiry guys who shy away from the physical game. Goligoski isn't that type of player, and that label shouldn't have to imply that the player is completely useless defensively. In fact, Goligoski put up a very respectable defensive GVT last year. Defense is hard to quantify, but his defensive GVT was still impressive in the five range. 

 

The point is that the most important idea in player evaluation is "does a player do more good on the ice than bad?". Does the player contribute a net positive, and if so how positive? I think that idea gets lost in the shuffle more often than it should (see Ribeiro, Mike) when it comes to judging player quality. We shouldn't make the same mistake with Goligoski. Last year Goligoski had a 13.3 GVT, which basically means he contributed 13.3 goals more than a replacement level player (Jeff Woywitka) would be expected to contribute. That was good for the 16th best full season total of any defenseman to put on a Stars uniform. Of the 15 better seasons 9 were by Sergei Zubov, 4 by Darryl Sydor, 2 by Philippe Boucher, and 2 by Derian Hatcher. Keep in mind that Sydor and Boucher both played a significant number of shifts with Zubov, and it puts the season Goligoski had in clear focus. The man is a legit offensive terror who has a chance to explode in a full season as The Guy in a D corps.

 

What we need to keep in mind with Goligoski is upside. He played last season at 25 years old. He is close to entering his prime while trending towards being a dominant force offensively. In Pittsburgh he wasn't The Guy on the blueline, and he never would have been. After the trade from Pittsburgh he was given more responsibility, and one got the sense that he relished being counted on to be such a big part of the Stars plans.

 

So what happened when he got to Dallas? He flourished.

 

In 60 games with Pittsburgh, Goligoski had 9 goals and 22 assists for a 9.6 GVT. In 23 games with Dallas he had 5 goals, 10 assists, and a 3.7 GVT. His production shot through the roof. He scored more goals as a Star last year than any other defenseman, he had the third most assists in a Stars uniform of any defenseman, and he had the third highest GVT among all Stars defensemen.

 

He did all of this in 23 games. Ultimately it is a relatively small sample of data, but the results couldn't be more encouraging.

 

I've made my case, and thank you for taking the time to consider it if you have gotten this far. I understand that some people are skeptical of the offense first, second, and third player, but in this instance there is little reason to be. Appreciate him for what he is. He is a phenomenal offensive talent that won't embarrass himself defensively. Goligoski has a chance to make himself an anchor for this franchise for years to come, and his production as a Star leads me to believe that he is everything GM Joe was looking for when he stepped out into the marketplace and shipped James Neal to Pittsburgh.

This is a user-created FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Defending Big D. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable hockey and Dallas Stars fans.

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Loved Neal and hated to see him go...

but Goose is a badass. Plain. Simple.

The stat that I like that wasn’t mentioned is that in 15 playoff games (2 during ‘08-’09 and 13 in ‘09-’10) he has 2G 8A = 10pts. Those are some serious numbers for a guy who was 23-24 yrs old and not in the top 2 (maybe not even the top 4) defense group.

"The early bird may get the worm, but it's the second mouse who gets the cheese" - Daryl "Razor" Reaugh

by Sylent Jay on Sep 5, 2011 7:13 PM CDT reply actions  

Yep

And, he’s an American.

USA, USA, USA

"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Sep 5, 2011 8:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

To play devil's advocate

And because this is a what if that sticks with me, can he keep up with the top D-pairing minutes? I hope so, but until we’re in the middle of March and the wear and tear of the season is at it’s peak, I honestly don’t know.

by justanotherhockeychick on Sep 5, 2011 9:48 PM CDT reply actions  

He's averaged 22 minutes per game for the last 2 years

He should be fine

"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Sep 6, 2011 6:48 AM CDT up reply actions  

Looking forward next season.

And Goose is one of the biggest reasons for that.

Good times are here and Stars will take what belongs to them. Sooner or Later.

by Henri Muroke on Sep 6, 2011 1:25 AM CDT reply actions  

I was reading The Hockey News

and they had goligoski listed as a player to weary of for fantasy hockey, they said “dont be fooled by his late season number with dallas, hes good but hes not 50 points a season good.”

than later in the magazine they projected him to hit 54 points this season.

wuddafuxxx????

by Long Island on Sep 6, 2011 7:24 AM CDT reply actions  

It's hard for me to fathom how anyone can watch him and not see offensive gold.

He isn’t the Shea Weber full package, but he has everything you want offensively. His goal scoring pace as a Star was most likely a little high, but he’s such a good passer that he’s going to rack up the assists.

"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Sep 6, 2011 8:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

weber only put up 2 more goals on the season

i have a feeling goose is gonna be gold in stars uniform. he put up the 6th most goals out of all defensemen in the league last season with only 23 games for us. i can’t wait to see what he can do with the extra ice time, including on the power play, that he wasn’t getting in pittsburgh for 60 games.

by jcphockey16 on Sep 6, 2011 1:10 PM CDT up reply actions  

Without looking at individual games....

I don’t think you’ll see an uptick in valuable offensive ice time for Goligoski. He averaged 4 minutes of powerplay time per game on the season. 23 games in Dallas isn’t going to make a HUGE impact on that number when he played 83 games.

I don’t know how much extra production you can project solely based on powerplay time.

"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Sep 6, 2011 2:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

He isn't going to maintain 26 minutes a game

And some of that is penalty killing time too.

"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Sep 6, 2011 10:20 PM CDT up reply actions  

I fully agree.

Goligoski is a beast. In fantasy rankings for d men he is usually in the top 20 which he should be.

by T-rom on Sep 6, 2011 11:52 PM CDT reply actions  

Loved what I saw,

and I see little reason it can not continue.

In a few years we could be comparing this trade to the Zubov trade. Though I think Neal will do better than Kevin Hatcher, and saying anybody can do what Zubie did is too high an expectation. Still, I’m happy if this even ends up in that ballpark.

by 1paniolo on Sep 8, 2011 2:59 PM CDT reply actions  

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