Hockeymetrics: Trevor Daley's Contributions to the Stars Hot Start to January
The Stars 6-0-1 run to start January has been keyed by many factors. Timely saves by Kari Lehtonen, including at the end of the first period on Monday night against the Kings and on the Jack Johnson penalty shot late in the game, the acquisition of Jamie Langenbrunner, and the awesomeness of Jamie Benn.
But it's also been keyed, IMO, by a guy whose career up until this season had been underwhelming. Perhaps it's because we'd been expecting him to be something he's not. Or perhaps he's starting to find his niche in Marc Crawford's system.
And Saturday night, he continued his hot play by registering his first ever two goal game in his NHL career with two power play goals. On the season, he's on pace to set season high's for goals scored, assists, and points.
And he's one of the biggest reasons behind a resurgence in the Stars power play. This week's Hockeymetrics takes a look at the play of Stars defenseman Trevor Daley...
Last season, I thought one of the biggest beneficiaries of the switch from a Dave Tippett system to a Marc Crawford system would be Daley. So from an expectations standpoint, last year was a disappointment and led to talk that perhaps the native of Toronto had hit ceiling as a player and wouldn't be the player we all thought he'd be.
Or perhaps the adjustment period took a season longer than we expected it to take. Thus far, Daley is on pace to set a season high for goals and assists. And what the stats don't tell us, our eyeballs do. Daley looks more confident with the puck in the offensive zone and isn't as afraid to take chances in the zone as he used to be earlier in his career.
Why is that?
Well, I've got a few theories to postulate.
As mentioned, there's a big difference between what Daley was coached to do in Tippett's system and what he's been asked to do in Crawford's system. Early in his career, Daley was coached to be defensively responsible in his own zone and worry about the offense later.
And with stalwarts such as Sergei Zubov and Phillipe Boucher manning the blue line ahead of Daley on the blueliner depth chart, you can understand why.
Obviously, those two are long gone and their absence left a huge offensive void from the blue line. It simply took awhile for Daley to adjust from being a more 'stay at home' defenseman to being one of those blueliners that the Stars are relying on for offense.
The other theory is that the Stars defensemen seem more confident in Kari Lehtonen than they did in Marty Turco the past few seasons.
One that gains a lot more traction when you consider that Turco clearly isn't the number 1 guy in Chicago anymore having just made his first start in the month of January the other night against Nashville on the back end of a home and home series.
Obviously you don't need stats to determine when a bad goal is a bad goal. And the eyeball tests tell us all that Kari Lehtonen simply isn't giving up as many bad goals this season as Turco did the last two seasons in Dallas. And as anybody who has ever played the defenseman position at any level of hockey will tell you, having confidence in your netminder that he won't give up a bad goal is such a huge psychological advantage to have in the game.
I won't delve too much into this, but I noticed during Versus telecast on Monday that Joe Beninati pointing out that Drew Doughty's numbers are down this season with Razor supporting that point by stating more teams are keying in on him. That may be true, but I can't but think that Jonathan Quick's struggles in net might also have something to do with that as well.
Now what do the metrics tell us?
They tell us that Daley is currently at a career high for 5on5 points per 60 minutes of 5on5 ice time (or P/60) at 0.97. To be sure, that checks him in 45th amongst all NHL defenseman and well off the pace of Detroit's Brian Rafalski, who leads in this category with 2.04.
Still, it's a huge upgrade from last season when posted a 0.73 in this category. Daley's career high, it should be pointed out, was two years ago when he posted a 0.95.
But that's not the most impressive metric.
No, that would be Daley's 5on4 metrics.
Now technically, Jeff Woywitka is the team leader in 5on4 G/60. But that's all because of his garbage time power play goal against Atlanta Saturday night. If you take his out and only include those defensemen who get regular power play time (Daley, Stephane Robidas, and Matt Niskanen), Daley is the clear leader with 1.41 G/60 with Robidas well off that pace with 0.49. Niskanen has yet to score a power play goal this year.
18 comments
|
0 recs |
Do you like this story?
Comments
Daley will continue to get better
and more confident. obviously he had some underwhelming years but i can certainly see how the style of play being changed from Tipp to Craw can affect a player like Daley moreso than others.
there’s also a bigger picture going on here. guys stepping up. random players for games, a week, a month, whatever. it’s fun to watch this team b/c they’re obviously a “team” and enjoy playing for each other.
how nice is it to say, “Daley has been a catalyst lately”?!
The main thing I think that has helped Daley the most
is the fact that the forwards have gotten so good at the backcheck or forecheck or whatever it is. He can now push forward without fear of someone going into the Dallas zone unchecked. I think of it as “presure” cycling. Just like cycling the puck along the boards where all 3 forward spin around and around, when an offensive chance comes about, daley cycles in on the far side, and everyone else cycles over to fill his void. It’s the easiest to see on that one goal where he was like 10 feet away from the net.
The Stars will have a 3 game win streak within their first 6 games. Mark my words!
(I wonder if that makes sense to anyone else)
The Stars will have a 3 game win streak within their first 6 games. Mark my words!
Makes perfect sense.
And I agree completely. I noticed this also. Whenever Daley pinched, everyone else just rotates to fill his spot, almost automatically like a well-oiled machine.
GO STARS!!! Rain or shine!
Xbox Live gamertag: Pepper Pot 29
no thats definitely a main aspect to Crawfords philosophy
to get that 4th guy involved on the offensive end. he encourages it and a high skill/speed guy like Daley is the one to do the job.
by spatulacity on Jan 20, 2011 11:52 AM CST up reply actions
I think we need to have one of those posts where we do the photo analysis of the daley pinch
The Stars will have a 3 game win streak within their first 6 games. Mark my words!
Thats not a bad idea
I can do that this weekend, hopefully.
Defending Big D - Dallas Stars news & analysis
Blogging The Boys - Dallas Cowboys, all the time.... since 2005
by Brandon Worley on Jan 20, 2011 12:44 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
While you're at it...
…a photo analysis of the forwards cycling back to shore him up on defense…especially if you can find a case of Ribiero doing so. Just to highlight his 180 of the past few years that the rest of the league doesn’t seem to acknowledge yet.
"Our GM,
who art in the front office,
on Conn Smythe be thy name…"
by Angelou Del Angel on Jan 20, 2011 1:25 PM CST up reply actions
Some time in the last few games Ribiero
back checked really hard to catch someone in the high slot and steal the puck when they had no idea a defender was coming from behind. It was sweet, and pointed out by Ralph and Razor.
I also remember another recent case with Wandell taking it from somebody at the high circle and the guy just looked shocked that somebody got him from behind.
Nice.
Maybe somebody should make that a FanPost on the Montreal blog. But then, I’d hate to see some crazy Montreal fans lynch Gainey.
"Our GM,
who art in the front office,
on Conn Smythe be thy name…"
by Angelou Del Angel on Jan 20, 2011 5:22 PM CST up reply actions
I totally agree.
Whenever Daley used to venture into the offensive zone he was hell bent on getting around the back of the net and back into our defensive zone as quick as he could.
Now he is actually going to the front of the net, or in the lower circle and setting up down there. And he is proving to be very dangerous when he does that.
I give it a 50/50 weight. First, it’s taken this long to override the training that was drilled into him year after year to get back and cover. His mind would recognize it, but his instinctive reaction was to get back. Second, the forward is recognizing when he is pinching down and is covering for him much more effectively.
I’ve always been behind Trevor (then again I’m usually behind anyone with a Star on their chest!) and have always been kind of baffled that the numbers just haven’t come for him. Even as late as December I posted on here that with the chances he was generating it was amazing that he wasn’t rolling up points. I think he always just tried to rush things that tick too much at the finishing point. Probably cause he was thinking he needed to get back. Hoping he keeps this up … and can start taking that extra beat to hit the corners more than the crest of the goalies jersey!
I'll admit...
I was in the “Daley Sucks” crowd…And I’m really happy that he’s proving me wrong.
"GET YOUR ASS HUNG UP ON NOW YOU IDIOT!"
so was i.... his turnaround has been surprising to me, to say the least
The Stars will have a 3 game win streak within their first 6 games. Mark my words!
Me to Brother
Makes me feel kinda bad. Really like Trevor and glad he is turning his game around. I think sometimes all of us can be abit too hard on the guys and in the end, you know it can be other things behind alot of it. We forget that these guys are people too, and they have problems just like all of us. Heres to hoping the Trev keeps up the good work and continued success. Go Trev!
Me Three
After his first goal Saturday night, he didn’t celebrate. He slowly skated over to Richie, shaking his head like, “Anyone could have made that one with a pass like that” look on his face. He’s always had a humble attitude and I feel mucho shame for riding him so hard.
I hope he continues to improve.
"Goaltenders are 3 sandwiches shy of a picnic. From the moment primitive man lurched erect, he survived on the principle that when something hard and potentially lethal comes toward you at great velocity, get the hell out of it's path." - Jim Taylor
by Netminder#20 on Jan 20, 2011 4:56 PM CST up reply actions
Daley is playing good so far.
And he just doesn’t seem to care about anything but wins and success of the team.
I like it and I hope that I can like it this way next 6 years. Perhaps even more, it remains to be seen.
You Know...
Looking at the way he is starting to take the puck up the ice kinda gives me old visions of Zubie…no panicking…just carefully skating around people…I really hope he can keep this goin…Lookin really good. I know he may never fill Zubie’s Shoes…but its nice to kinda see abit of that in him now. ;)

by 



























