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Why the Dallas Stars picked Jack Campbell, and why you should be happy they did

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Editors Note: From time to time, Will Ferrell will go back to SNL and take over the show, spending some time with the little people he left behind. Let us now take a moment to watch Brandon Worley do the same here at DBD. I kid. Brandon, of Pro Hockey Talk @ NBC Sports is stil a Dallas Stars fan and he has some sharing to do today...

Hey everyone. I'm getting ready to make my trip back to the East coast from Los Angeles, and I wanted to share some thoughts with you from the 2010 NHL Entry Draft -- specifically some information on the Dallas Stars draft.

While I hinted on Thursday that the Dallas Stars were leaning towards Jack Campbell as their pick at #11, I decided against coming out and saying exactly what was going to happen: I knew the Stars were going to pick Campbell, and the only way that wasn't going to happen was if he was already picked. It didn't matter if Cam Fowler or Brandon Gormley fell -- which they did -- the Stars were dead set on drafting Campbell.

Talking with Campbell the day before the draft, several times in fact, it was obvious why the Stars liked this guy. Forget his incredible talent in net; he's an extremely confident and hungry hockey player with an undying passion for the game. When I started to talk to him about going to the Stars, I'm not exagerating when saying that his "eyes lit up.". He got a big smile on his face, and said several times that the Stars were the one team he'd love to play for.

After he was drafted, he said that going to the Stars was like a "dream come true." He's idolized Marty Turco, and he's worked extensively with Stars goaltending coach Mike Valley in the past. Here was a kid that wanted nothing more than to give his all and play for the Stars, and you know that made a great impression with Nieuwendyk and company.

If you haven't seen Campbell play, find a highlight video of the World Juniors. The man dominates in net, and he has a tireless drive to be at his best, all the time. He's not going to take a game off, or have a mental lapse from game to game. His mental makeup matches his physical talent, which is rare amongst goaltenders his age. It's important to remember that when he was 18, Marty Turco fell to the fifth round.

Those I spoke to here at the draft feel that Campbell can be ever better.

Star-divide

Speaking of Nieuwendyk, he said afterward that Campbell was their target from the very start. I'm sure many of you wonder why they would choose to pass up "top guy" talent like Fowler and Gormley, but there's a reason that those two fell that far.

Cam Fowler had been the supposed lock at the third pick until the past few months, when questions about his ceiling and overall potential began to surface and he was quickly overshadowed by the emergence of Erik Gudbranson. Fowler is a special player, but as with 95% of the draft there's no guarantee that he will be great at the next level. The same with Gormley, a player who is good at many things but not great; he's just a solid all-around player.

Neither of those two were going to be in the NHL next season, and likely not for a few years. With Fowler's overall potential in question, the word I kept getting was that he may end up just being a great AHL player -- of course, he could realize his full potential and talent and be a great defenseman for the Ducks in four or five years. That's the risk you take.

As an aside -- I talked to a number of team personnel and scouts, who all feel that Ivan Vishnevsky had reached his ceiling in the AHL with the Texas Stars, and was never going to be the next great defenseman the Stars had originally hoped he would be. There's also the thought he'll likely end up in the KHL.

So the Stars were set on Jack Campbell, and as soon as he was picked I knew that the Stars faithful would be ready to revolt. When you are all geared up for a nice, big defenseman and you get a goaltender, I can understand some frustration. As I said then, however, that we shouldn't judge until we see what the rest of the draft is like.

As soon as the Stars selected Patrik Nemeth int he second round, that first round selection of Campbell was instantly turned into a great, golden pick.

Many people may have said "who the heck is Nemeth?" when the pick came down. Understandable, when you consider he wasn't projected very high until the last few months. But when the pick was made, one of the scouts sitting in front of me exclaimed "Wow...great pick!"

I started to ask around about Nemeth, as I hadn't really researched the Swedish or European players as much, and the consistent comparison I got on Nemeth was "a faster, bigger, meaner Nicklas Grossman". He may not be the next Niklas Lidstrom with the puck, he's never going to score many goals and he's not going to lead the rush up the ice. But he's also very smart with the puck, makes great decisions defensively and does not turn the puck over.

Unlike another defenseman drafted in the first round.

So here's what the Stars drafted: a big, shut down defenseman who will likely be in the NHL in 2012 and a goaltender ready to take over as a franchise goalie in less than five years. When he's 23.

Many ask why the Stars drafted a goaltender when they just signed Kari Lehtonen to an extension, a goaltender who is supposed to be the next franchise guy. Campbell wasn't drafted for this season, or next season -- he was drafted for four years from now, to come in as a backup for a year before eventually taking over. Lehtonen is going to be great as a Stars goaltender, but eventually the Stars needed to draft their next "guy", a netminder they can hang their hat on to be the cornerstone of the franchise 10 years from now.

That is what Jack Campbell is. Goaltenders like Campbell don't come around every year, a guy who thrives when the pressure is the highest and who is at his best when the game is on the line. The Stars had their chance to draft a special player, and they took that chance. Some may think they reached at #11, but there was no way he'd make to their second round pick -- and Calvin Pickard is not on the same level as Campbell.

Every draft is a risk. There's going to be a superstar that was drafted in the fifth or sixth round. Most of the players drafted this weekend will never step foot in the NHL. Jack Campbell is about as solid a guarantee as you can get, and the Stars knew it.

Finally, here's a snapshot of the type of guy Jack Campbell is.

Every player in the first round is asked about their timeline for making the jump to the NHL, and generally they talk about a few more years in the juniors or that they're headed off to college or the USHL. Outside of perhaps the top five picks, many of these players understand they won't be in the NHL next season.

Jack Campbell was emphatic that he want's to prove he can play for the Stars next season. He will do whatever the team asks of him and feel is best for his development, but he's going into training camp with the mentality of making the NHL roster in October. He's scheduled to head to Windsor of the WHL next season, but when asked he hinted that wasn't a guarantee - he wants to make an impact with the Stars as soon as possible.

"I can't wait until I'm winning games for the Dallas Stars, and that's all I want to do right now."

Comment 27 comments  |  1 recs  | 

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Good write up

I myself was a little upset with the pick, but the more and more I read about this kid the more he seems like he could be something special.

To crush your enemies, see them driven before you, and to hear the lamentation of their women.

by v0mitus on Jun 27, 2010 3:41 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

If anyone tries to argue with you about what a great pick it was --

especially after reading that — they’re just arguing for the sake of arguing.

Or dense.

by Tsudbury on Jun 27, 2010 3:56 PM CDT reply actions  

A+++ Pick

Having heard about what a good goaltender he was, and then actually seeing him win the World Juniors, I, for one, am incredibly happy we got Campell. Players that know what it takes to win, that have won the big games— those are the types of players I want on my team (the facts that he seems like a personable guy, as well as appearing to have not just talent, but way above average talent, make the choice even better)!

by GKrajci on Jun 27, 2010 3:59 PM CDT reply actions  

Great pick but weekend

Good weekend draft but failure to trade Niskanen or Bustrom or Daler for bag of Doritos.

by robidasmvp on Jun 27, 2010 4:13 PM CDT reply actions  

Do you guys think that move on Marc Staal?

by hoju71 on Jun 27, 2010 4:50 PM CDT reply actions  

Sorry, that we can move on Marc Staal.

by hoju71 on Jun 27, 2010 4:51 PM CDT reply actions  

Rangers would be stupid to do anything on that front. Same thing was happening with Dubinsky last season, by the way.

Cидни Kросби: Александр Oвечкин, он твой папа теперь
матовая Клими, Михал нуивирт ваш папа теперь
Red Line Station: for Capitals fans who can bear reading something less intelligent than a story at Japers' Rink
Follow me on Twitter!

by red army line on Jun 28, 2010 2:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

Great article Brandon, thanks a lot for the insight. It’s nice to hear what happens on the ground floor, and what from what I’ve heard, I love this kid’s passion. Should be a great personality wherever he ends up next year – and hopefully for us down the road.

by Stars43 on Jun 27, 2010 5:06 PM CDT reply actions  

All hail the king...

But seriously I’m going to Frisco on Wednesday to see this Jack. The guys a beast, and I’m bringing my 18 year old sister in hopes of getting tickets for life. That would be so awesome…

I am still "FRISKY FOR NISKY"

by RealDealNeal on Jun 27, 2010 5:18 PM CDT reply actions  

HAHAHAHA!

Hell if your sister is hot enough, I might be able to help with the free tickets for life, lol. ;)
Good luck with that though.

by JCWM2 on Jun 27, 2010 6:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

i just love that he said

i want the puck. that’s what you want to hear from a goalie. great pick.

“stay classy brandon, and thanks for stopping by”; always a great read.

by agvdstars on Jun 27, 2010 5:30 PM CDT reply actions  

Welcome back, Brandon!

Nice write-up. It’s hard to be too angry about the pick anymore. I was initially angry, but I guess I went through the stages of “draft grief” or something. I completely adore Jack Campbell now.

Here's to all us girls who love hockey...and the men who play it.

by Brad_Richards_Rocks on Jun 27, 2010 6:24 PM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Good Pick

I rushed to be at the TV to see the Stars pick at 11th. It was at pick 9 when I started watching and was beside myself that the Stars were going to be able to pick between Fowler and Gormely to spear head this team into the future on the backend. As many of you were I was shocked and even a fair bit mad when the Stars picked Jack Campbell, I in fact scoffed when I head I think Pierre McGuire mention that Dallas may take Campbell. After a couple days of reflection and reading up a bit more I start to think maybe this was the very best move. There was obviously a reason 8 teams decided to pass up on Fowler, and hearing that Campbell was there no.3 guy behind Hall and Seguin the whole way makes me feel a lot better about the pick. I know we all want an impact defenseman to get this team over the hump now, but let’s face it…..Fowler was not going to come into Dallas next season in any facet. Even if he does fulfill all of his potential he still probably wont be an impact player for 4 or maybe 5 years. The Stars still stocked the cupboard with 3 defensemen and when ownership is finally sorted out the Stars will still hopefully have a ton of cap space to get the next guy to lead the blueline in front of some all ready nice pieces like Robi, Grossman, Fistric, Larsen and who knows maybe Nisky can have a rebound year and get back on track.

by brendan1 on Jun 27, 2010 6:28 PM CDT reply actions  

who are you again?

nice job Brandon, thanks for gracing us little people with your insights. :-) I hope you had a fun time, even if the boxed lunch was crappy.

Proud fan of the #1 college hockey team in the nation - Miami University Redhawks - The Brotherhood. RIP Brendan Burke.

by Happy Girl on Jun 27, 2010 7:41 PM CDT reply actions  

I for one...

Love this pick…Book it, this kid is gonna be dynamite. The Stars have been known for tending goal, and this kid just adds to our history of great goaltenders. I mean seriously,how can you feel bad about taking the best goaltender in the draft no matter how much defense you need? We’ll get our blue liner, you’ll see, our boys in black will be relevant soon.

by bigtill2002 on Jun 27, 2010 9:30 PM CDT reply actions  

...for now

but once he lets in his first “soft goal” or has a bad game the venom will be spewed by the same folks who blamed Turco for every single goal ever allowed in Dallas Stars history. :-)

I wasn’t able to watch the draft but when I received the text message from the Stars saying they had picked a goalie, I was surprised but not pissed. This is a great pick that will hopefully come to fruition over the next few years!!

by Buds on Jun 28, 2010 10:39 AM CDT up reply actions  

BTW

That note about Vishnevskiy is veeeeeeeeeeeeeeery interesting.

You never wish for a kid NOT to do well, but it wouldn’t hurt my feelings if he doesn’t turn into anything special.

by Brad Gardner on Jun 27, 2010 9:46 PM CDT reply actions  

The thing about Vishnevskiy is that there were some unreal expectations for him to be the next Zubov. Maybe it’s for the better that he’s gone, because you just don’t replace Sergei Zubov.

I wish him well, but I’ll admit that I won’t mind if he doesn’t turn out. It’s never fun to be the loser of a deal like that one.

Here's to all us girls who love hockey...and the men who play it.

by Brad_Richards_Rocks on Jun 27, 2010 10:13 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

I’m happy with the pick.

All the armchair GM’s aside- I’ve always felt that the guys actually making the picks are sure to know a heck of a lot more than I do about their potential picks.

I wonder how long Campbell is going to take to make the jump to the big league, though?

by Super_Bee on Jun 27, 2010 9:54 PM CDT reply actions  

Still would of preferred they'd of taken a defensemen at 11.

But the Stars scouts have a pretty good track record, and clearly know what they are doing. And Campbell seems like a good guy and all, and yeah, he’s fairly talented, so I suppose things will probably work out pretty well.

by Giant Space Ants on Jun 27, 2010 10:24 PM CDT reply actions  

That's what I go to at this moment..

It’s not like the Stars have spent the last five to ten years drafting horribly. When the Stars drafted James Neal 33rd overall, did anyone really know he’d turn out to be as good as he was?

The draft is a crap shoot. You can say “Well the first round should be a sure thing” but picks that turned out to be very average or have bombed horribly probably outnumber those that have done extraordinary well or at least had an above average career.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.
@GameTimeArt: Offending and/or boring sports fans one tweet at a time!

by Art Middleton on Jun 28, 2010 1:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

Hmmm

You dizzy from all that spinning?

by jf55510 on Jun 27, 2010 11:24 PM CDT reply actions  

Troll?

A troll is one who post off topics or inflammatory statements in order to provoke an emotional response. My comments are neither off topic or inflammatory. You tired to of engaging in ad hominen attacks against someone who disagrees with your position?

The simple fact is that the Campbell pick was a bad pick, we’ll be lucky to see him in five years. Hopefully the Stars will get a real GM in here when a new owner comes on board.

by jf55510 on Jun 28, 2010 1:41 PM CDT up reply actions  

Related

Drafting goalie articles from Copper and Blue

Part 4
Part 3
Part 2
Part 1

Chances are picking a goalie so high is very very risky and not likely to pay off big time with a franchise goalie. Chances also are that drafting a defenseman in the first two rounds is pretty safe, as the guy will probably give you 200 games or more in the NHL at a minimum, safer than a forward or a goalie. (I’ve been trying to find a link to that, but I can’t. Pretty sure it’s C&B or BtN though)

Cидни Kросби: Александр Oвечкин, он твой папа теперь
матовая Клими, Михал нуивирт ваш папа теперь
Red Line Station: for Capitals fans who can bear reading something less intelligent than a story at Japers' Rink
Follow me on Twitter!

by red army line on Jun 28, 2010 2:33 AM CDT reply actions   1 recs

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