Game 27 Scoring Chances: The Value Of Replacement Level Goaltending

Goalies are weird. This is a commonly accepted fact across the hockey landscape, but in this context I'm not talking about their weird off ice habits. It's sometimes difficult to come to terms with how proficient a particular goalie is at his craft. Replacement level, the level where any street free agent or minor league call up should be able to perform, can be hard to recognize in goalies. But, below replacement level goaltending slaps you in the face when you see it consistently.

The Stars started off slowly against the Sharks last night, but after the slow start they weren't terrible until the soul crushing second period parade of goals against. The Sharks outchanced the Stars 11-6 last night, but midway through the game the chances were 5 a piece. At that point sub-replacement level goaltending took over, and the rest was history.

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 1 4 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 1 3 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 6 11 6 11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Beginning with the Sharks third goal they outchanced the Stars 6-1 to finish the game. I'm not sure what that means. You could theorize any number of possible reasons for that, but I'll spare you the crackpot theories today. Follow the jump to see the detailed player report.

DBD Glossary

The Stars scoring chance numbers look strange on an individual level. The unit with the biggest negative was the Jamie Benn, Loui Eriksson, Michael Ryder, Alex Goligoski, and Philip Larsen 5-some. I'm not going to say they deserve a pass or anything, but I didn't feel like they played that poorly. The Larsen/Goligoski pairing passed the eye test, but they, and the team as a whole, have to do a better job of generating offense or they're going to keep getting massacred. Defensively the forward group has to do a better job of tracking too. A few of the goals were a direct result of Sharks forwards being left completely alone on top of the poor goaltending.

# Player POS EV PP SH
2 N. GROSSMAN D 17:38 2 3 0:00 0 0 1:44 0 0
3 S. ROBIDAS D 14:51 2 1 2:48 0 0 0:38 0 0
6 T. DALEY D 17:15 2 5 2:31 0 0 1:44 0 0
33 A. GOLIGOSKI D 19:25 2 6 2:59 0 0 0:08 0 0
36 P. LARSEN D 18:32 2 5 0:00 0 0 0:08 0 0
44 S. SOURAY D 14:19 2 2 2:20 0 0 0:28 0 0
10 B. MORROW F 12:52 3 4 1:27 0 0 0:08 0 0
11 J. DOWELL F 8:24 0 1 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
14 J. BENN F 13:58 2 3 2:28 0 0 0:18 0 0
20 R. DVORAK F 13:34 0 2 0:22 0 0 1:44 0 0
21 L. ERIKSSON F 13:52 2 5 3:01 0 0 0:10 0 0
23 T. WANDELL F 9:03 0 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
24 E. NYSTROM F 11:16 0 2 0:00 0 0 0:18 0 0
29 S. OTT F 12:09 4 2 2:04 0 0 0:00 0 0
38 V. FIDDLER F 13:09 0 4 0:03 0 0 1:44 0 0
63 M. RIBEIRO F 15:20 4 4 2:48 0 0 0:00 0 0
73 M. RYDER F 13:42 3 4 2:46 0 0 0:00 0 0
81 T. VINCOUR F 11:23 0 1 0:58 0 0 0:08 0 0
30 A. RAYCROFT G 50:24 6 11 5:19 0 0 2:20 0 0

Nothing about the above list was pretty, but, as Worley pointed out earlier, an entire team can get shaky when they don't have confidence that simple shots are going to be stopped. The Stars were playing the Sharks straight up until the 2nd period barrage. After that the offensive chances completely disappeared.

Because of the aforementioned shakiness the Stars turned to Richard Bachman and he was fine. He played within himself, controlled rebounds, and stayed positionally sound. I don't know what kind of ceiling he has, but I know that in one period he played like a capable NHL goaltender. The stark contrast between how he and Andrew Raycroft played was obvious enough that you didn't need to worry about replacement level, save percentages, or soul crushing soft goals. Bachman simply looks like a better goalie, and hopefully that wasn't a one period mirage.

Team Period Time Note DAL Opponent
SJS 1 18:53 Couture,g 3 10 29 30 44 63 9 29 31 39 60 88 5v5
SJS 1 18:40 McGinn,g 20 24 30 33 36 38 5 12 26 31 61 64 5v5
SJS 1 16:36 Pavelski 10 21 30 33 36 63 8 10 19 22 31 44 5v5
SJS 1 15:01 Braun 6 10 30 44 63 9 12 22 31 61 4v4
DAL 1 13:12 Benn 2 6 14 21 30 73 8 10 19 22 31 44 5v5
DAL 1 7:16 Eriksson 3 14 21 30 44 73 9 29 31 39 60 88 5v5
DAL 1 6:24 Ribeiro,g 2 6 10 29 30 63 12 22 26 31 44 64 5v5
DAL 1 4:15 Ott 10 29 30 33 36 63 5 9 29 31 39 61 5v5
SJS 2 19:40 Pavelski 2 6 14 21 30 73 8 10 19 22 31 44 5v5
DAL 2 10:49 Morrow 3 10 29 30 44 63 12 22 26 31 44 64 5v5
SJS 2 8:11 Clowe,g 6 21 30 33 38 73 9 19 22 29 31 60 5v5
SJS 2 6:13 Winchester,g 2 6 14 21 30 73 8 10 19 22 31 88 5v5
SJS 2 2:05 Mitchell,g 14 21 30 33 36 73 12 17 31 44 64 88 5v5
SJS 3 13:47 Handzus 11 30 33 36 38 81 12 26 31 60 61 64 5v5
DAL 3 4:28 Ryder,tip,wide 29 30 33 36 63 73 12 26 31 60 61 64 5v5
SJS 3 3:24 Mitchell 2 6 20 24 30 38 5 10 17 19 22 31 5v5
SJS 3 1:38 Couture 10 29 30 33 36 63 9 31 39 60 69 88 5v5

As always, if you have any scoring questions or requests of any kind leave me a comment or send me a message @JoshL1220. Also, if you click on the DBD Glossary at the top of the page you will notice that I've published a few updates to it. If you would like anything else added to it, or different/more detailed explanations let me know

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