Hockeymetrics: And Then There's the Stars Play on the Road


Last week, I analyzed the Stars woes within the Pacific Division and pointed at that as one area of improvement for the upcoming season.

This week, I'll look at the road play.

Now compared to the intra-divisional woes the Stars had last season, the Stars accomplished some impressive feats on the road.

Dallas posted two wins each in Detroit, San Jose, and St. Louis. They also had impressive road wins in their opener in New Jersey, at Nashville in February, and in Chicago in January. And to boot, they set a franchise record for consecutive road games without a loss with eight from December 13th to January 20th.

And yet, they finished the year with a -22 in overall goal differential.

The Stars were actually +6 in overall road goal differential after setting a franchise record for most games unbeaten after their 4-2 win over Edmonton on January 20th. The next night, that streak ended in a 7-4 loss to Calgary. Then came that 7-1 blowout loss in Vancouver.

Game Opp Stars Opp TOI GF/60 GA/60 ES G GA GF/60 GA/60 PP G GA GF/60 GA/60 SH G GA GF/60 GA/60
1 NJ 4 3 61:36 3.8961 2.92208 58:07 4 2 4.129624 2.06481 02:00 0 0 0 0 01:29 0 1 0 40.44944
2 NYI 9 7 126:36 3.7915 3.31754 102:20 7 3 4.104235 1.75896 13:12 1 0 4.54545 0 11:04 0 4 0 21.68675
5 TB 13 12 186:36 3.8585 3.85852 145:39 10 4 4.119464 1.64779 22:09 1 0 2.7088 0 18:48 1 8 3.19149 25.53191
6 FLA 17 13 246:36 3.8929 3.16302 195:39 14 5 4.293381 1.53335 26:09 1 0 2.29446 0 24:48 1 8 2.41935 19.35484
13 COL 17 18 306:36 3.1311 3.5225 245:39 14 9 3.419499 2.19825 32:09 1 1 1.86625 1.86625 28:48 1 8 2.08333 16.66667
14 LA 18 21 366:36 2.7823 3.43699 284:22 15 10 3.164928 2.10995 39:50 1 1 1.50628 1.50628 42:24 1 10 1.41509 14.15094
15 ANA 20 25 426:36 2.6723 3.51617 335:13 17 13 3.042808 2.32685 43:41 1 1 1.37352 1.37352 47:42 1 11 1.25786 13.83648
19 TOR 21 29 486:36 2.4661 3.57583 389:13 18 17 2.774804 2.62065 47:41 1 1 1.2583 1.2583 49:42 1 11 1.20724 13.27968
20 OTT 23 30 546:36 2.4149 3.29308 437:13 20 18 2.744635 2.47017 55:41 1 1 1.07752 1.07752 53:42 1 11 1.11732 12.2905
22 STL 25 31 606:36 2.3739 3.06627 487:44 21 19 2.583379 2.33734 61:10 2 1 1.96185 0.98093 57:42 1 11 1.03986 11.43847
23 CAR 29 32 666:36 2.5203 2.88029 535:44 25 20 2.7999 2.23992 65:10 2 1 1.84143 0.92072 65:42 1 11 0.91324 10.04566
26 CLB 31 35 731:36 2.4604 2.78841 587:41 27 21 2.756587 2.14401 73:10 2 1 1.64009 0.82005 70:45 1 12 0.84806 10.17668
27 CHI 34 40 791:36 2.5013 2.95604 635:00 30 25 2.834646 2.3622 75:10 2 1 1.59645 0.79823 81:26 1 13 0.7368 9.578387
29 PHX 36 45 851:27 2.4664 3.10059 675:12 31 28 2.754739 2.48815 88:24 3 2 2.0362 1.35747 87:51 1 14 0.68298 9.561753
30 SJ 39 47 916:27 2.4224 3.01162 733:32 32 30 2.617468 2.45388 93:04 4 2 2.5788 1.2894 89:51 1 14 0.66778 9.348915
32 CLB 41 48 976:14 2.397 2.88865 775:52 33 31 2.551985 2.39732 101:10 5 2 2.9654 1.18616 99:12 1 14 0.60484 8.467742
33 DET 45 51 1040:32 2.4795 2.88314 825:33 36 33 2.616438 2.3984 110:08 6 2 3.26877 1.08959 104:51 1 15 0.57225 8.583691
37 NSH 49 53 1100:32 2.5624 2.83499 872:17 40 34 2.7514 2.33869 115:07 6 2 3.12726 1.04242 113:08 1 16 0.53035 8.485563
40 STL 53 55 1160:32 2.6367 2.79182 926:09 43 36 2.785726 2.33224 117:32 7 2 3.57345 1.02099 116:51 1 16 0.51348 8.215661
41 CHI 57 57 1220:27 2.7039 2.75308 974:57 43 38 2.64629 2.33858 120:41 10 2 4.97169 0.99434 124:49 2 16 0.96141 7.691281
43 MIN 61 57 1280:27 2.7647 2.62408 1024:57 47 38 2.751354 2.2245 126:41 10 2 4.73622 0.94724 128:49 2 16 0.93156 7.452452
47 EDM 65 59 1340:27 2.8199 2.59614 1071:14 50 39 2.80051 2.1844 132:24 11 3 4.98489 1.35952 136:49 2 16 0.87709 7.016689
48 CGY 69 66 1400:27 2.8705 2.78482 1125:17 54 45 2.879275 2.3994 136:24 11 3 4.83871 1.31965 138:46 2 17 0.86476 7.350468
49 VAN 70 73 1460:27 2.7937 2.95799 1172:43 55 49 2.813979 2.507 142:24 11 3 4.63483 1.26404 145:20 2 20 0.82569 8.256881
52 BOS 73 79 1520:06 2.8024 3.07874 1215:22 57 55 2.813966 2.71523 151:24 11 3 4.35931 1.1889 153:20 3 20 1.17391 7.826087
53 PHI 74 82 1580:06 2.734 3.07575 1263:22 58 57 2.754545 2.70705 157:24 11 4 4.19314 1.52478 159:20 3 20 1.12971 7.531381
57 EDM 75 86 1640:06 2.6706 3.10957 1310:35 58 59 2.655306 2.70109 162:05 12 4 4.44216 1.48072 167:26 3 22 1.07505 7.883735
58 CGY 77 90 1700:06 2.6469 3.14099 1360:45 60 61 2.6456 2.68969 166:05 12 5 4.33517 1.80632 173:16 3 23 1.03886 7.964602
59 VAN 79 95 1760:06 2.6249 3.20436 1411:37 62 66 2.635276 2.80529 171:13 12 5 4.2052 1.75217 177:16 3 23 1.01542 7.784882
61 DET 83 96 1820:06 2.6702 3.1317 1455:08 65 66 2.680167 2.7214 177:13 12 5 4.06282 1.69284 187:45 4 24 1.2783 7.669774
63 PHX 86 98 1880:06 2.6807 3.09558 1504:55 67 68 2.671244 2.71111 183:26 13 5 4.25223 1.63547 191:45 4 24 1.25163 7.509778
64 ANA 89 102 1945:02 2.6838 3.11563 1560:54 69 70 2.652316 2.69076 189:06 14 5 4.44209 1.58646 195:02 4 26 1.23056 7.998633
65 SJ 92 104 2005:02 2.6932 3.08224 1610:54 71 72 2.644484 2.68173 193:06 14 5 4.35008 1.5536 201:02 5 26 1.49229 7.759907
66 LA 96 107 2065:40 2.7304 3.07891 1656:32 74 75 2.680296 2.71652 199:06 14 5 4.21899 1.50678 210:02 6 26 1.71401 7.427392
74 NSH 98 111 2125:40 2.7097 3.10491 1709:44 75 78 2.631989 2.73727 204:05 15 6 4.40996 1.76399 211:51 6 26 1.69932 7.363701
75 PHX 99 113 2190:40 2.6567 3.04017 1769:33 75 79 2.543019 2.67865 207:16 16 6 4.63171 1.73689 213:51 6 26 1.68342 7.294833
76 SJ 99 119 2250:40 2.5859 3.11908 1818:33 75 84 2.474499 2.77144 213:16 16 6 4.50141 1.68803 218:51 6 27 1.64496 7.40233
77 LA 100 122 2310:40 2.5447 3.11598 1878:33 76 87 2.427404 2.77874 213:16 16 6 4.50141 1.68803 218:51 6 27 1.64496 7.40233
78 ANA 104 125 2370:40 2.5816 3.11305 1924:47 79 89 2.462615 2.77434 223:21 17 7 4.56682 1.88046 222:32 6 27 1.61774 7.279808
81 COL 107 127 2430:40 2.5919 3.08557 1976:47 81 90 2.45854 2.73171 229:21 18 8 4.70896 2.09287 224:32 6 27 1.60333 7.214964
82 MIN 110 132 2490:40 2.6017 3.13169 2025:24 82 94 2.42915 2.78464 237:03 20 8 5.06222 2.02489 228:13 6 28 1.57745 7.361426

And as you can see by the graph, the Stars never saw positive territory in road goal differential again in the season after that forgettable performance. Course, that was also the night Dallas lost Jamie Benn to a shoulder injury for what turned out to be a season defining 10 games.

During that stretch that Benn was out for the full 10 games, Dallas was outscored 22-13 in road games at Boston, Philadelphia, Edmonton, Calgary, and Vancouver. The margin moves to 25-13 if you account for the three goals Vancouver scored back on January 24th after Benn went out.

If we break it down even further, we see the same primary culprit for the Stars woes in staying above the break even point is the same as it was last week.

5-on-5 play.

Game Opp Stars Opp 5on5 G GA GF/60 GA/60
1 NJ 4 3 52:31 3 2 3.427483 2.284989
2 NYI 9 7 91:53 6 3 3.918012 1.959006
5 TB 13 12 135:12 9 4 3.994083 1.775148
6 FLA 17 13 185:12 13 5 4.211663 1.61987
13 COL 17 18 233:12 13 9 3.344768 2.315609
14 LA 18 21 269:59 14 10 3.111303 2.222359
15 ANA 20 25 320:50 16 13 2.992208 2.431169
19 TOR 21 29 374:50 17 17 2.721209 2.721209
20 OTT 23 30 422:50 19 18 2.696098 2.554198
22 STL 25 31 473:21 20 19 2.535122 2.408366
23 CAR 29 32 519:40 24 19 2.771007 2.193714
26 CLB 31 35 566:37 26 20 2.753184 2.117834
27 CHI 34 40 613:56 29 24 2.834184 2.345532
29 PHX 36 45 654:08 30 27 2.751733 2.476559
30 SJ 39 47 707:28 31 29 2.629099 2.45948
32 CLB 41 48 747:47 31 30 2.487352 2.407114
33 DET 45 51 794:30 33 32 2.492133 2.416614
37 NSH 49 53 836:28 37 33 2.654021 2.3671
40 STL 53 55 890:03 40 35 2.696478 2.359418
41 CHI 57 57 938:51 40 37 2.556319 2.364595
43 MIN 61 57 988:51 44 37 2.669768 2.245032
47 EDM 65 59 1035:08 47 38 2.724287 2.202615
48 CGY 69 66 1088:04 51 44 2.812328 2.426322
49 VAN 70 73 1132:15 52 48 2.755575 2.543608
52 BOS 73 79 1174:54 54 54 2.757682 2.757682
53 PHI 74 82 1222:54 55 56 2.698504 2.747567
57 EDM 75 86 1270:07 55 58 2.598187 2.739906
58 CGY 77 90 1320:17 57 60 2.590353 2.726687
59 VAN 79 95 1371:09 59 65 2.581774 2.844328
61 DET 83 96 1412:40 62 65 2.633318 2.760736
63 PHX 86 98 1462:27 64 67 2.625731 2.748812
64 ANA 89 102 1509:51 66 68 2.622777 2.702255
65 SJ 92 104 1559:51 68 70 2.615636 2.692567
66 LA 96 107 1600:51 70 73 2.623606 2.736046
74 NSH 98 111 1651:52 71 76 2.578901 2.760513
75 PHX 99 113 1706:41 71 77 2.496069 2.707005
76 SJ 99 119 1755:41 71 82 2.426406 2.802328
77 LA 100 122 1813:41 72 85 2.381893 2.811957
78 ANA 104 125 1859:55 75 87 2.419463 2.806577
81 COL 107 127 1911:55 77 88 2.416423 2.761627
82 MIN 110 132 1960:32 78 92 2.387106 2.81556

And just as the overall goal differential was looking pretty good on the first part of that first road swing through Western Canada in January before things went south, so to did the 5-on-5 play trend.

Against Calgary, Vancouver, and Boston, Dallas surrendered 14 5-on-5 goals against to take their goal differential from a respectable +9 to even.

Defensively, they got better over the next few road games against Philadelphia, Edmonton, and Calgary surrendering just two 5-on-5 goals in each contest. The problem was they were only able to score a total of three 5-on-5 goals before getting blitzed, again, in Vancouver.

As you can see from the table above, they finished with a 5-on-5 goal differential of -14.

And then there's special teams.

Game Opp 5on4 G GA GF/60 GA/60 5on3 G GA GF/60 GA/60 4on5 G GA GF/60 GA/60 3on5 G GA GF/60 GA/60
1 NJ 2:00 0 0 0 0 0:00 0 0 0 0 1:29 0 1 0 40.44944 0:00 0 0 0 0
2 NYI 11:12 1 0 5.357143 0 0:00 0 0 0 0 10:02 0 3 0 17.9402 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
5 TB 20:09 1 0 2.977667 0 0:00 0 0 0 0 17:46 1 7 3.377111 23.63977 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
6 FLA 24:09 1 0 2.484472 0 0:00 0 0 0 0 23:46 1 7 2.524544 17.67181 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
13 COL 30:09 1 1 1.99005 1.99005 0:00 0 0 0 0 27:46 1 7 2.160864 15.12605 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
14 LA 36:08 1 1 1.660517 1.660517 0:19 0 0 0 0 41:22 1 9 1.450443 13.05399 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
15 ANA 39:59 1 1 1.500625 1.500625 0:19 0 0 0 0 46:40 1 10 1.285714 12.85714 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
19 TOR 43:59 1 1 1.364153 1.364153 0:19 0 0 0 0 48:40 1 10 1.232877 12.32877 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
20 OTT 51:59 1 1 1.154216 1.154216 0:19 0 0 0 0 52:40 1 10 1.139241 11.39241 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
22 STL 57:28 2 1 2.088167 1.044084 0:19 0 0 0 0 56:40 1 10 1.058824 10.58824 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
23 CAR 61:09 2 1 1.962388 0.981194 0:19 0 0 0 0 64:40 1 10 0.927835 9.278351 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
26 CLB 69:09 2 1 1.735358 0.867679 0:19 0 0 0 0 69:43 1 11 0.860626 9.46689 1:02 0 1 0 58.06452
27 CHI 71:09 2 1 1.686578 0.843289 0:19 0 0 0 0 79:49 1 12 0.751723 9.020672 1:37 0 1 0 37.1134
29 PHX 84:23 3 2 2.133123 1.422082 0:19 0 0 0 0 86:14 1 13 0.695787 9.045226 1:37 0 1 0 37.1134
30 SJ 89:03 4 2 2.695115 1.347558 0:19 0 0 0 0 88:14 1 13 0.680015 8.840196 1:37 0 1 0 37.1134
32 CLB 96:15 5 2 3.116883 1.246753 1:13 0 0 0 0 96:57 1 13 0.618876 8.045384 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
33 DET 101:53 6 2 3.533453 1.177818 1:13 0 0 0 0 102:36 1 14 0.584795 8.187135 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
37 NSH 106:52 6 2 3.368684 1.122895 1:13 0 0 0 0 110:38 1 15 0.542332 8.13498 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
40 STL 109:17 7 2 3.843221 1.098063 1:13 0 0 0 0 114:21 1 15 0.524705 7.870573 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
41 CHI 112:26 10 2 5.336496 1.067299 1:13 0 0 0 0 122:19 2 15 0.98106 7.357951 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
43 MIN 118:26 10 2 5.066141 1.013228 1:13 0 0 0 0 126:19 2 15 0.949993 7.124951 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
47 EDM 124:09 11 3 5.31615 1.449859 1:13 0 0 0 0 134:19 2 15 0.893411 6.700583 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
48 CGY 128:09 11 3 5.150215 1.404604 1:13 0 0 0 0 136:06 2 16 0.881705 7.053637 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
49 VAN 134:09 11 3 4.919866 1.341782 1:13 0 0 0 0 141:55 2 18 0.845567 7.6101 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
52 BOS 143:09 11 3 4.610548 1.257422 1:13 0 0 0 0 149:55 3 18 1.200667 7.204002 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
53 PHI 149:09 11 4 4.425075 1.609118 1:13 0 0 0 0 155:55 3 18 1.154463 6.926777 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
57 EDM 153:50 12 4 4.68039 1.56013 1:13 0 0 0 0 164:01 3 20 1.097449 7.31633 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
58 CGY 157:50 12 5 4.561774 1.900739 1:13 0 0 0 0 169:51 3 21 1.059759 7.41831 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
59 VAN 162:06 12 5 4.441703 1.850709 2:05 0 0 0 0 173:51 3 21 1.035375 7.247627 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
61 DET 168:06 12 5 4.283165 1.784652 2:05 0 0 0 0 184:20 4 22 1.301989 7.16094 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
63 PHX 174:19 13 5 4.474615 1.721006 2:05 0 0 0 0 188:20 4 22 1.274336 7.00885 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
64 ANA 179:58 14 5 4.667531 1.666975 2:06 0 0 0 0 191:16 4 23 1.254793 7.215058 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
65 SJ 183:58 14 5 4.566045 1.63073 2:06 0 0 0 0 197:16 5 23 1.520784 6.995607 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
66 LA 189:58 14 5 4.421828 1.579224 2:06 0 0 0 0 206:16 6 23 1.745314 6.690368 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
74 NSH 194:57 15 6 4.616568 1.846627 2:06 0 0 0 0 208:05 6 23 1.730076 6.631958 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
75 PHX 198:08 16 6 4.845222 1.816958 2:06 0 0 0 0 210:05 6 23 1.713606 6.568822 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
76 SJ 204:08 16 6 4.702809 1.763553 2:06 0 0 0 0 215:05 6 24 1.67377 6.695079 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
77 LA 204:08 16 6 4.702809 1.763553 2:06 0 0 0 0 215:05 6 24 1.67377 6.695079 1:57 0 1 0 30.76923
78 ANA 213:55 17 7 4.768212 1.963381 2:24 0 0 0 0 217:26 6 24 1.65568 6.62272 3:17 0 1 0 18.27411
81 COL 219:55 18 8 4.910951 2.182645 2:24 0 0 0 0 219:26 6 24 1.640589 6.562358 3:17 0 1 0 18.27411
82 MIN 227:18 19 8 5.015398 2.111747 2:43 1 0 22.08589 0 223:07 6 25 1.613506 6.72294 3:17 0 1 0 18.27411

First of all, look at the 5-on-3 ledger.

Officially, the Stars went 0-fer with the two man advantage on the road until the final game of the season in Minnesota when Alex Goligoski tied the game late in the 2nd at 3-3 with what would prove to be the last goal the Stars would score in the 2010-11 season.

In case you're wondering, Brad Richards almost scored the first 5-on-3 road goal of the season on December 18th in Columbus in December, but that goal came four seconds after a roughing minor to Jakub Voracek expired. That game also represented the most amount of time the Stars enjoyed on the two man advantage on the road with 1:04.

No, the 5-on-3 didn't necessarily cost the Stars any games last season. And the Stars' penalty killing when down two men canceled that out. It's just something that stuck out to me for some reason.

On the 5-on-4 is where the Stars were really let down on both sides of the puck. Put it this way, Dallas scored 18 5-on-4 goals on the road the entire season. Their penalty kill gave up their 18th 5-on-4 goal against during that 7-1 loss on January 24th against Vancouver.

Ever since they gave up three 5-on-4 goals against on Long Island in the 2nd road game of the year and four about a week later down in Tampa, Dallas was playing catchup on special teams on the road.

And they weren't able to keep up.

I lost count late in the season with the number of times Ralph uttered the phrase, "Here's their chance," late in games where the score was tied or the Stars were down by a goal only to see the Stars let that chance go by the wayside.

Joe Niewuendyk's acquisitions of Alex Goligoski and Sheldon Souray should help matters on the offensive side of the puck. Course, there's the little matter of who will help fill those 371 power play minutes that one Brad Richards contributed last season.

And on the defensive side, hopefully Glen Gulutzan's new coaching style will rub off on the penalty kill. However they choose to tackle this issue, it's quite clear there's room for improvement in the Stars road game.

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