Like all Stars fans, i've been pretty concerned with the lackluster performance by us since that fateful game in Calgary. It causes me great mental stress when I think we could very well lose Richards for nothing and not even get into the playoffs (hint: I never even really thought that this team is THAT much better with Jamie Benn in it.)
Recently, concerned about the
slump dive, i've paid a little more attention daily to the playoff probabilities. When Razor posted that stupid blog that angered the hockey gods, we were humming somewhere around 97%. That's now taken a dive to 50.7% after Thursday night's NHL action.
Having the stomach to actually look at the playoff probabilities page (hint: having 5 Canadian Clubs in me helped extraordinarily), I realized.... that's a coin flip, right?
I reached for my wallet, predetermining that heads meant playoffs, and tails meant a depressing April-June. I found a 20c coin (i'm an Australian...we don't have quarters.)
To make sure it was fair, I made it so I did two flips, one letting the coin fall and the other with the thing there you catch it and flip it onto your wrist.
The results of my scientific experiment were as follows:
- Flip one (flipping onto wrist)... heads!
- Flip two (flipping onto wrist because I momentarily forgot that I had to do it the other way)... heads!
- Flip three (letting it fall)... heads!
Odds of that happening: one in eight shots.
- Even if the odds were 12.5%, the Stars could make the playoffs
- At the current odds of 50/50, it looks like we'll breeze it in.
- I don't think it's worthwhile putting much weight into what one 20c coin does on a friday night.
That damn Razor blog post!