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Gameday Preview: Dallas Stars @ Nashville Predators (7:00pm CDT)

Last season the Dallas Stars' defining characteristic ended up being their inability to win on the road. At one point in the 2009-2010 campaign they lost 14 of 16 away from the American Airlines Center, killing their playoff chances. This year they set the franchise record for consecutive road wins at 8 on January 20th in Edmonton. After that they lost seven straight away from Dallas before winning four of five road contests to essentially save their season.

In a nut shell, this team is streaky on the road, and now their season dangles on this five game road trip and seven of their last nine overall away from home.

They can draw inspiration from a masterful 3-0-1 trip through the Pacific Division earlier this March (without Brad Richards and Nick Grossman) that kept them in the race despite a 2-2-3 home stand that followed. They'll need to collect points the rest of the way at a similarly (to the last road trip) outrageous pace to keep themselves close to Anaheim and Nashville starting tonight.

As hot as the Ducks were coming into Wednesday night's game, the Preds might be just as hot or hotter. They're 7-2-1 in their last 10, have won five straight and have 90 points already, all but assuring them a place at the table come April 13th. Their month has included authoritative wins, like a 3-0 shutout of the Canucks, and three straight come from behind wins against Detroit, Buffalo and Boston.

No team in the league has fewer regulation losses at home this year than Nashville does. They are very good in their building, impossible to beat when they get the lead, and their goaltender is a serious candidate for the Vezina and Hart trophies this year.

If this is a last (statistical) stand for Dallas, there couldn't be a harder place to do it. They are up against it in every way tonight on TXA 21 @ 7:00pm CDT.

Continued after the jump...

Star-divide

The most promising statistic for Dallas entering this game is the number of power play goals surrendered by Nashville recently, but further examination reveals that to be a fallacy. On one hand they've allowed five power play goals in their last four games, so there's opportunity there, right? On the other hand, two of them were 5-on-3's and that skews things quite a bit.

The next most promising thing is that by all accounts the Ducks should have been up by several goals after one in Nashville the other night, but incompetence at one end (a newly returned Hiller) and the brilliance at the other end (Pekka Rinne, of course) meant the Preds came out on top in a big way. That's all to say that scoring chances can be had against them.

In their last meeting Dallas allowed Nashville a lead after two periods and only a miraculous bounce on a goal that was ceremoniously awarded to Alex Goligoski saved the Stars in the end. It was lucky, and it was something that cannot be counted on again. In fact, Dallas' only two wins against the Predators this season have both been of the come-from-behind variety when trailing after two periods. Andrew Raycroft was the only reason the Stars pulled points out of their last trip to Nashville.

Raycroft won't be in net tonight, of course. Kari Lehtonen will make his 15th straight start in net for the Stars. Kari is 4-1 lifetime against the Preds with a .938 save percentage.

Dallas will be without Adam Burish, Nicklas Grossman, Brian Sutherby and Karlis Skrastins tonight. Or in other words, most of their penalty killing unit.

Interesting side note: Mike Ribeiro went 11-5 on faceoffs last time they faced the Predators, which was surely close a a season high for him. Steve Ott did even better with a 72% night on the dot.

The Tennessean speculates that Mike Fisher might be playing hurt.

The Preds won their last game AND got chewed out. That's never good for the next opponent.

Here's a nine minute video, all of which you can spend looking for Coach Trotz's neck...

And here's a sweet soccer goal scored by Suter in that last game against Anaheim.

May the sweet hockey gods grant the Stars some of that black Anaheim magic tonight, lest they be smothered by the stingy Preds led by their netminder. Just like Phoenix.

Needless to say, the season dangles by a thread. This is a must win. Will they finally dictate play in the first period or will they try to survive it and comeback once again?

Gird your loins, take your antacids, sacrifice a chicken in your back yard and put the kids to bed early. This one needs your complete and 100% total attention, and all the good thoughts that come with it.

This is it. Win tonight or go home.

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Well, I came over here to chirp, but this preview is extremely fair and even-handed. I actually want the Stars to make the dance, simply because I hate the Ducks and Hawks, but I won’t apologize if Dallas happens to be a team that gets flattened while the Preds steamroll into April…or something. Anyway, Nashville’s lineup:

Hornqvist – Fisher – Kostitsyn
Ward – Legwand – Erat
Spaling – Smithson – Tootoo
Dumont – Geoffrion – Wilson

Weber – Suter
Blum – Klein
O’Brien – Franson

Rinne

"Nothing." - Tuukka Rask, after being asked what he saw on Shea Weber's game winner in overtime.

by Chris Burton on Mar 26, 2011 10:03 AM CDT reply actions  

That’s how Trotz rolls. Doesn’t give too much responsibility to the young guys.

"Nothing." - Tuukka Rask, after being asked what he saw on Shea Weber's game winner in overtime.

by Chris Burton on Mar 26, 2011 12:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

Out of curiosity

If Lombardi, Sullivan, O’Reilly, and Goc were healthy, what do you think the lineup would be for the Predators? I know it sounds like I’m being an asshole but it’s an honest question

by Hillbutton on Mar 26, 2011 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

No worries. We’ve wondered the same thing all season.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Mar 26, 2011 1:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

I have no earthly idea; there would have to be several trades, but make no mistake – those four who are out would certainly be in the lineup, likely for Dumont, Tootoo, Spaling, and Geoffrion.

"Nothing." - Tuukka Rask, after being asked what he saw on Shea Weber's game winner in overtime.

by Chris Burton on Mar 26, 2011 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

Trotz's Neck

Nearly spit up my coffee when I read your comment there. Outstanding!

Left Wing Lock - NHL Starting Goalies & Line Combinations - Fast. Free. Accurate.

by leftwinglock on Mar 26, 2011 10:10 AM CDT reply actions  

Huge game

Let’s go boys. If we’re going to pull it out, I’m expecting a big game from Benner, Brenden and Tomas. Maybe it’s been my inability to watch entire games due to my schedule lately , but I don’t remember seeing Vincour’s name plastered throughout the game day threads since he finally scored his first goal. I’m looking for a statement game from him tonight.

by LilEagle on Mar 26, 2011 10:19 AM CDT reply actions  

Trotz = Shreck?

Points, point, points… Get them.

by Henri Muroke on Mar 26, 2011 10:20 AM CDT reply actions  

Big Game!

But I disagree that the season is done if we don’t win. If we pick up 10-12 points over the last 9 games it will be very hard to keep us out. Yeah that depends on others losing … but fact is they will lose some, just like we will.

by 1paniolo on Mar 26, 2011 11:35 AM CDT reply actions  

I will be sportin' Stars gear

At the RBC in Raleigh. Canes are in the same place as Dallas, just on the outside looking in and have a great home game tonight with TBL. 2d half of a true home/home back to back. Honestly, wish I had won the trip to Nashville tonight, just to get ugly with their fans. LETS GO STARS!

Some people live an entire lifetime wondering if they have made a difference, Marines don't have that problem - Ronald Reagan

by bluliner10 on Mar 26, 2011 12:08 PM CDT reply actions  

dont worry boys

my plane just landed in Nashville. I’m so pumped /nervous about tonight. I see a stars win 4-2.

by avfcfan89 on Mar 26, 2011 12:36 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Welcome to Smashville.

We’ll treat you very well, as we always do, but imPEKKAble Rinne won’t.

by Hockey Hillbilly on Mar 26, 2011 1:50 PM CDT up reply actions  

See you there friendo

I hope you leave unhappy and somehow have a good time. Conflicting interests but it’s the best I can do for you.

{F!@# it guys, I got this- Pekka Rinne} -Marc Torrence-
"It felt like we were playing in Canada" -Mike Fisher

by Preds Fanatic on Mar 26, 2011 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

im scared

GET OFF NIEUWENDYK'S NUTS

by 8thegreat on Mar 26, 2011 12:37 PM CDT reply actions  

thats good...

means there is some intense hockey to look forward to…more than we could say at this time last year…

this is a MASSIVE game, but im glad its on the road, honestly…i feel good about it

GO STARS!!!!

by starshorns on Mar 26, 2011 1:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

OH MY STARS!

What good writing you have Big D.

{F!@# it guys, I got this- Pekka Rinne} -Marc Torrence-
"It felt like we were playing in Canada" -Mike Fisher

by Preds Fanatic on Mar 26, 2011 2:51 PM CDT reply actions  

As even handed as Second City Hockey...

…just not as…colorful. lol.

"Our GM,
who art in the front office,
on Conn Smythe be thy name…"

by Angelou Del Angel on Mar 26, 2011 3:25 PM CDT up reply actions  

ahh

anyone know a feed to watch the game?

by slapshot0982 on Mar 26, 2011 4:36 PM CDT reply actions  

Brown went out at the end of the second too

Think he’s back now though. With Kopitar out, Handzus is on the top line now.

by Breg on Mar 26, 2011 5:06 PM CDT up reply actions  

i do not wish injuries

on any player, well… almost any player, but can’t help recognizing how this could be good for us

by PSyCo2012 on Mar 26, 2011 5:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Here's the current news on Kopitar.

Kings scoring leader Anze Kopitar has left Saturday’s game against Colorado in the second period with an injured right knee.

The center was checked lightly by defenseman Ryan O’Byrne against the left boards in the Colorado zone before falling backward and twisting his knee with 4:21 left in the second. He scored his 26th goal of the season earlier in the game.

He remained on the ice for several moments before he was helped off by teammate Michal Handzus and a trainer, and was hunched over in severe pain when he went to the dressing room.

by Travis Drybread on Mar 26, 2011 5:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Yikes

Hate the guy but I hope he’s alright.

by Brad Gardner on Mar 26, 2011 5:32 PM CDT up reply actions  

In fact at this point

Even from a hockey standpoint, all that does is make it harder for the Kings to beat the Ducks twice next month, which we so desperately, desperately need to happen.

by Brad Gardner on Mar 26, 2011 5:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

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