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Game Five Scoring Chances: Skull and Crossbones Edition

When the Columbus Blue Jackets and Dallas Stars met up on the American Airlines Center ice saturday night two polar opposite clubs skated to a 4-2 decision. One side is clearly lacking a top six playmaker and a defenseman or two while the other looked like a very good club. One team has a payroll scraping the NHL salary floor, and the other is among the highest paid teams in the league.

Before tonight would you have guessed that the Blue Jackets are both the higher paid club, and the club with more signifcant holes? Without watching a game of theirs prior to tonight I wouldn't have, but that's how things worked out.

On a night that saw the Texas Rangers clinch their second straight American League pennant, the Stars played what I think is their best full 60 minutes of the season. The Stars outplayed Columbus in every aspect of the game, and the scoring chance report supports what our eyes saw. Follow the jump to read more.

Star-divide

I would like to thank my DVR for kicking me in the stomach tonight. When I hit play I looked at the upper left hand corner to see 9:00 remaining in the first period. Somehow my DVR didn't record the first half of the period. So, the early first period results might be off, but not by much, and not enough to significantly impact the results. I went through the play by play data for the first ten minutes. I recorded any shot attempt that had a distance of less than 30 feet as a chance. At first I thought it might slant the game in the Stars' favor, but then I watched the rest of the game. This happened:

Period Totals EV PP 5v3 PP SH 5v3 SH
1 5 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0
2 8 1 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 4 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 17 6 14 2 3 1 0 0 0 3 0 0

The Stars outchanced the Blue Jackets 17-6 for the game, and at even strength the Stars outchanced Columbus 14-2. You aren't going to win when you get out chanced by 12 at even strength, and Columbus didn't win. They could neither generate offense nor play effective defense. The Stars offense was able to thread needle after needle across the crease for a backdoor play virtually at will. You can't really even pull that pass off on NHL 12, but an actual NHL team allowed that play to happen at least five times. The final time Kris Russell at least came close to deflecting the puck out of danger. But, alas....

The offense the Jackets throw on the ice is an impressive collection of names. Unfortunately they were lifeless, on the perimeter, and completely lacking in creativity. The Jeff Carter/Rick Nash line was completely taken out of the game, and it looks like those that questioned the wisdom of putting two big time shooters on a line together with no real playmaking presence might have been on to something. For the season, the Carter/Nash duo are getting favorable ice time. They have the lowest Corsi Relative Quality of Competition on the Jackets, and they start predominantly in the offensive zone. They have a combined 8 points in 5 games so they've produced a little for the season, but efforts like tonight really make you scratch your head.

The Jamie Benn, Steve Ott, and Loui Eriksson trio shredded the Nash/Carter line tonight.

# Player EV PP SH
2 N. GROSSMAN 14:07 4 0 0:00 0 0 3:59 0 1
3 S. ROBIDAS 14:14 1 2 4:34 3 1 4:33 0 2
6 T. DALEY 14:27 4 0 2:40 0 0 3:33 0 1
10 B. MORROW 9:30 4 1 4:27 3 1 0:57 0 0
11 J. DOWELL 8:26 1 0 0:00 0 0 1:27 0 0
14 J. BENN 15:18 7 1 3:10 0 0 0:00 0 0
16 A. BURISH 10:47 2 0 0:01 0 0 2:28 0 2
17 T. PETERSEN 7:03 0 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
20 R. DVORAK 10:28 1 0 0:12 0 0 2:18 0 0
21 L. ERIKSSON 14:17 7 1 2:53 0 0 2:11 0 1
23 T. WANDELL 7:51 1 0 0:00 0 0 0:00 0 0
27 A. PARDY 15:19 7 0 0:00 0 0 1:23 0 1
29 S. OTT 14:22 8 1 3:04 0 0 2:11 0 1
32 K. LEHTONEN 43:51 14 2 7:32 3 1 8:37 0 3
33 A. GOLIGOSKI 15:59 9 0 4:59 3 1 1:29 0 0
38 V. FIDDLER 9:57 0 0 0:01 0 0 3:40 0 2
44 S. SOURAY 14:01 3 2 2:51 0 0 2:17 0 1
63 M. RIBEIRO 11:54 6 1 4:27 3 1 1:40 0 0
73 M. RYDER 11:12 5 1 4:21 3 1 0:22 0 0

The Benn trio were a +6, +7, and +6 in scoring chances on the night, but they were eclipsed in dominance. Alex Goligoski has returned to his post as scoring chance champion. Not only was he on the ice for NINE scoring chances for, but he was on the ice for ZERO chances against. Yes folks, Goligoski was a +9 in scoring chances, and his new friend Adam Pardy was a +7. The only negative player for the Stars last night was Stephane Robidas, and really, who thinks that means much? I don't. Robidas is a horse. 

As you scroll down and gander at the detailed chance chart you will notice the the Stars didn't allow a scoring chance for 26 minutes during one stretch last night. After the Alexandre Giroux goal early in the second period the Stars didn't allow a single scoring chance until Rick Nash generated one with 12:40 remaining in the third period. And even that one was wide....

Team Period Time Note DAL Opponent
DAL 1 17:03 Benn,tip 14 21 27 29 32 33 1 2 3 7 22 61 5v5
CBJ 1 13:14 Prospal,g 3 16 32 38 44 1 7 22 51 58 61 4v5
DAL 1 9:35 Ryder,s 2 10 32 33 63 73 1 10 14 18 28 50 5v5
DAL 1 8:35 Morrow,g 2 6 10 32 63 73 1 2 18 28 50 58 5v5
DAL 1 7:16 Robidas,s 3 10 32 33 63 73 1 2 3 24 50 5v4
DAL 1 6:58 Morrow,s 3 10 32 33 63 73 1 2 3 24 50 5v4
CBJ 1 3:02 Prospal,s 3 16 27 32 38 1 7 22 51 58 61 4v5
CBJ 2 18:47 Giroux,g 3 10 32 44 63 73 1 2 3 18 28 50 5v5
DAL 2 16:12 Dowell,tip 2 6 11 16 29 32 1 3 7 10 22 61 5v5
DAL 2 15:44 Goligoski,wide 14 21 27 29 32 33 1 2 3 16 22 24 5v5
DAL 2 10:39 Eriksson,g 6 14 21 29 32 44 1 2 3 8 15 26 5v5
DAL 2 5:29 Burish,tip 16 20 27 32 33 63 1 7 10 14 22 61 5v5
DAL 2 4:26 Ribeiro 2 6 23 32 63 73 1 8 16 24 51 58 5v5
DAL 2 3:18 Benn,wide 14 21 27 29 32 33 1 2 3 8 15 26 5v5
DAL 2 0:53 Ribeiro 10 27 32 33 63 73 1 2 3 18 28 50 5v5
DAL 2 0:37 Morrow,g 10 27 32 33 63 73 1 2 3 18 28 50 5v5
DAL 3 18:51 Benn,s 3 14 21 29 32 44 1 15 28 50 51 58 5v5
DAL 3 14:16 Eriksson,s 14 21 27 29 32 33 1 7 10 14 22 61 5v5
CBJ 3 12:40 Nash,wide 2 6 21 29 32 1 7 22 51 58 61 4v5
DAL 3 6:08 Ryder,g 3 10 32 33 63 73 1 2 14 24 50 5v4
CBJ 3 5:01 Carter 3 14 21 29 32 44 1 7 10 14 22 61 5v5
DAL 3 4:48 Eriksson,s 14 21 29 32 33 44 1 7 10 14 22 61 5v5
CBJ 3 1:05 Carter 3 10 32 33 63 73 1 7 10 58 61 5v4

I would like to take a moment as we wind down to reflect on Steve Mason. The Blue Jackets expensive roster has played poorly so far, and he is taking most of the blame. I realize this was only one game, but the Stars aren't a healthy Pittsburgh Penguins. They're a solid hockey team, but they aren't an offensive juggernaut. I imagine the effort Columbus put out there tonight isn't much different than a normal effort, and if that assumption is correct the Columbus defense is awful. James Wisniewski coming back will help, but he won't fix all that ails that corps.

The Columbus defense did a very poor job of protecting the crease and blocking the Stars passing lanes out front. They allowed too many chances to get to Mason, and their transition game was so poor that when combined with their lack of creativity up front they couldn't generate enough offense to alieviate the pressure on Mason for very long. He might not be the savior of the franchise, but he isn't this bad. The Eriksson goal bounced off a defenseman. The Morrow and Ryder goals were cross-crease passes. The Souray goal, the most stoppable of them all, was a presumed 100 mph bomb shot behind a Brenden Morrow screen. So, what is Mason supposed to do?

/rant

As always, if you have any questions feel free to leave a comment or send me a tweet @JoshL1220. If you are wondering where Skull and Crossbones in the title came from you were either A. at the game, or B. not watching any pregame or intermission coverage, or C. you don't pay attention to wardrobe. So, you know, don't fast forward through commercials or intermissions (but, do go to games).

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arrgg mateys

Avast. I married rich and dress poorly. I spy Sevvy over starboard bow and I do me own makeup. Land ho.

What the Puck?

by DirtyBrotenScoundrel on Oct 16, 2011 12:43 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Heh...this is kind of mean

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Oct 16, 2011 1:12 PM CDT up reply actions  

Domination!

And yet the game could have swung on those second period power plays while Stars trailed 2-1.

It’s a funny old thing, life.

by Brad Gardner on Oct 16, 2011 2:00 PM CDT reply actions  

Last season they would have. The PK is significantly better.

Defending Big D Check it out
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"You guys are talking about living forever like it’s a real thing, but I bust out a man shoving his head into a vagina, and it’s srs time?"
--iorange555 8/23/2011

by Josh Lile on Oct 16, 2011 2:39 PM CDT up reply actions  

I watched the game, but had the Columbus feed, because I live out of state.

I sure am glad I get left out of the joke.

:-P

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Oct 16, 2011 3:51 PM CDT reply actions  

I like jokes

I had the Columbus feed also. Lame.

by gdemander on Oct 16, 2011 6:55 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

That's okay, we'll make our own inside joke.

Just for those of us with the Columbus feed.

"He punched the highlights out of her hair.... He punched the HIGHLIGHTS out of her hair!!!" -- Young Neil

by Tsudbury on Oct 16, 2011 7:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

Did you take a look at the Columbus Scoring Chance article?

I really like that matrix they did at the end. It really gives insight into which lines are generating scoring chances against the other team’s lines. Is this something that you could easily generate with the data that you currently have? If not, it’s no big deal. More info is always appreciated though. And I like these articles after the games. Keep up the great work on this.

by whodafreak on Oct 17, 2011 4:43 PM CDT reply actions  

That is cool, I like that chart

really show’s who the lines got matched up against. Will be interesting to see how that changes when Columbus has last change tonight.

It was also interesting to note that they had Columbus with 3 more chances than Josh and us with 1 less chance. I really hadn’t considered being able to assess the same set of data from two independent viewpoints with an opposing bias. It brings out the analyst in me! But I am resisting the urge to go back and look at the individual plays that were counted differently as I have work to do. sigh.

It was also interesting to me that they presented the data in opposite order that Josh does. I like Josh’s approach of showing the team summary then digging down to individual results better.

Josh, any place we can see the other teams participating in this project so we can try and read the other teams scoring chance info when we play them? Though I’m sure it is going to be difficult when the season is in full swing for people to post up game by game summaries. The data acquisition alone is time consuming, much less doing analysis and posting a report. Are all the participants also posting reports along with the data?

Again, excellent work! Thank you!

by 1paniolo on Oct 18, 2011 9:12 AM CDT up reply actions  

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