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Gameday Preview: Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars (7:30pm CST)


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Game 36: Columbus Blue Jackets @ Dallas Stars

Thursday, December 29th, 2011, 7:30 PM CST
American Airlines Center

Local TV, Radio: FS SW HD, KTCK 1310 The Ticket

Opponent Blog:The Cannon


The Dallas Stars will look to bounce back tonight after a disappointing 5-3 loss in St. Louis on Monday, and they'll have the most important healthy body of all back to help them do it: Kari Lehtonen.

Lehtonen has missed 12 games with a groin injury suffered in Phoenix on November 26th. The Stars managed a 7-5-0 record in that time thanks to the goaltending of Richard Bachman and Andrew Raycroft (now on waivers, though he did put forth two stellar efforts in wins against the Senators and Avalanche). The big Finn carries with him a 13-4-1 record on the season.

His return comes at the right time for the Stars, who made it known Wednesday afternoon that the club's top defensive pairing in Stephane Robidas and Sheldon Souray would miss the next 10-14 days with their foot and ankle injuries, encompassing at least five additional games.

"Having Hammer [Souray] and Robi out is a big loss for our club," said Gulutzan Wednesday. "If you take two guys that play around 22 minutes a night and two veteran, savvy guys that give you a little bit of everything: offense, physical presence, leadership - those are big holes to fill."

The Jackets enter as the league's worst team (by record) at 9-22-5, and the worst road team at 3-12-2. They have not won a game on the road in regulation this season. The Stars took back to back meetings with Columbus in mid-October by a combined score of 7-4.

Star-divide

The Stars:

Coach Glen Gulutzan made a point this week after practices to say that specialty teams would be a big focus of this next seven game set/series. The power play was scheduled to get some work yesterday and could get more today at morning skate. Can the Stars get healthy against a poor penalty killing team? One thing to note is that the Blue Jackets have been limiting their opponent's opportunities recently, surrendering just 2.5 power plays per game over their last six, so that could hinder Dallas' effort.

The defensive pairings should stay the same, sans Robidas and Souray:

Goligoski-Larsen
Grossman-Daley
Fistric-Pardy

The Goligoski pair is earning more minutes (23-24) than the Grossman pairing (20-22) and the Fistric/Pardy duo comes in a distant third at around 13-15 minutes a game. Look for the coaching staff to continue limiting defensive zone starts for the Fistric pairing. Can Larsen hold up over the long term with nearly first-pair responsibilities until Robidas and Souray return? Keep en eye on all of that over the next five games.

At the time of his injury Lehtonen had lost four of six, coinciding with the Stars offensive woes of mid-November, but he himself was experiencing a bit of a market correction in that span. He had stopped 157 of the last 174 shots faced (.902), well under his season average. The big question with his return is: Which Kari Lehtonen do the Stars get right out of the box? That Kari, or the dominant one of their first 14 games? With their top defensive pair out in Robidas and Souray, he could see a large work load immediately.

The Jackets third line of Pahlsson, Dorsett and Umberger is a combined -7 on the year, a really impressive number considering Columbus carries players with plus/minuses of -20 (Rick Nash) and -14 (Brassard), etc. If The Fiddler line is matched with that trio they'll have their hands full trying to add to Eric Nystrom's career high goal total.

Finally, a good note courtesy of Stars PR: Dallas hasn't allowed Columbus to score over two goals in a game in their last nine meetings (does not include shootout totals). The last time Columbus scored three or more goals in regulation against Dallas was Nov. 19, 2009 when the Blue Jackets defeated the Stars 4-1 at American Airlines Center.

The Blue Jackets:

As Dallas saw against Columbus on October 19th, just because the Jackets have a bad record doesn't mean they won't challenge you and play hard. They out-chanced the Stars 21-9 by our count that night [link] and the Stars needed every big save Kari Lehtonen could give them to get two points that night.

The Flames, in winning a 2-1 shootout game against the Blue Jackets the other night, saw the same thing. Read the AP report here and the multiple voices emanating from the Calgary locker room saying how good Miikka Kipprusoff had to be to win that game. If they bring a similar effort Kari Lehtonen could be in for a big test in his first game back.

Columbus averaged 2.42 goals per game in December, a shade better than their 2.33 mark on the year. They surrendered them in bunches, however, giving up 3.58 per in 12 December games so far. Their 15% power play is better than Dallas' on the year thus far, but their penalty killing is 29th in the league at 74.6%. They've surrendered power play goals in each of their last three, but had a clean sheet in the four games prior (killed 10 of 10).

Steve Mason is expected to get the start in net. He's 0-8-0 on the road this season with a 4.80 GAA.

The Columbus lineup as of late:

Nash-Carter-Johansen
Prospal-Vermette-Letestu
Umberger-Pahlsson-Dorsett
Mackenzie-Brassard-Boll

Moore-Wisniewski
Tyutin-Nikitin
Methot-Ciltsome

There is plenty of talent to fear in that lineup. The Jackets are (over) due for that first regulation road win and the Stars will want to be careful to focus on the task at hand rather than looking ahead to a big New Years Eve tilt against the Boston Bruins.

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I'm really hoping that the Kari from the first 14 games is going to show up.

He should…. the dude is well rested.

But that’s like, my own opinion, man.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 7:45 AM CST reply actions  

I take exception to calling Souray-Robidas our top pairing… its just not true

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 7:50 AM CST via mobile reply actions  

Who would you suggest then?

Those two played not only top minutes, but were on the ice at most of the crucial times in a game.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 8:16 AM CST up reply actions  

Going by Qualcomp..

Grossman sees the toughest minutes at even strength followed by goligoski.. Souray and Daley are some how dead even behind goose and Robidas is closer to Larsen than Souray and Daley

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 8:57 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I think thats because teams have adjusted how they attack the Stars.

They’re trying to keep their offensive players away from Souray and Robidas.

You can’t just look at Qualcomp and put guys in some order. It’s a tool that is supposed to give insight into what kind of matchups a team is seeking.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:01 AM CST up reply actions  

Err nevermind. See below.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:03 AM CST up reply actions  

not sure what you are seeing

but they are our #1 pairing. they play top minutes, our best defensive and most experienced pair, and the most reliable. I don’t think they are the ideal for most teams, but they are what we have and with the game on the line, that’s who I want out there. I certainly don’t want Fistric, pardy, or grossman. maybe daley or goligoski, but for my money I want robidas, for sure, and Souray with his size, strength, and experience will out muscle most players in front of the net. neither daley or goligoski can provide that.

by DStarsFan on Dec 29, 2011 8:28 AM CST via Android app up reply actions  

Send a letter to Gulutzan then.

They play the most difficult defensive minutes, against the top lines of the competition, and a boatload of special teams. They’re used as a top pairing duo, and I’m not sure who else you would suggest is the top pair.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 8:56 AM CST up reply actions  

Check qualcomp again unless behind the net no longer keeps good stats…

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 9:00 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

You're looking at QualComp instead of Corsi Relative QualComp.

QualComp is based off of +/-, which is obviously going to be flawed.

Click

Robidas, Souray, Grossman 1-2-3

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:03 AM CST up reply actions  

Derp I guess I knew something was wrong on some level but I can’t say I approve of them being used the way they are

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 9:10 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

They're playing exceptionally well imo.

The problem people have with Souray and Robidas is two fold. One, Souray takes too many stupid penalties, some of which are a consequence of how often he plays in the defensive zone. Two, they can make some mind numbingly bad turnovers/puck decisions that get stuck in peoples minds. The good outweighs the bad though.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:15 AM CST up reply actions  

Goligoski is a defender capable of playing 25+, minutes a night and we payed a kings ransom for him Imo him and Grossman can and should be playing a ton of minutes every night I don’t remember who goose was playing with last season but crow had him playing half the game every night and doing well and you can’t deny how well Larsen has been playing, the problem is ourlarge number of smallish defenders

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 9:23 AM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I don't know.

Grossman has been pretty bad this year. He’s been better lately, but I think a lot of that comes from the fact that they’ve made his even strength minutes easier.

As far as Goligoski and Larsen go, I don’t fully agree on either. I think Larsen has displayed skills that suggest he can be a good NHLer, but he isn’t there yet. He makes some of the turnovers Robidas is dinged for, he plays very easy minutes, and his offensive game overall is lacking so far. He has the offensive skills…but they haven’t translated to production.

And that gets back to Goligoski. He isn’t playing as well this year as he was when he came over from Pittsburgh. His offensive production isn’t there, but he has been generating chances so I’m not terribly concerned about his offense. His defense has regressed though. He’s made some terrible decisions with the puck in the defensive zone that, I think, stem from the fact that he’s so talented offensively that he thinks he can always make that difficult pass, and that can backfire horribly in defensive situations. I’d like to see him simplify his game.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 10:12 AM CST up reply actions  

I agree

completely regarding Goligoski. I think that’s the first time I’ve seen anyone besides me say anything negative about him at all this season. He does take too many chances because of his skill and has made a lot of inexcusable turnovers because of it. Simplify!

by StarzenheimerSchmidt on Dec 29, 2011 12:01 PM CST up reply actions  

I'm ok with the chances in the offensive zone.

I love what he does, but he needs to scale it back. The Islanders game was turrrrible. I couldn’t believe the pass he tried to make out front from behind the net with an Isle on both posts and one in the slot. Theres no need for that.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 5:54 PM CST up reply actions  

Or was that the Devils and David Clarkson with the shot?

Whatever…the idea remains the same.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 6:00 PM CST up reply actions  

I think crows systems and philosophy of how defense should be used was much more beneficial to goose’s style of the play as opposed to gullys

by can we get hatcher back on Dec 29, 2011 4:57 PM CST via mobile up reply actions  

I'm not sure what it is.

He has the same responsibilities in this system that he had with Crawford I think. They’re allowed (defensemen) to join the rush if they have the ability to do so, and he has that ability as much as anyone.

I tend to think it has nothing to do with the system. He’s generating chances for teammates so I have little criticism of his offensive play other than that I’d expect more power play production (though I think the fact that everyone on the PP tends to stand around doing nothing is as much of a contributing factor as anything Goligoski is doing). Defense is simplified in this system. They’re playing a zone that asks them to stand in an area for the most part and clear rebounds. He’s doing that just fine. It’s the mind numbing turnovers that are causing the most problems.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 5:59 PM CST up reply actions  

I don't want to watch this.

Goligoski-Larsen
Grossman-Daley
Fistric-Pardy

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 8:57 AM CST reply actions  

Hopefully Pardy will have a good game like he did the other night.

Maybe?

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 8:59 AM CST up reply actions  

I guess it's possible.

I just hope they don’t get used how I think they’re going to get used.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:05 AM CST up reply actions  

A lot?

(snicker)

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 9:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Basically

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 9:20 AM CST up reply actions  

Pardy was ok the other night.

He wasn’t really noticeable out there but usually I notice him for defensive screw ups.

by T-rom on Dec 29, 2011 9:06 AM CST up reply actions  

Hey guys

Let’s remember though, at least he’s not Niskanen.

… … …amiright?

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 9:43 AM CST up reply actions  

Yes, you are correct.

And at least he’s not WTF face Woywitka.

by T-rom on Dec 29, 2011 11:08 AM CST up reply actions  

Niskanen would be the Stars #1 defenseman right now based on this season.

Just saying.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 6:00 PM CST up reply actions  

That's assuming his numbers would be the same if he were playing for us.

I contend that they would not.

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 30, 2011 2:34 PM CST up reply actions  

TRAP GAME

Is what I wanted to put in the game preview. Because that’s what it is.

I fear tonight.

by Brad Gardner on Dec 29, 2011 9:44 AM CST reply actions  

I don't think it's a trap when our top 2 d-men are out

and the blue jackets are “due” in every category imaginable.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 9:46 AM CST up reply actions  

Aren't we "due" to have a monster game by Kari?

And therefore a win?

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 9:52 AM CST up reply actions  

Okay, so the "dues" cancel each other out.

Therefore making it a trap game.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 10:04 AM CST up reply actions  

Just because the Jackets suck doesn't necessarily mean that they're "due".

The could actually be destined for failure. They can’t escape it. It’s their destiny!

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 11:23 AM CST up reply actions  

It's not that they really suck though.

They’ve got some good pieces…. there’s just something….wrong… this year.

They’re due for a regulation road win, that’s for sure.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 11:24 AM CST up reply actions  

And yet with the same roster, they were in the playoff race until the last week or two of last season.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 11:38 AM CST up reply actions  

weren't they picked by most "experts" to be in the top 8 this year?

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 11:51 AM CST up reply actions  

Which only reinforces how futile preseason prognostication really is.

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 12:01 PM CST up reply actions  

If they had league average goaltending they'd be in the playoffs right now.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Dec 29, 2011 6:02 PM CST up reply actions  

Didn't many of those same "experts" predict that we would be in the basement of the Western Conference this year?

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 12:02 PM CST up reply actions  

You really think we're headed for 15th in the western conference?

After managing to go 7-5 without our superstar goaltender?

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Dec 29, 2011 2:37 PM CST up reply actions  

No I really don't.

We’ve had one of our best players (even more importantly, our Goaltender) out for a pretty long stretch and have done alright. We’re not leading the Division like we were before but we’re hardly headed for last or second to last in the West as many predicted.

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 3:31 PM CST up reply actions  

No offense intended, but you can be a real downer sometimes.

While I expected a win, the idea that Souray and Robi being out is still a pretty big factor. Much of our problems last night were turnovers by the defense. It’s one game. And as so many people were quick to point out to me yesterday, Columbus has only been getting better, stronger and they weren’t going to suck forever.

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 30, 2011 2:33 PM CST up reply actions  

In the immortal words of Yoda, Good pieces do not a good team make.

Maybe they’re destined to just be “wrong” all year. All kidding aside though, they don’t seem to have the capacity to turn it around. I have no real explanation as to why it’s fallen apart with such similar roster. Maybe Mason has just lost it. Maybe Carter is cursed. I know I’m jinxing us right now but whatever is the problem they’ve had quite a good portion of the year to figure it out and they haven’t. I’m thinking they need a big change or shake up to jar them out of this. Otherwise they’ll stay where they are in the standings. I guess my point is…someone has to be in last place at the end of the year. Why not Columbus?

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 11:58 AM CST up reply actions  

Maybe so.

They’re pulling an Indy? They’re doing alright so far.

"I know the last couple of years have been especially hard for Stars fans. To all of you: First let me say thank you for your patience and support, and please know that the uncertainty is now over." -- Tom Gaglardi

by EagleBelf on Dec 29, 2011 3:32 PM CST up reply actions  

Good to see Lehtonen back.

Hope they get some points.

Trevor Daley is my cup of tea.

by Henri Muroke on Dec 29, 2011 11:16 AM CST reply actions  

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