FanPost

Hockey is still a team game: A look at the Dallas Stars' Offense

(...or it's not just the goaltending and defense)

Editors Note: The following is a Fanpost made by our very fine community member TracyJean that we think deserves a little time on the front page for sure. Thanks, Tracy.

A look at the Dallas Stars' offensive output

The goaltending and defense have been beat to death the last two games - really, over the course of this season, so let's take a different tact in looking at why the Stars are losing hockey games.  It's time to look at the offense and their culpability in how the Stars have fared this season.

Offense wins hockey games, doesn't it?  Isn't that why Marc Crawford was hired, to bring his offensive-focused system to Dallas?  Your goaltender can have one of the best games of the year and still lose if the offense doesn't score any goals - after all, your goalie usually cannot help you with that apart from the odd assist (only 9 NHL goalies have ever been credited with scoring a goal).  Just look at the January 10th and February 4th games in Columbus as examples.  The goalie was on his game, but the offense was absent (Jan 10th) or almost completely absent (Feb 4th) and Dallas lost both games.  Last year, two of Marty Turco's three shutouts turned into shootout losses (against Phoenix on Jan 10th and Los Angeles on March 26th).

So let's take a look at the offensive output for this season and see how the Dallas Stars fare when they are scoring goals versus when they are not.  For the purposes of this analysis, I'm using 3 goals as the threshold, as that seems to be the number commonly thrown around as the number needed to win games.  Each month will be broken down by the number of games in which Dallas scored 3 or more goals versus the games in which the team scored 2 or less.

After the jump, Tracy breaks it down month by month...

October

Dallas played fourteen games during the month of October with an overall record of 6-3-5.  They scored 2 or fewer goals in three games, with losses coming in all three games (two regulation losses and one shootout loss).  3 or more goals were scored in the remaining ten games.  Dallas' record in those games?  6-0-4.  They got points out of all ten games, with six wins and four OT/SO losses.  October seems to prove the rule that offense wins games, or at least gets you points in games.

November

There were thirteen games played in November, with Dallas going 6-5-2.  The offensive output slacked off during November, with the Stars scoring 2 or fewer goals in nine of those games and 3 or more in only five games.   Once again, in games where Dallas scored 3+ goals, the team earned points in all five games, with four wins and one OT/SO loss.  The record in the nine games with 2 or fewer goals is a bit of an anomaly, with wins coming in two of those games (2-6-1).  The Nov 6th game against Vancouver (final score 2-1) and Nov 23rd game against Carolina (final score 2-0, Marty Turco's second shutout of the season) were both goalie duels, with both goaltenders being named Stars of the Game in both games.

December

Dallas was 6-3-4 in December over thirteen games played.   The offensive output went back up during December, as reflected in the record.  3+ goals were scored in nine games, with a record in those games of 6-1-2.  For the first time, Dallas lost a game in regulation in which it had scored at least three goals (Dec 16th at Carolina, final score 5-3).  Dallas was back to their losing ways in games during which they scored less than three goals, going 0-2-2 in four games.

January

Fifteen games were played in January, with Dallas going 6-9-0, in part due to the Stars' woeful road record - they won only one out of eight road games in January.  In games where Dallas scored less than three goals, they were blanked, going 0-6-0 (including three shutouts - ouch).  The record in games where Dallas scored three or more was an anomaly, with Dallas going 6-3-0.  In the first of those three losses, January 12th in Philadelphia, the score was actually 6-1 until late, when Steve Ott scored two garbage goals with less than eight minutes to go in the third.  In the next game in Montréal, the game was tied 3-3 until the Habs scored twice in the third.   In the Vancouver game on the 21st, the game was tied 2-2 going into the third, the Canucks scored twice, and then Trevor Daley pulled Dallas within one with three seconds left in the game.

February

Due to the Olympic break, Dallas only played six games in February, with a remarkable record of 4-1-1.  In all but one of those games, Dallas scored 3+ goals, going 4-0-1.  In the only game in which they scored less than three goals, Dallas lost the game.

March

Not much to be said about March.  One goal in each of the last two games, losses in both games.

The 2009-2010 season so far

Month

Games Played

<3 goals

Record

3+ goals

Record

October

14

3

0-3-1

10

6-0-4

November

13

9

2-6-1

4

3-0-1

December

13

4

0-2-2

9

6-1-2

January

15

6

0-6-0

9

6-3-0

February

6

1

0-1-0

5

4-0-1

March

2

2

0-2-0

0

0-0-0

 

 

 

 

 

 

Totals

63

25

2-19-4

38

26-4-8

 

Dallas has played 63 games as of last night, with a record of 28-23-12.  Fewer than three goals have been scored in 25 of those games, with a record in those games of 2-19-4.  That's 8 out of a possible 50 points in those games (.160 points percentage).  In the 38 games where 3+ goals have been scored, Dallas' record is 26-4-8, for 60 points (out of 76 possible; .789 points percentage).

There are other ways to look at the data.  How many of those games where Dallas scored less than three goals were one-goal games?  Six - four of which were OT/SO losses and two of which were regulation losses.  One more save in the OT losses and they are wins.  One more save in the regulation loss and it goes to overtime; two more and it's a win.  So yes, goal tending (and defense, by extension) is part of the problem.   They are not the only problem, however.  All of the pieces have to come together, and for the Dallas Stars, they are not right now.

This is a user-created FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of SB Nation or Defending Big D. FanPost opinions are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable hockey and Dallas Stars fans.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Defending Big D

You must be a member of Defending Big D to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Defending Big D. You should read them.

Join Defending Big D

You must be a member of Defending Big D to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Defending Big D. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker