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Dallas Stars Video Analysis: What Happened Last Night

As I was watching the game last night, I knew something was off. Andrew Raycroft's performance this season has been nothing sort of brilliant, yet the Calgary Flames still ended up with seven goals on the scoreboard yesterday. I found myself asking why that was. 

The easy answer would be "Every goalie has a bad game," or "It was just bad juck," or "The numbers don't matter." 

Well, we here at DBD don't settle for easy answers. And I have no life lots of free time. So I went through the video of the game, and I've come up with a screenshot-by-screenshot analysis of all of the Flame's goals last night. Follow the jump to get started....

Star-divide

First Goal

Firstgoal1_medium

The first Flames score was set up as a simple possession: get a man in front of the net and sling pucks towards him. Or, at least that seemed to be on Robin Regehr's mind. His first slingshot from the point was blocked aside, so Alex Tanguay carried the puck back up the left side of the boards, passing it back to Jay Boumeester, who gave it right back to Regehr at the blueline. Keep an eye on the Flame in the middle of the screen: That's Tanguay, with Ribeiro trailing him. 

Firstgoal2_medium

Regehr shot the puck in on net. You can see here that Tanguay has completely left Ribs behind him, because Ribeiro was slow to keep up with his man. Meanwhile, Raycroft blocked the shot aside. Only one problem: the rebound bounced to the right side of the net, where Brendan Morrison just happened to be sliding to. 

Firstgoal3_medium

The puck bounced onto Morrison's stick. Now keep in mind that the last two two frames happened in a split second, which is why you can see that Raycroft hasn't moved very much at all. Rayzor should be in good position here for the rebound that he caused: the rebound was down to the right side of the net, so hugging the post was the right angle to take away in case Morrison shot the puck. Only he didn't, and because Ribeiro lost his man earlier in the play...

Firstgoal4_medium

...Tanguay is left unmolested in front of a gaping net. I'm not going to fault Rayzor too much for this one. 

Second Goal

Secondgoal01_medium

Here we have a faceoff in the Calgary zone. Olli Jokinen has been bumped from the faceoff, and has moved next to Jamie Benn while David Moss has taken over in the faceoff circle. 

Secondgoal1_medium

Richards wins the faceoff. Because of the scrum on the dot, notice that Benn has left his man (Jokinen) free up the ice. At the same time, Grossman, seeing all three Dallas forwards stuck up ice, has pinched a bit off the faceoff, and he and the suddenly free Jokinen reach both of their sticks out to gain possession of the puck. I can't fault this move by Grossman. Neal, Richards, and Benn are behind the play, and three Flames forwards are already progressing up ice. If Grossman doesn't pinch here, it's a guaranteed 3-on-2. As it is, Jokinen pushes the puck past Grossman...

Secondgoal2_medium

...and a 3-on-1 develops. Though you can see that Grossman is chugging along well enough to keep Moss somewhat tied up if necessary. 

Secondgoal4_medium

Here you can see Raycroft far out of his crease to challenge Jokinen. My limited goaltender technique knowledge tells me that he's in good form here: squared up to the shot, glove hand raised. You can't see him in the picture, but another Flame is off to Raycroft's right. However, Robidas has covered the pass here well by now, so there's nothing left for Jokinen to do but shoot...

Secondgoal5_medium

...and he beats Raycroft under the glove. If you watch this in real time, it's apparent that Raycroft simply misses with his glove hand. I don't think he was expecting short side, which is why he was so far out of his crease. (If I'm wrong on this, then I'd appreciate if you goalies out there would correct me in the comments.) Credit to Jokinen for a great hustle play, but I think this is one Rayzor usually would've stopped. 

Third goal

This next goal, I think, would initially cause some finger-pointing towards Matt Niskanen after the first glance. But looking closer, he's not at fault for this play at all. 

Thirdgoal1_medium

This sequence begins with a battle between Tom Wandell and Tim Jackman along the boards. Wandell loses said battle, and the puck slides over to the stick of Adam Pardy

Thirdgoal2_medium

Here, Mikael Backlund receives a pass from Pardy and carries the puck up the ice. Notice Wandell skating between Backlund and Jackman as they move forward. 

Thirdgoal3_medium

Now, it's hard to show through pictures, but up to this point Wandell has been skating markedly slower than the other two Flames up the ice. As the primary backchecker in this sequence, that's a big no-no. At this point, with Jackman in possession of the puck and Backlund starting to cut towards the net, Wandell is in no position to make a defensive play on a crossing pass. 

Thirdgoal4_medium

And because of that, Backlund is able to take the inside of Niskanen on his way to the net, and deflects the puck over the shoulder of a helpless Andrew Raycroft. 

I never thought I'd ever take so much effort defending Matt Niskanen, but there you go. 

Fourth Goal

4thgoal1_medium

Another play sprung from a lost battle along the boards. I think we can say that was the Stars' biggest weakness last night, no? Here, Brenden Morrow is pushed violently off the puck by David Moss, who carries the puck into the attacking zone. 

4thgoal2_medium

Nik Hagman receives the pass. Stephane Robidas is in a tough position here; he has to be ready to make a split-second decision to either block the shot or break up the pass. 

4thgoal3_medium

He guesses right, blocking Hagman's shot. The chaos that follows leads to David Moss regaining the puck..

4thgoal4_medium

And he gets a shot off uncontested. Raycroft is in good position here. Pads low, angle covered....

Fourthgoal5_medium

...yet the puck ends up in the back of the net. Watching this in real time, I got the sense that Raycroft didn't squeeze his legs together in time, perhaps just a split-second off his timing. So he got a piece of it, but not nearly enough to keep it from squirting through for a goal. 

Fifth Goal

5thgoal1_medium

Hey look! Another lost boards battle. Only this one was pure domination by Jarome Iginla. You'll notice Alex Tanguay cherrypicking hovering near mid-ice, and Brendan Morrison just to Iginla's left. 

5thgoal2_medium

Iginla makes a nifty lob pass over Benn and a pinching Karlis Skrastins, and Tanguay catches it and carries it into the Stars' zone with Morrison against the lone warrior Robidas (who seemed to be in these unfortunate situations a lot last night). 

5th_goal_3_medium

Here again, Robidas blocks the passing lane perfectly. Raycroft seems to have learned from his last mistake against Jokinen: here, he's deeper in his crease and has the shortside well covered. 

5thgoal4_medium

Unfortunately for him, Morrison makes a perfect shot to the far side of the net, and Raycroft is slow to react to it. Suddenly Dallas is down 5-2. They manage to make it 5-3 in the third period, until...

Sixth Goal

 

Seventh Goal

7th_goal_1_medium

Dallas is on the penalty kill here. Already, you can tell this is not going to end well. Dallas has three forwards above the circles, leaving a 3-on-1 situation below for Raycroft to deal with. 

7th_goal_2_medium

Mark Giordano wrists the puck in deep, and Jokinen's deflection is blocked by Andrew Raycroft. In this picture, you can see the puck right in front of Olli Jokinen's left skate. Not the greatest rebound. 

7th_goal_3_medium

Jokinen, realizing this as he falls down, manages to squeeze the puck around Raycroft's right pad. Again, Raycroft was slow to react here, leaving that small space open for the puck to pass through. 

7th_goal_4_medium

Calgary collapses on the net, and Moss ends up with the easy goal. 

                     

So what we can gather from this:

 

  •  Andrew Raycroft had a bad game. He was slow to react to sloppy rebounds, guessed wrong a lot of times and just seemed perplexed in net. Razor made a point on the broadcast last night to sympathize with him, saying that every goaltender has a nightmarish night like this. And he's right, I have no doubt Raycroft will bounce back. 
  • The forwards were sluggish last night on defense. The backchecking in transition was too slow. Players lost their men in the defensive zone, leading to prime scoring chances. Calgary dominated Dallas with their board play. I think the Stars were due to have that kind of game, and it happened last night. 
  • Stephane Robidas is awesome. The poor guy got left alone in his own zone a ton, but still defended them perfectly. 
A few days off will be good for this team to go over the game tape and rest a bit. They're going to need to forget this game if they want to compete with the Canucks. 

Comment 20 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Nice Job!

I would slightly disagree:

First Goal: if Grossman hadn’t pinched it would have been a much more manageable 3 on 2 vs 3 on 1. Thats a real quick decision though, and with Crawford wanting to push up this is the sort of thing that happens if you don’t get it.

Third Goal: Backland is the 2nd guy in zone and should be Niskys responsibility, from the blue line back to the circle it looked like Nisky had the angle to beat Backland to the goal, but he didn’t. Wandell is coasting and looking back as his responsibility really is the 3rd guy in zone. At least thats how I read it … could be totally wrong.

Bottom line is usually when these things have happened our goalies have made that stop … this game not. I’m ready to move on, and still have confidence in Raycraft for his next start. He had a similar outing in the last pre season game and snapped right back.

by 1paniolo on Jan 22, 2011 7:25 PM CST reply actions  

Yeah, you could be right.

I just didn’t think that he could do much with that angle though, but perhaps he created that problem to begin with. Either way, not enough hustle by either of them on that play.

by Pat Iversen on Jan 22, 2011 11:21 PM CST up reply actions  

I didn't see the game

Since he didn’t break down the sixth goal Raycroft surrendered, just how bad was it?

Don't play F A G! Do not play F A G! Don't- (BLAST F). OH MY GOD WHAT ARE YOU (BLAST A) DOING?! I SAID NOT TO (BLAST G)!

by DFWTrojanTuba on Jan 22, 2011 8:57 PM CST up reply actions  

Why????????????????????

Don't play F A G! Do not play F A G! Don't- (BLAST F). OH MY GOD WHAT ARE YOU (BLAST A) DOING?! I SAID NOT TO (BLAST G)!

by DFWTrojanTuba on Jan 24, 2011 3:29 AM CST up reply actions  

great post

Hockey is so fast that it takes a well trained eye to see spot these things as they’re are happening. I think breaking them down like this is an excellent way of getting people more involved and hockey knowledgeable, which is simply invaluable in a market the vast majority of people didn’t grow up playing hockey, and thus can’t know this stuff.

I’d be happy to see as much of this kind of thing as is reasonable to produce.

by jiduthie on Jan 22, 2011 8:12 PM CST reply actions  

True that.

That’s the beauty of the sport, it doesn’t readily give away as much of what makes it so awesome.

"Our GM,
who art in the front office,
on Conn Smythe be thy name…"

by Angelou Del Angel on Jan 22, 2011 10:16 PM CST up reply actions  

Honestly, I love doing this...

It helps me learn the game a lot more too. I didn’t even notice some of these things until I looked them over today. I’ll definitely try to do more of these during the year.

by Pat Iversen on Jan 22, 2011 11:11 PM CST up reply actions  

Fantastic breakdown of the goals Pat.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.
GameTimeArt.net: A personal blog not on SBN that's just free and easy.
@GameTimeArt: Offending and/or boring sports fans one tweet at a time!

#KeepRichardsInDallas

by Art Middleton on Jan 22, 2011 8:50 PM CST reply actions  

Excellent job

2d and 4th goals are pretty good examples of just being a sandwich shy of a full picnic. 2d goal you can see that he is turning his right leg out moreso than his left as if he is ready to go right, Jokinen was trying to sell the pass all the way down the ice up to the dot when he took a nice shot at a very small hole and found it…4th goal, Raycroft was nicely square left little room, but Moss managed to find and exploit a pucksized 5 hole.
3rd goal, Niskanen was a step behind, he would have been in a great position to deny the Flames skater from approaching the net, but could not interfere with the deflection. Nisky did not have a bad game Morrison’s goal was a beauty, Raycroft may have committed too much to the shortside…he had another beauty tonight against the Nucks…go Flames!

Some people live an entire lifetime wondering if they have made a difference, Marines don't have that problem - Ronald Reagan

by bluliner10 on Jan 22, 2011 9:49 PM CST reply actions  

Also on the first goal, shouldn't both of the defensemen not be going after the same guy?

I’ve noticed that whenever Fistric is paired with Robidas he frequently seems to forget which side he’s on.

by Sugaa on Jan 22, 2011 11:03 PM CST reply actions  

Great post.

Poor Robie…

Canucks next, hope they are ready.

by Henri Muroke on Jan 23, 2011 12:22 AM CST reply actions  

Learned a lot from this

As brutal as this was, every team has a game like this sometimes.Hopefully they don;t dwell on it and fall into a funk.

Tough test with Vancouver next… who by the way just to the Flames last night albeit in less ugly fashion than Dallas did.

Both teams should be plenty motivated.

by cms1171 on Jan 23, 2011 10:32 AM CST reply actions  

Great post Pat!

Now, from someone who had trouble enough watching the game the first time and certainly didn’t go frame by frame to figure out what went wrong, I’ll disagree with only one thing outright. So take this with a grain of salt.

As a rule, at even this slightest hint that Matt Niskanen may have been at fault I personally take every opportunity to point it out and immediately place the full brunt of blame directly on his shoulders. Unfair you say? I do that simply because there seem to be several people that are willing to forgive him for every poor decision he makes and someone needs to bring balance to the force. You have been completely impartial with him in the past and I respect you trying give the brother a break in this instance but I contend that it’s not necessary.
All joking aside though the way I saw it on the third goal, Backland was his and he lost his man. In my opinion the pass should have probably been blocked before it gets to the net but even Luddy during intermission blamed Niskanen for not staying with his guy.

The only other thing I’d point out which is pretty much in agreement with you was Raycroft was off. The way it looked to me he was thinking pass too much and had poor rebound control. Two of the goals he was trying to do too much, and not trusting his teammate to break it up. As a result he wasn’t ready for the shot and got beat. The second goal, I thought what Razor said was right on. It was like Jokinen “looked him off.” Even though he was out far enough he was clearly thinking pass and wasn’t ready for the shot.

Come to think of it, as much as the third goal is definitely Niskanen’s fault because it has to be, what is Raycroft doing being beaten glove side from a pass from that corner? Shouldn’t he be on the post in that situation covering that side?

The fourth goal I think Raycroft should stop because it just trickles right through him.

The fifth goal I actually think Raycroft is too deep in his net. In my opinion if Morrison is able to beat him stick side that means Raycroft is out of position and probably worrying about the second man breaking again. My understanding of defensive strategy in an odd man situation is that it’s the d-guy’s responsibility to break up the pass and the goalies responsibility to stay with the shooter. He didn’t do that twice and it cost him.

The last goal could also be attributed to poor rebound control like you said.

So in summation, I agree with you. :) Raycroft had a bad night, but ultimately we lost the game because of Matt Niskanen. Just kidding, it was Raycroft. While the 1st, 3rd, and 6th might not have been his fault, if he stops three of the other four (and I think he should) then it’s a tie game and overtime awaits. I agree with just about everyone on here though that he’ll probably bounce back next game and be fine (unlike my knee-jerk post early in the preseason where I was saying he sucked for losing one game) but this one I think is at least a large part on him. That being said the whole team was tired and sluggish from the night before but that’s why you need him to have a good night. He just didn’t. You can’t win them all right? All you can do is set a new franchise record.

As a rattled Stephane Robidas searched the ice near the Stars bench for his mouth guard a smart-ass teammate suggested he check the stands. -- Razor

by EagleBelf on Jan 23, 2011 12:24 PM CST reply actions  

Great Analysis

I’m with the other people that posted and agree that any time you want to go through the work to post something like this I’ll be happy to read it.

by D.T.1 on Jan 24, 2011 9:54 AM CST reply actions  

"Stephane Robidas is awesome."

" The poor guy got left alone in his own zone a ton, but still defended them perfectly. "

THIS is why stats are completely meaningless. If Raycroft had an even decent game or the forwards had any hustle, Robi could have been +4 instead of -5 or whatever he ended up.

by jabudi on Jan 24, 2011 3:33 PM CST reply actions  

Well "stats" in general aren't meaningless.

But you’re right, plus/minus isn’t the most reliable stat to judge a defenseman by.

That’s what hockeymetrics is for.

by Pat Iversen on Jan 24, 2011 6:33 PM CST up reply actions  

Well OK goals aren't meaningless

I should have been more specific…and honestly, it’s more that they’re misleading than meaningless. Some nights an assist means you carried the puck out of your own zone and passed it to a guy who did 90% of the work and other nights it means you took a hit, dug a puck out of the corner and got high-sticked while passing through 2 defenseman to a wide-open teammate who tapped it in.

But yeah, to state the obvious- goals are goals and hits are hits.

by jabudi on Jan 26, 2011 10:32 AM CST up reply actions  

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