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2009-2010 Dallas Stars Faceoff Breakdown

Marc Crawford, upon arrival, said that the Stars were going to be aggressive; That they were going to take it to the other team and attack as a unit. They were going to be more of a possession team. Just one problem: It's hard to do any of those things when you can't win faceoffs.

Dallas finished the year in 26th place with a 48.1% winning percentage on the dot. It's an improvement over last years 47.8% (which also landed them in 26th place, so it's not actually an improvement at all.)

Since off-season boredom is already setting in, I decided to do something really nerdy and write a program to suck all 82 play-by-plays into a database so I could look at the faceoff data. NHL.com has an excellent faceoff breakdown, though they report 4,591 draws taken by Dallas, and my own findings were 4,592. The difference? A Nick Grossman faceoff loss to Joe Pavelski. I just thought you should know.

Anyway, here are the top six draw takers for Dallas broken down nearly every way I could think. Sorry, Toby Petersen didn't quite make it. If you really want to know, he won 44.4% of his 171 attempts.

 

Brad Richards:

Richardsface_medium
Richards led the team with 1,140 faceoffs taken, and edges out Mike Modano among the "big three" in faceoffs with a 51.5% success rate.

His draws are very evenly distributed over the rink, being the center with the most minutes on the team, and playing in all situations (though taking shockingly few special teams draws). His PP draws are good, but limited. Should Modano retire, this number will skyrocket next season for Brad.

Even Strength draws: 498/993: 50.1%

Power Play draws: 43/67: 64.2%

Shorthanded Draws: 46/80: 57.5%

Total: 587/1140: 51.5%

Most victimized: Martin Hanzal - 21 wins

Defeated By: Saku Koivu - 21 losses

Most Match-ups: Martin Hanzal - 38 times


After the jump, Mike Modano, Mike Ribeiro, Tom Wandell, Steve Ott and Jamie Benn get picked apart...

Star-divide

Mike Ribeiro:

There is little doubt in Stars fans minds that draws are a weak part of Mike Ribeiro's game. Particularly troubling Ribsface_mediumhere is his shorthanded draws. He lost 97 out of 160 he took while on the penalty kill, most of which of course took place right in front of Marty Turco and contributed to the PK troubles the Stars had this season.

 Even Strength draws: 341/737 - 46.2%

Power Play draws: 90/205 - 43.9%

Shorthanded Draws: 63/160 - 39.3%

Total: 494/1102 - 44.8%

Most Victimized: Getzlaf/Stastny - 17 wins on each

Defeated By: McClement/Handzus - 24 losses to each

Most Match-ups: Handzus - 36 times

 


Mike Modano:

Modanoface_medium Mike Modano's numbers get better the farther away from his own net he gets, for some reason. At 210, he took the most power play faceoffs on the team by far, winning 110 of them. He took the third most draws on the team and barely cleared 50% for the season.

His faceoffs could be missed next year, but only if Wandell cannot improve enough to meet the mediocre bar set by Mike this season. Another option is Steve Ott to replace some of the volume.

What's interesting here is that Mike only played 13 total minutes of PK this year, but took 38 shorthanded draws. Perhaps in an effort to curtail Ribeiro's failings in that area?

Even Strength draws: 300/599 - 50.0%

Power Play draws: 110/210 - 52.3%

Shorthanded Draws: 17/38 - 44.7%

Total: 427/847 - 50.4%

Most Victimized: Vernon Fiddler - 20 wins

Defeated By: Vernon Fiddler - 18 losses

Most Match-ups: You guessed it...Vernon Fiddler!


Steve Ott:

Ottface_medium Steve Ott didn't take a ton of face offs this year (352), but was the best percentage-wise of any of the normal contributors. His face offs increased in the second half of the season as Benn was moved to center and Ott had to step in and shoulder some of the load. His sample size may be small, but it's an encouraging sign for the $3 million dollar man to go with his 20 goal season.

His number was even better (58.7%) at home.

Even Strength draws: 122/208 - 58.7%

Power Play draws: 46/72 - 63.9%

Shorthanded Draws: 32/72 - 44.4%

Total: 200/352 - 56.8%

Most Victimized: Vernon Fiddler - 8 wins

Defeated By: Lombardi - 7 losses

Most Match-ups: Damon Langkow - 13 times.

 


Jamie Benn:

Benn2face_medium
 The face off dot was a brand new world for young Jamie Benn this year, and his struggles and triumphs varied from game to game as he tried to learn his new position. His small sample size makes it pretty hard to judge his season on the dot. His youth means that he can continue to improve his skills here, and we'll keep a close eye on it next season as I'm sure Marc Crawford will also do.

Even Strength draws: 100/219 - 45.6%

Power Play draws: 8/15 - 53.3%

Shorthanded Draws: 1/2 - 50%

Total: 109/236 - 46.2%

Most Victimized: Matt Duchene - 9 wins

Defeated By:  Matt Duchene - 8 losses

Most Match-ups: Rookie on Rookie violence: Matt Duchene - 17 times, with Benn getting the win.


Tom Wandell:

Wandellface_mediumUnfortunately, Mr. Wandell has the distinction of being the worst faceoff man on the team as far as regular contributors go. He took 486 this year, winning only 44%. For a team that wants to be more of a "possession" type operation, that is not going to cut it. We wish him well in his rehab, but dude, you need to get better on the dot if you're going to take a larger role on the team. With Ribeiro and Wandell potentially taking more draws next year because of Modano's departure...it's kind of a scary proposition.

Even Strength draws: 185/404 - 45.8%

Power Play draws: 11/18 - 61.1%

Shorthanded Draws: 18/64 - 28.1% (Brutal...)

Total: 214/486 - 44%

Most Victimized: Saku Koivu - 10 wins

Defeated By: Saku Koivu - 14 losses

Most Match-ups: This battle goes to Koivu in 24 total match-ups.

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interesting

Thanks for doing the homework involved with this article.

by KingPodda on Apr 26, 2010 12:48 PM CDT reply actions  

wow

Other than Richards the stars really sucked at defensive zone faceoffs. I wonder if other teams have the same sort of distribution. I wonder how much of that poor performance comes right after an icing where the players are a little tired and don’t fight for the puck hard enough.

by TimAH on Apr 26, 2010 1:39 PM CDT reply actions  

Some day

When I have time, I might write a more sophisticated script that does stats after an icing, and more specifically (bc I’ve been interested in this all year) the FIRST faceoff after a penalty is called on the Stars…because I think they really, really struggled there this year.

by Brad Gardner on Apr 26, 2010 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions  

whats really scary

is I don’t see how this really improves anytime soon, at least not well enough to really be a puck possession team. I really wanted the stars to go after malhotra last year but Im doubtful they can afford him now. Theres probably someone out there who can win faceoffs but unless we move a center we have too many taking up all the spots already.

by TimAH on Apr 26, 2010 2:17 PM CDT reply actions  

It seemed like they got better on faceoffs towards the end of the year. They were atrocious at the beginning, but I felt that they improved by the end of the season. I’d love to see the Stars go after a Malhotra type who can win lots of faceoffs. It might help the cause…

Here's to all us girls who love hockey...and the men who play it.

by Brad_Richards_Rocks on Apr 26, 2010 6:51 PM CDT reply actions  

Wow, nice work Brad. That's a lot of work.

"It would've been a huge momentum boost if we had beaten the St. Mary's School for the Blessed, Blind, Deaf and Dumb."

Hockey nut since the night of 5/2/08. What a night it was.

DefendingBigD

Twitter: PatIVERSEN

by Pat Iversen on Apr 27, 2010 10:56 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

What worrries me is Wandell's numbers....

If we expect him to fill Modano’s spot next year he’s gotta improve. Especially if Ribs is sent packing. His chances could increase a ton.

"It would've been a huge momentum boost if we had beaten the St. Mary's School for the Blessed, Blind, Deaf and Dumb."

Hockey nut since the night of 5/2/08. What a night it was.

DefendingBigD

Twitter: PatIVERSEN

by Pat Iversen on Apr 27, 2010 10:58 AM CDT via mobile reply actions  

Big props on the excellent work!

I found it very interesting that Richards was the only one that improved in the defensive zone … in fact his best zone. Probably because he took few SH draws. It makes sense your SH draws would be lower … well because you are out manned on the ice, plus on icing draws you are tired and the other team can match up with the center that has the best chance against your guy.

I would be curious to see the following:
On the most victimized/defeated by totals the % would also be cool.
League averages in each zone and Even/PP/short handed categories.
Icing and 1st SH draw after penalties since that can set the whole tone for the kill.

Still really excellent work, Thanks!

by 1paniolo on Apr 27, 2010 12:12 PM CDT reply actions  

I'd like the league wide stuff for comparison too

But I already “Right Click”…“Save As”… 82 times for the Stars season.

To do it a few thousand times to feed the files into the db would be…not fun :)

Maybe we can get those numbers from Behind The Net. They keep stats for everyone.

by Brad Gardner on Apr 27, 2010 1:50 PM CDT reply actions  

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