3/15 Western Conference Playoff Race Update

We know that some people will never say die. They refuse to give up until it's over. They will never surrender. They were unperturbed when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor. So we present the following chart as a public service. I cleaned up the format of the table but unfortunately, I cannot fudge the numbers to make the Stars' playoff picture any rosier.

As of now, the cut line in the Western Conference is holding steady at 94 points. And if the playoffs started today, Detroit would get the nod over Calgary by virtue of a one point lead in the standings. If both teams maintain their current pace, Detroit would get the nod by that same one point margin.

Also please note, this is an analysis that is based solely on projections which can change from game to game. I will note, however, that the 94 point cut line has stayed consistent ever since the Olympics ended.

Now on to the projections. Before you do, you might want to drawn your sorrows with a pint of Guinness (I am part Irish after all)...

 

Rank Team Pts Remain 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
1 San Jose 28 20 17 10 9 7 5 0 Clinch
2 Chicago 28 22 19 12 11 9 7 2 0
3 Phoenix 26 Elim 24 17 16 14 12 7 5
4 Vancouver 28 Elim 26 19 18 16 14 9 7
5 Los Angeles 28 Elim Elim 21 20 18 16 11 9
6 Colorado 28 Elim Elim 22 21 19 17 12 10
7 Nashville 26 Elim Elim 25 24 22 20 15 13
8 Detroit 28 Elim Elim 28 27 25 23 18 16
9 Calgary 30 Elim Elim Elim 28 26 24 19 17
10 St. Louis 28 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim 23 21
11 Minnesota 28 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim 24 22
12 Dallas 28 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim 25 23
13 Anaheim 28 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim 26 24
14 Columbus 26 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim
15 Edmonton 28 Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim Elim

 

When the Olympics ended and I posted an update two weeks ago, the Stars magic number was 25 points out of 42 to at least put themselves into position to make the playoffs. Today, that figure is down to just 23 out 28.

Going on a run like that (.821), after not being able to win three games in a row all season long is starting to move from "unlikely" territory to something else entirely. Please use your own colorful adjective with offensive modifier.

One way to go .821 and get to 94 points is to go 9-0-5. So all they have to do is knock a few of those of those shootout losses out and they'll be well on their way, right?

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