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Dallas Stars free agency: Diving into the Star system

This afternoon my intention was to post a writeup on Jere Lehtinen and his chances of returning to the Dallas Stars, but I as I delved into that story I started to realize I haven't addressed exactly where the Stars stand roster-wise if they don't re-sign any of their free agents.

Once again, here is the full list of potential free agents after July 1st:

Player Pos 2008-2009 Type
Sergei Zubov D 5,350,000 UFA
Jere Lehtinen RW 4,000,000 UFA
Brendan Morrison C 2,750,000 UFA
Darryl Sydor D 2,500,000 UFA
Steve Begin C 1,057,000 UFA
Mark Fistric D 788,889 RFA
Joel Lundqvist C 725,000 UFA
Landon Wilson RW 550,000 UFA
Matt Climie G 650,000 RFA*
Aaron Gagnon C 625,000 RFA
John Lammers LW 618,333 RFA
Brent Krahn G 500,000 RFA
Chris Conner RW 500,000 RFA
Mark Parrish RW 500,000 UFA
Tobias Stephan G 485,000 RFA

*Arbitration eligible

Joel Lundqvist has already gone on the record as saying that the Stars will not make him on offer this summer.

So of course, the question for the Stars front office is to determine just how important signing these players is. Contracts and budgets are the main concern, but it also becomes an issue of how many veterans should the Stars try to keep at the expense of playing time for the younger guys?

If the team decides to let each unrestricted free agent test the open market once free agency starts, offers a contract to each restricted free agent (with the exception of Tobias Stephan) and keeps the rest of the current players on the roster, then the depth chart will look like this: (after the jump)

 

Star-divide

 

Forwards:

Left Wing Center Right Wing
Brenden Morrow Brad Richards Steve Ott
Fabian Brunnstrom Mike Ribeiro Brian Sutherby
James Neal Mike Modano Krys Barch
Loui Eriksson Toby Petersen

 

Defensemen:

Trevor Daley Stephane Robidas
Nicklas Grossman Matt Niskanen
Mark Fistric Andrew Hutchinson

 

Goalie:

Marty Turco

The Stars have a number of versatile, hard working forwards but are still not very deep in true scoring wingers, especially on the right wing. James Neal, Fabian Brunnstrom and Loui Eriksson all established themselves as legitimate offensive threats this past year and their play next season will be vital to the success of the team. But the Stars are significantly lacking scoring balance in their roster.

We've also seen what happens to this team when you take away the puck-moving, offensive defensemen. The Stars have a solid group of blue-collar blue-liners, but are without that "wow" defensemen that is usually key to putting a group over the edge from an average team to a great one.

And I think every single Stars fan is on the same page when it comes to backup goaltender. Either sign Jonas Gustavsson, or get a veteran in free agency.

So before turning towards our own free agents or looking towards the open market for help, the economical choice would be to promote from within the system (such as Eriksson two seasons ago). Here is who I think is in the Stars system that could make a push for time in the NHL this season (and a few who have already had significant time with the Stars):

Ivan Vishnevskiy, D, 21
Jamie Benn, LW, 19
Colton Sceviour, C, 20
Ray Sawada, RW, 24
John Lammers, LW, 23
Tom Wandell, C, 22
Chris Conner, RW, 25
Maxime Fortunus, D, 25
Tyler Shelast, RW, 24
Francis Wathier, LW, 24

While I wholeheartedly believe that Jamie Benn is going to be a great player for the Dallas Stars for a long time, don't count on him being the Stars offensive savior in 2009. He needs time with the Texas Stars of the AHL to get accustomed to the level of play in the NHL. Beyond Benn and Colton Sceviour, the Stars don't have any other true scoring forwards in the system. They have plenty of high-character, hard working young players that fit the mold of the Dallas Stars player of the past decade, but it's doubtful there is one that can step up next season and have the same impact as James Neal or Fabian Brunnstrom did in 2008-2009.

As far as an offensively-gifted defenseman, there is hope among the Stars faithful that Ivan Vishnevskiy can have a great summer and force his way onto the NHL team next season. After watching him for three games at the end of the season, there is definitely a high level of excitement around the gifted young player. He has the potential to be the next Sergei Zubov for the Stars; a defensive quarterback with great vision and dangerous a shot from the point. I would contend that Vishnevskiy already has the hardest shot in the entire Stars system. But the question that needs to be answered is whether he has the maturity and humility to take on the challenge of being "the next big thing" for the Dallas Stars, and take the lumps that will inevitiably come with the growing pains for a rookie season.

As I stated yesterday, don't expect the Stars to make a big splash in free agency. While we would all love for Les Jackson and Brett Hull to somehow nab Jay Bouwmeester on July 1st, I'm not holding my breath. The front office has stated several times that the team's budget will be under the salary cap, and Bouwmeester will be getting a pretty significant contract from whomever signs him.

Jere Lehtinen is most likely returning, he has stated he wants to, but it's all based on how much of salary cut he's willing to take. The same with Sergei Zubov. The rest of the free agents? Brendan Morrison is the only one I'd be willing to keep, especially with how he really started to make a difference later in the season.

It will be interesting to see what the Stars' plan is this summer when it comes to various free agents on their table. We'd all like to see a high-impact, big-name move, but it's just as likely that the Stars are willing to be patient and use the players that are already available to them in the system to fill the various holes on the roster.

So now I turn to you, the Dallas Stars fan. What would you like to see the Stars do this offseason with their free agents?

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If we brought back Morrison

where would he play? Right wing? The Stars already seem kinda deep at center, unless Morrison slots in the fourth line…

Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.

by jonthefon on May 22, 2009 6:32 PM CDT reply actions  

Bring Lehtinen back and let Vishnevsky start the year on the roster

Who is realistically going to place the pressure of the Stars franchise on Vishnevsky? Just let him come up, face stiffer competition, get better coaching, and play his game.

by hiafex on May 22, 2009 8:43 PM CDT reply actions  

I'd question your depth chart Brandon.

Brunnstrom and Eriksson will most likely play right wing. While again this lineup is left handed heavy these two are talented goal scorers and will be the top two on the right side.

As much as I love Steve Ott his breakout season doesn’t put him in line to surpass Morrow, Eriksson, Neal and Brunnstrom as far as top six wingers. Though the idea of him on the right side of Benn and Wandell next season would be very intriguing.

Morrow-Ribiero-Brunnstrom
Neal-Richards-Eriksson
Ott-Modano-Lehtinen
Sutherby-Peterson-Sawada

That’s my ideal lineup. I’d also love it if Vish comes in and proves he belongs so Dallas can trade Robidas and bring in a FA like Beauchemin or Leopold.

FA-Niskanen
Grossman-Vishnevskiy
Fistric-Daley
Hutchinson

With Zubov subbed for Vish if he’s healthy and able to play.

by Hull Fan on May 23, 2009 9:24 AM CDT reply actions  

Completely agree with you on the top 6 wingers...

This wasn’t about putting lines together, or who should be paired with whom. I just listed who the Stars had under contract for next season, and their listed position on the team’s roster. It was more meant to show just who the Stars will have available next year.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.

by Brandon Worley on May 23, 2009 10:00 AM CDT up reply actions  

Depends on what happens in camp.

I think Sawada starting the season with the Stars is a possibility. He’s a high-energy, skilled fourth liner that has value in that role for the Stars. Plus, it would give some of the younger players development time in the AHL before being called up.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.

by Brandon Worley on May 23, 2009 10:20 AM CDT up reply actions  

He didn't seem that skilled to me

But you probably know waaaay more about him than I do

by hiafex on May 23, 2009 11:57 AM CDT up reply actions  

"Skilled" is relative in this case.

He’s probably never going to be more than a tenacious checking line winger. But he does have the ability to score goals, loves to play along the boards and can cause problems with his speed and size.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.

by Brandon Worley on May 23, 2009 1:36 PM CDT up reply actions  

If my choices are rush Benn

who I do not want in a 4th line slot, Barch or Sawada give me Sawada. He at least has some hands and could conceivably play more than five minutes a night. It’s not that I’m high on Sawada it’s that I’m so low on Barch and have no desire to waste development time with Benn, Roman, Wandell, Korostin, or Sceviour on the guy who gets the least ice time on the team.

by Hull Fan on May 24, 2009 1:24 AM CDT up reply actions  

Exactly.

Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.

by Brandon Worley on May 24, 2009 2:22 AM CDT up reply actions  

I'd Swap Lehts and Fabian

Fabian, although greatly gifted offensively, is far too much of a defensive liability to play on the top line. If you put him on a line with Mo and Otter he’s going to be forced to learn defense, not to mention the scoring punch that line would possess given Mo’s hands and Otter’s 08-09 campaign. I know Mo hates playing with Fabian specifically for the reason he’s such a defensive liability, but I think another season with the two of them together would work tremendously for Fabian’s development.

by LilEagle on May 25, 2009 7:52 PM CDT up reply actions  

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