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Turns Out We're Not the Only Ones Who Think OEL's Stock is Rising

(h/t to Mark Stepneski)

Bob McKenzie just posted his final prospect rankings for the forthcoming draft. As expected, the top three consist of John Tavares, Victor Hedman, and Matt Duchene. Evander Kane and Brayden Schenn round out the Top 5.

But guess who's at #6?

6. OLIVER EKMAN-LARSSON

BTW, McKenzie's ratings have Nazem Kadri rates as the 8th highest draft prospect where the Stars are drafting. Magnus Paajarvi-Svenssen has dropped to 10 on this list.

It's a good read, but do keep this disclaimer in mind:

This is not a prediction of which team will take which prospect. In fact, when TSN puts its rankings together it doesn't even take into account the order of selection at the draft. It is a ranking based on consensus opinion from 10 NHL scouts surveyed by McKenzie, who has been using the same process and formula for draft rankings since he originated The Hockey News Draft Preview in 1984, over 25 years ago. And neither is it the personal or subjective opinion of McKenzie, who instead relies on the combined expertise of the scouts surveyed to calculate where prospects should be slotted on consensus from Nos. 1 through 60. Historically, it has been a good barometer of which players will be chosen in the first round.

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This guy has MSP at 10...

Exactly Brandon, this guy has MSP at 10, while every other journalist and drafting resource has him possibly being 2nd European skater taken and always in the top 8. This guy is way off; the other OEL ranks he used to make his decision? Ranks: 6,14,9,18,14. Clearly that averages out to 6th overall…

by Crazybob on Jun 22, 2009 1:27 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

He combines those rankings...

With interviews he conducted with other scouts as well. He has a formula, and the rankings aren’t based on opinion.

That being said, I take any player rankings from TSN with a big grain of salt.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.

by Brandon Worley on Jun 22, 2009 1:41 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

Hockey’s Future had MPS going 9th although I have seen a lot with him going from 4th-7th.

What I would note, as Brandon has, is that McKenzie also spoke with 10 actual NHL scouts. I am guessing that he weighed their opinions a bit more than the mock drafts you’ve seen.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jun 23, 2009 12:57 PM CDT up reply actions   0 recs

And now my own disclaimer...

When you get down to it, a draft in any sport is nothing more than an educated crapshoot.

Now did I suggest OEL is cut from the same mold as a Sergei Zubov? Guilty as charged.

Does that mean he’ll be the next Zubov? No way to tell until he plays against NHL caliber competition. Knowing what we know, I’d be fine with drafting OEL. Or MPS, or Jordan Schroeder, or Jared Cowen.

If they nab a guy like Kadri, I’ll just hope he shows more consistency at the NHL level than he’s shown in the OHL.

Defending Big D | TheStarsFans | But a Hawks fan since 1989

by Brandon Bibb on Jun 22, 2009 4:16 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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