Stargazing: Looking Back at Modano and Forward to Next Season
And so the season comes to rest at 37-31-14, and the Stars are the first team since Hockey-Gods know when to complete an 82 game season without winning three games in a row. The Stars earned 88 points, scoring 237 goals and surrendering 254. Last season they earned 83 points while scoring 230 goals and allowing 257. The numbers are strangely close. More on that later.
We knew it was going to be a tough year going in. Transitions are rarely easy; Certainly not ones like turning over half of the front office, the coaching staff, and the style of play. Yet spoiled as we are by so many years of success and playoff runs, we once again find ourselves a little peeved that the dance will start without us.
It's not all bad. This Modano business, while very sad (or pretty silly, if he comes back) has softened the blow and kept us engaged and interested this last week while they played out the string. It created one of the best night's in franchise history on Thursday, as a matter of fact. For me it's certainly made it much more bearable than last year, anyway.
Let's spend just a little more time on the man who's spent 20 years on us...

The Star Tribune in Minnesota has a nice blurb about Modano hooking up with Neal Broten:
Modano, the highest-scoring American in history, reunited with former North Stars/Stars teammate Neal Broten, one of Minnesota's hockey greats and a mentor to Modano as a kid.
Broten told Modano he should continue playing because he "only plays two minutes a game anyway" and joked, "I can still play two minutes a game and I'll take half of whatever he's making."
"He still acts and looks the same. Now he's a grandpa," Modano said of Broten.
Modano will make his retirement decision this summer. If this was his last game, Modano said it was special that it was in Minnesota.
"Rare and unique to say the least," he said. "I'm kind of exhausted and tired, and in some ways I'm glad the season's over. You need a break to get away. But you do get the itch at the end of July and August to figure out what you want to do."

And they had a good piece looking back on some early Modano years with the franchise...
During a difficult second season, North Stars marketing VP Lou Nanne said he didn't care if Modano struggled, just that he was on the ice: "He's a matinée idol. Just look at the jerseys in the stands. You used to see guys with them; now it's girls, and they all have his name on the back. ... You can't help but promote a kid like that."
After bouncing back that season and helping the North Stars to the Stanley Cup Finals against Pittsburgh, Modano talked about relationship-building with then-coach Bob Gainey: "Bob and I had an awful lot of meetings. We are both quiet people. We spent most of our time in those meetings looking at each other, waiting for the other guy to say something."

Mike Heika asked several players and management types about the attitude going forward...
Stars GM Joe Nieuwendyk said the team has to be hurt from the results of the season.
``I think there is a hunger here and it will be there for all of our players this summer and especially for our key players,'' Nieuwendyk said. ``You don't want to miss the playoffs two years in a row. That's not acceptable for this franchise and where it's been, and it's not acceptable to what we want to do as a group. It really is unacceptable.''
Steve Ott said he believes in Nieuwendyk and his plan to make the team better. The Stars have some budget issues, but Ott said he feels the hunger from every level of the organization.
"Joe is probably a little bit hungry come July to make this team better," he said. "One thing that it pretty easy for me to sign here was that Dallas has a winning tradition. We don't take not making the playoffs lightly either. There's a lot of pride in putting on a Dallas Stars uniform."
Much more here at the DMN blog.

He also asks the fundamental question about the Stars and Nieuwendyk's unusual mission right now...
It's a lot easier to find good defensive players on a budget than it is good offensive players. Phoenix ranks third in the NHL in goals against average at 2.30 but also has the second-lowest payroll at $42.1 million. Nashville has built its team on defense and has the third-lowest payroll at $43.5 million. So teams that typically win on the cheap do it with defense. But can a team on a budget install a highly skilled system? Well, Pittsburgh and Washington did so by getting young skill through the draft. That can take a while and usually includes some awful seasons and high picks. It's a good question. Why are they trying to win the expensive way with cheap players? Wouldn't it be better (isn't it tried and true?) to play a defensive game when you don't have money to spend?

Dallasstars.com gathered some Modano quotes about the North Star jersey...
"I thought about wearing it in warmup and there was some ideas, but that was the one I still think of, of those times and my experiences here in Minnesota," said Modano, who played the first four years of his career there before the franchise relocated to Dallas in 1993.
The fact that the Stars prevailed 4-3 in a shootout didn’t really matter, as both teams were already eliminated from the playoff race. Clearly, Modano, who has been the face of the franchise since those days in Minnesota and is now strongly considering retirement, was the focus of the night.
"It’s hard to believe that it could be over, how fast it’s gone - the 17 years here and 22 with the team," said Modano, who was the first overall selection of the Minnesota North Stars back in 1988. "It feels like yesterday it started."

And let's not forget the Texas Stars as they start the post-season. Jamie Benn will presumably be joining them this week...[From Texas Stars PR]
West Division Semi Finals Schedule (best of seven)
Game 1 - Fri., April 16 - Rockford at Texas, 7:30 p.m.
Game 2 - Sat., April 17 - Rockford at Texas, 7:00 p.m.
Game 3 - Wed., April 21 - Texas at Rockford, 7:05 p.m.
Game 4 – Fri., April 23 - Texas at Rockford, 7:05 p.m.
Game 5 - Sat., April 24 - Texas at Rockford, 7:05 p.m. - X
Game 6 - Mon., April 26 - Rockford at Texas, 7:30 p.m. - X
Game 7 - Tues., April 27 - Rockford at Texas, 7:30 p.m. -X
X = If Necessary
The first two games of the West Division Semi Finals will be at Cedar Park Center. Game 1 is on Friday, April 16th at 7:30 PM. Game 2 is scheduled for 7:00 PM on Saturday, April 17th at 7:00 PM. The best of seven series will then shift to Rockford for Games 3 and 4. If necessary, Game 5 will be at the Rockford MetroCentre. If needed, the series will return to Cedar Park Center for Game 6 and a possible Game 7. Game 6 is set for Monday, April 26th at 7:30 PM and Game 7 is slated for Tuesday, April 27th at 7:30 PM.

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Marty Turco
You know I heard during the Min. broadcast that Marty’s Save percentage was .913 which was better than his average so I went and crunched some numbers that I think are actually quite telling.
Shots/Game Saves/Game Shots/Min Saves/Min
20.46153846 18.92307692 0.420221169 0.388625592
21.61290323 19.90322581 0.441079658 0.406188282
24.70909091 23.03636364 0.424289728 0.395566656
22.57534247 20.60273973 0.378068364 0.345033265
23.88235294 21.44117647 0.415345269 0.372890026
23.34328358 21.25373134 0.415515409 0.378320935
24.88709677 22.62903226 0.425186002 0.386607881
26.93243243 24.18918919 0.460596256 0.413681535
30.28301887 27.64150943 0.519753886 0.474417098
These are career numbers for Turco. With the last line being this year. He he average 3.3 more shots per game then the next closest year, made 3.5 more saves per game than the next closest year and I broke down by minute as well since Games played doesn’t take into account when he was pulled or replaced a backup. Notice the last two years are the highest totals in every category which means that he’s had to do the most work he’s ever done in his career per minute/game and when you break it down by shots and saves instead of goals per minute you see he’s actually done better the past two years than any other previous year. The problem, in my opinion is that the defense has let way too many shots get through.
I know Turco would say it’s ultimately his responsibility to keep the puck out of the net and he won’t make excuses, but his defensive support has been horrible the past two seasons and even though he has better save numbers the sheer number of shots faced means that he has let in more goals than usual… just food for thought before we as a fan base say good riddance. I for one will be sad to see him go.
I'd like to see
GM Joe give him one more year and see if he’ll take a pay cut and split time w/ Khari as long as the Stars spend that money on shoring up the D lines.
Guy, Interesting numbers.
I know several of us have tried to maintain all year that it is a team game and the team defense was letting way too much get through. I found it very interesting that in Modano’s interview with the Observer he flat out said Marty was the “scapegoat” this year.
Oh well, time to move on. I have no doubt that Turco still sees himself as a #1, and I think some GM’s will give him a chance. Likely with a multi year contract. Even if he takes a 1 year … it will be because he will be willing to prove that he is still a #1.
Agreed.
When I was writing my “The end of an era” fanpost, I was shocked when I looked at Marty’s stats and found that his save % was the best it had been since the 2003-2004 season. His GAA is still higher than normal (although not quite as high as last year). His save % is as high as it was because he was seeing more shots per night and the number of shots that get through is really on the defense. It makes a difference when you give up 3 goals on 41 shots, then 3 goals on 20 shots. Marty (or Alex or Kari – since it has happened to them as well) can’t really stop a shot on goal from happen – that is the defense’s job. And of course, the higher number of shots you face, the more likely something is going to get through.
I saw that Modano interview, and I completely agree, but it’s not just this year. I found something a few days ago talking about when Modano lost the captaincy and it basically said that Modano lost the position because his goalie couldn’t win in the playoffs. Some people were blaming Marty for the Vancouver series in ‘07 and he had 3 shutouts in that series, which was a record. And of course, let’s not get started on the ‘08 WCF and Marty’s inability to win in the Joe. According to some people, that is the sole reason the Stars lost that series. It had nothing to do with poor officiating or the fact that in all but one of the four games the Stars lost, they scored 1 goal. Unless you’re lucky enough for the other team to score 0, you are not going to win games scoring 1 goal.
The thing that worries me is how long is it going to be until Kari gets made a scapegoat? If goaltending is the only major change the Stars make, we’re still going to have the same problems, only people won’t have Marty to blame it on, so who is the next target? Kari – and he won’t deserve that, any more than Marty did.
It's no secret that I want him to stay, but other GMs must be looking at those numbers and thinking thoughts.
Turco says he wants to stay, wants to make another push for a Cup with Dallas. But Turco is also one of the highest paid netminders in the NHL right now. Remember when Ott said, “I want to stay with the team, but I have to entrust my future to the guys who represent me”? If Turco has the same/similar representation that got him this contract that’s ending right now, do we think Dallas can afford even the hometown discount?
Can Dallas address the underlying reason Turco takes more shots?
Is the D more comfortable hanging him out there than they were Auld because he’s “Marty-freaking-Turco” or is it that they have no idea what he will or won’t catch and don’t seem motivated to fight for him… any subconscious basis in the fact that he’s taking some of the blame that might otherwise fall on the D?
If that doesn’t get better, he might as well go because he deserves a chance to leave a NHL legacy commensurate with his skill.
Fans have nothing nice to say about him… it’s wrong (IMO), it’s stupid (IMO), but is keeping casual fans feeling like progress is afoot a reason for letting a dedicated, career-long Stars goalie leave when he could still contribute?
Puzzler: Say you’re a coach whose team acquires Turco. Say you’re facing the Stars. What do you do? Do you think Turco’s more rattled by that scenario than the small group of Stars veterans who’ve come of age in front of his net?
The Modano & Turco scapegoating convo leads to another quandary — does Morrow’s recovery period and his gold medal translate into a grace period of another year to work on these issues as captain? Not sure he has the leadership demeanor best suited to the team as it’s shaping up for next year, but his complete investment and involvement is so crucial that I’m guessing he’ll keep the C for next year?
I think any talk of Morrow not being Captain going forward is bull....
We’ve all seen him put this team on his back and everyone says year 2 is when you really come back from an injury like his. I think he’ll be fine next year and back to leading by example.
As for Turco and his people, you have to wonder how much a night like the closing game at the AAC will do for someone as classy as Turco. When he looks around and sees the respect and loyalty that the fans a) Gave him with all the the “We love Turco” signs I saw at the game and b) Gave to Modano for being a life long star and showing how much appreciation team loyalty buys. I think it would be amazing to see an athlete in these times to say I’ll take whatever you give me just use the rest to fix this team. I’ll show you what I can do with front support if you show your confidence in me. Let’s do this for one year and talk again next year. It’s probably not going to happen because that’s just the state of the market. There are a lot of teams that i will pay him top dollar and deservedly so. I just wonder how much money team loyalty is worth…. of course loyalty is a two way street, GM Joe.
Marty
I agree and said so before. I know Marty can be a number 1 somewhere, and I know that there is a bumper crop of decent goalies available…but frankly, I want two goalies that I know will win games and both push each other hard for games in net.
But they do need somebody that plays responsible defense and can hit a skater flying through the middle with a pass that gets out of the zone once in a while…






























