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How Many Games Should Kari Lehtonen Start?

Now that it seems as if the Dallas Stars are going to be sticking with Marty Turco for the rest of this season, a couple more difficult situations present themselves. It's obvious that the Stars are doing their best to build this team not only for the future, but to also put them themselves in the best overall situation for this season as well. The fact that Marty Turco most likely had little to no trade value helped focus their decision-making, yet it's also a factor of the Stars placement in the standing heading out of the Olympic break.

So now that the Stars will be going with Marty Turco and Kari Lehtonen for the remainder of the season, it's now a question of just how much time will be split between the two goaltenders. Because with the Stars so obviously focused on success this season (as they should be), they also need to get their supposed Goaltender Of The Future onto the ice as well.

Star-divide

There is some hesitation however, in just throwing Lehtonen to the wolves. He has yet to play a game in the NHL this season and while he states that he is perfectly fine and healthy, there is certainly going to be an adjustment period for him. Yet if the Stars are truly vying for a playoff spot, they're going to want their best goaltender out on the ice at all times; despite Lehtonen being the future, right now for the Stars that's Marty Turco.

So there's a couple of ways this could play out.

First, Lehtonen gets the starts that would have naturally gone to Alex Auld. The month of March is going to be brutal for the Stars, as they play pretty much every other day for about 40 days straight. There are a few days off scattered about, but they're offset by a couple of back-to-back games. Using what we've seen this season from the Stars and Marc Crawford, generally Turco would start one game and then Auld (Lehtonen) would start the other. With 21 games remaining in the season, and two back-to-backs on the schedule, you'd most likely see something like a 16-5 split in favor of Turco.

There could also be a near-even split between the two, as the Stars work to get Lehtonen back into top playing form. This could result in a 13-8 or even 12-9 split, as there is very little time left in the season for the Stars to really evaluate just where Lehtonen stands as a Dallas Stars goaltender.

Remember, Lehtonen is going to be a restricted free agent this summer and the Stars have no other goaltenders under contract for next season. Even Matt Climie and Brent Krahn are scheduled to become unrestricted free agents. How Lehtonen performs for the remainder of the season, especially when every single game is so important, will give the team an idea of the type of backup they'll need to pursue. Even then, it's not a great projection of the player Lehtonen will be next season, but it's a good indicator of where he is overall.

The trade for Lehtonen was a gamble, and this is part of the chance that Nieuwendyk took when he made the trade. The Stars have absolutely no clue how he'll perform in the NHL after all of this time off; they'll need to get some idea before the offseason starts.

There are other factors that will go into playing time of course. Marty Turco could go back to his inconsistent play of December and January and force the Stars to play Lehtonen more, especially if they fall out of the playoff hunt. The opposite is true as well; Turco could play so well and the Stars get right into the thick of the standings that they'll have to ride him as much as they can. Hopefully, Lehtonen plays so well the Stars will have no choice but to give him more playing time.

No matter what situation the team finds themselves in, Kari Lehtonen is going to have to play. That was the reality the team bought for itself when they made the trade and put Auld on waivers. And there's a good chance that Lehtonen is going to struggle, and cost this team some valuable points in the playoff hunt. Yet no matter what that might cost them this season, Lehtonen is here for the future and the Stars have to get a good read on that future as soon as possible.

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Dear hockey gods

Please let Kari Lehtonen finally be healthy and if he cannot play lights out yet, let him at least play well enough to win some games for us. And please, please, please let Marty Turco continue to play lights out as he did before the Olympic break, even when the defense breaks down in front of him (as I am sure it will continue to do, because I am sure you cannot take care of everything). Please let our offense continue to score – one or two goals a night just does not cut it, as we’ve found out many times to our detriment. And please, if the defense must make mistakes, let us be able to recover from them so that those mistakes don’t end up in the back of our net. And please let the teams above us falter so that we can gain ground in the playoff race – I don’t know if we can take missing the playoffs two years in a row. And once we are in the playoffs, please let everything come together finally so that everyone is asking, “Damn, who is that team?”. Amen.

My fingers are crossed. My toes are crossed. I’ll sacrifice something on center ice at midnight if it will help. LOL.

by TracyJean on Feb 27, 2010 1:43 PM CST reply actions  

what a strange feeling

We are sitting in the “Olympic Break” and saying prayers over a goalie who hasn’t played in over a year! Bizarre, but that is where we are.

by KingPodda on Feb 27, 2010 1:53 PM CST reply actions  

Blame Nieuwendyk for that one.

And blame the rest of the team for being so consistent in their inconsistency that we have to pray over the rest of them.

by TracyJean on Feb 27, 2010 2:32 PM CST up reply actions  

OT but

do you have any information on Ottawa making a push for Robidas?

by modano9 on Feb 27, 2010 5:11 PM CST reply actions  

What legit Robidas trade rumors?? Why would the Stars consider trading top defenseman in hockey?

by robidasmvp on Feb 27, 2010 10:27 PM CST up reply actions  

I would imagine

That Turco is on a very short leash. Yeah, I know he’s been brilliant for the past two weeks, but two weeks does not rebuild 100% confidence in him. This move was for the future, and as you said, GM Joe would definitely want to see as much of how Kari performs as he can the rest of the season. I’d bet two or three bad games from Turco and Kari gets much more time in the net.

Because really, part of why we kept Turco around in the first place was to make a playoff push. If Turco plays a couple bad games in a row, the Stars could conceivably fall out of the race. The organization doesn’t want to risk that. They’ll ride their hot hand (Turco) as long as they can, but the minute it cools I’d bet we see a LOT more Kari.

This could all happen very fast.

"It would've been a huge momentum boost if we had beaten the St. Mary's School for the Blessed, Blind, Deaf and Dumb."

Hockey nut since the night of 5/2/08. What a night it was.

by Pat Iversen on Feb 27, 2010 6:28 PM CST reply actions  

How can he be on a short leash?

Lehtonen is always going to tell the media that he’s ready to go. That doesn’t mean that he is. I’ll be skeptical about his ability to play until the second he steps on the ice.

meta-signature

by rlb02a on Feb 27, 2010 8:14 PM CST up reply actions  

Well there's no doubt we don't know about Kari's health.

Which probably makes Joe more eager to see how he holds up, especially over a stretch of games. If Marty tanks a few key games in a row, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Stars give Kari a shot at an extended run in net. (Of course, that’s only if by then he’s played well in spot starts.)

I’m just saying that if we begin to fall out of the playoff race and Turco’s play is behind it, expect a lot more Kari the rest of the way.

"It would've been a huge momentum boost if we had beaten the St. Mary's School for the Blessed, Blind, Deaf and Dumb."

Hockey nut since the night of 5/2/08. What a night it was.

by Pat Iversen on Feb 27, 2010 8:22 PM CST up reply actions  

Couldn't agree more.

The best way to deal with this situation is to to play the hot hand, starting with Marty. If he continues on his tear, then you give Kari “Auld” game numbers. If Marty starts to falter, you give Kari a chance and see what he can do. Either he falters as well and we’re further out which likely won’t matter, or he steals a game or two and we’re back in the race. The stars have zero room for error so if Marty starts to slip you have to give Kari a chance to strut his stuff.

The entire rest of the season falls on Marty’s shoulders, but you make him earn his starts.

by LilEagle on Feb 27, 2010 11:59 PM CST up reply actions  

Go with Turco

Turco should start every 3 out of 4 remaining games, re-sign him if Turcos continues pace.

by robidasmvp on Feb 27, 2010 10:29 PM CST reply actions  

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