Dallas Stars October In Review: Searching for an Identity
Today and tomorrow we're going to be taking a look at the past month for the Dallas Stars, both from a stats analysis point of view as well as a breakdown of each area of the Stars game. This morning we're going to start off with a general impression of the Stars so far, and where we think this team may be headed moving forward.
This past weekend as I watched film on most of the Stars game so far this season, one thing became readily apparent as you looked at the month as a whole: these Dallas Stars are missing something. It's not a scientific analysis, more of a feel you get once you start watching games back to back. I don't even know exactly what that something is, otherwise this would be a completely different article. What I can say is that through one month and 13 games the Dallas Stars have rarely been consistent, looking unbeatable one game and painfully mediocre the next.
The record isn't bad and the Stars are in much, much better shape than they were at this time last season. Through 14 games in 2008, the Stars were 5-7-2 and in 14th in the Western Conference; through 13 games this season they are 6-3-5 and in 6th in the West. For all of the frustrations of the first month of the season, the Stars are still in great position in the conference and the division. They can survive this past mini-slump, which will happen in a season, and move forward with nothing but a sour memory of a few games gone wrong. The trick is to not let this slump draw itself out.
And that's where my concern lies.
The Dallas Stars currently have no identity as a team. A group of players that were entrenched in a very particular system for a number of years and now have been asked to change; it's not a drastic change, but it's obviously been enough to have this team become painfully inconsistent through 13 games.
Changing coaches and systems is not a new concept in any sport, but it's how the coach teaches and implements the change and how receptive the players are is the key to success. Marc Crawford didn't walk into Dallas with a need to rebuild from the ground up. He has a very good core group of players and he's putting his own touch on how they operate as a team. The Stars have shown the offensive ability to seemingly score at will, as the defensmen have become much more comfortable with getting in on the attack and crashing the net from the blue line. They've shown resilience and grit as they fight though bad nights to get a much needed point, and have seemed to be able to muster that one last push (and score) that we haven't seen in past seasons.
Yet we've also seen a team that has a tendency to play flat and without energy for long stretches during a game, and has had trouble establishing pressure early in games at home. Some games the Stars try to be a run and gun offensive powerhouse, others the Stars attempt to assert physical dominance along the boards. Some games the teams seems incapable of connecting on simple passes out of the zone and in transition, others the Stars spend long stretches cycling the puck in the offensive zone.
The defense is in drastic need of a puck-moving defenseman to counter Stephane Robidas. Trevor Daley is slowly starting to come around offensively, but a true number one he is not. Robidas does his best every night to set the example but this team desperately needs a big defenseman that can push the puck up ice and establish physical dominance in front of the net. Those aren't easy to come by, but it's frustrating to see the Stars sit this far under the cap and not be able to at least attempt to acquire one over the summer.
Perhaps this team is struggling with a lineup that is constantly in flux, between injuries and suspensions, while also learning on the fly as they adapt to the style of play Crawford wants. The inconsistency could be explained by a lack of chemistry on a night by night basis. The absence of Mike Modano for this long is also clearly hurting this team. His leadership and experience on the third line has become invaluable, and while he is far from the player he was just four or five years ago, there's no doubt that his ability to create chances and score at any moment would change the dynamic of the team. Tom Wandell has performed admirably in his absence and has improved week to week, but a Mike Modano he is not.
Yet to me, watching these games it seems there may be a good answer for why this team has been inconsistent: Brenden Morrow is still not himself.
The Dallas Stars feed off of Brenden Morrow. He is one the best leaders in the NHL and when he is playing at the top of his game this team is nearly unstoppable. He is a scoring threat at any time, has great offensive anticipation and is one of the more physical forwards on the team. Yet he's nowhere near the level we've come to expect from Morrow over the years, and that's to be expected. He's returning from a serious injury where most say that it takes over a year to fully heal from. He started strong but has faded in recent games and doesn't seem to have the jump and energy others around him feed of. It most likely isn't the knee that is bothering him either; his legs and body are still trying to get back in hockey shape after spending so much time in rehab.
The good news is that the Stars are not a bad team or even a mediocre one. They have the talent and ability to do some good things this season, make the playoffs and then anything can happen. We're only 13 games into a very long season, and the Stars have managed to do well enough to be able to get by while struggling with consistency. There is talk of the Marc Crawford juggling the lines a bit as he attempts to jolt his team out of the lull they find themselves in, and perhaps that is the best next step. We've seen flashes of brilliance but only rarely have we seen the team as whole play together up and down each line.
It's a long road ahead and we've seen some good things. This is the time to work the kinks out and determine just what kind of team the Dallas Stars will be this season.
One month down, five and half more to go.
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I would like to see how they play
With Modano and Lehts back in for a few games. I think the biggest thing needed right now is some smart defense, and let’s not forget how good these two are at backchecking.
That being said, if their return doesn’t make a drastic and consistent improvement to the flatness of the Stars game, it might be time to start shopping around for a D-man who can hold his own. Maybe there will be a team looking to make room in their cap, and we can pick one up without a huge trade going the other way. We’re far enough under the cap right now, it’s plausible.
Except the only thing I think will let that happen this season would be if Hicks is able to sell the Rangers for the $600 million that he’s asking, and he decides to slack off oon his own imposed salary cap. Let’s keep our fingers crossed…
Right now it certainly seems that's direction the Stars need to go
If the Stars hold serve and sit at 6th-9th in the West, then I can definitely see the Stars attempting to make a move for one. But what are you willing to give up?
Jamie Benn?
James Neal?
Niskanen and Fistric?
Scott Glennie?
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by Brandon Worley on Nov 2, 2009 1:26 PM CST up reply actions
That's why my hope is
there will be a team looking to dump some cap space. While I hope that Lehts and Modano can help make a difference, I honestly don’t believe it will solve the real issues at hand.
As far as who to give up, how bout Niskanen and a conditional pick? I’m not sure if I would be willing to trade anyone else. Maybe throw in a Brunnstrom too, but at this point, I don’t think he has much trade value.
I wouldn’t trade any of our other young ones though. For the first time since I can remember, this team looks impresive and young. It’s usually only one or the other. Other than that, I think the only thing we can do is hold tight, get them some playoff experience, and see how they grow next year.
I think if the Stars have any real shot at the cup, it will have to be this season or the next two…
You can’t get rid of Neal or Benn. They’re the future of the team.
If anyone goes, I say Niskanen. I just haven’t been very impressed with him. Last year I blamed it on a sophomore slump, but he doesn’t really have an excuse this time around. He worries me every time he’s on the ice.
Dallas Stars 4 Life: Stars Blogging From Hockeyville, Iowa
by Brad_Richards_Rocks on Nov 3, 2009 11:03 AM CST up reply actions
I can’t figure a way to ask this without sounding mean, but it is a legit question and I know that I don’t mean to sound mean. But, when do y’all give up on Lehtinen being the cure? 48 games last year. 48 the year before. 2 this year.
I hate seeing a guy who has given so much to a team his whole career just be tossed away, but realistically, what can he expected to do?
No
It’s a very fair point. I think when the Stars signed Lehts and when Lehts re-signed, both sides pretty much knew that whatever he was going to give them this year had to be considered gravy.
Defending Big D Free to use and easy to join, as well as easy to use and free to join!
TheStarsFans Like your neighborhood bar, but alot drunkier
YNWA Because do you really want to root for ManU?
by Brandon Bibb on Nov 2, 2009 12:37 PM CST up reply actions
Lehtinen
I agree with schtimpy- it’s not so much that the team seems to expect more when he’s back but that the fans seem to think it will suddenly solve their problems. Really? Two nearly 40 year old 3rd liners are going to fix the team?
I’d love for that to happen, but I agree that the team needs a strong, puck moving defenseman. I think at this point, Hicks should realize that it would be a good investment decision as well because the fans are just not coming out in droves yet.
Brandon (and others),
You use the terms jump and energy so much that it seems a little disingenuous for you to state that you don’t really know what is missing from the Stars. Do you really think that lack of jump and energy is a pervasive problem for the Stars? If not, why don’t you refrain from using these terms continuously?
I think they need that defenseman you talk about and they need for their experienced players to be healthier. On occasion, missing those pieces causes the team’s execution to make it look like the energy and jump is low. They need for their younger defensemen to execute better. They need for Brendan to regain his form.
Even though I concede that different factors make the team look sloppy and slow, my diagnosis does not call the individual’s integrity into question and there is no great drama in my assessment.
Try this approach, you might actually enjoy it.
I mentioned energy twice in this article
Once when talking about Morrow, and another when talking about the stretches the Stars go through where the team as whole slows down, don’t skate and the passes stop connecting. The players start reaching without skating, the passes are lazy and the puck becomes hot potato.
There’s two main issues with the Stars right now: execution and a lack of sustained energy. This isn’t baseball, where the game is methodically broken down into specific plays. Hockey is a game of ENERGY…if the team is slow, without passion and just skating around, that is a big issue. What causes this to happen? Is it the lack of execution? Are the players tired? Are they not focused?
Even Brent Severyn acknowledged that he’s baffled why the Stars come out so flat at home. Because that’s what’s happening. Sure, the lack of chemistry doesn’t help and once the Stars start to gel together I’m sure we’ll see the game start playing faster for them.
But I’m not saying a lack of energy is the only thing wrong with this team and it’s the end -all answer. But it’s certainly an issue. Do I want the Stars to play with reckless abandon? But seeing the Stars get beaten to the puck, get beaten along the boards and be unable to control any play in front of their net is frustrating, and at times the Stars look to just be floating around, reaching with their sticks and not fighting for the puck.
I don’t how I can quantify that with stats and film (because I tried to do a film review on this subject, but that’s a bit tough to do), but we’ll see what we can do for you.
And thanks for the tip.
Defending Big D: A Dallas Stars blog on SBN: easy to use, free to join.
by Brandon Worley on Nov 2, 2009 3:46 PM CST up reply actions
I think the majority of us
are on the same page as you, Brandon.
We’ll just have to wait and see how the team develops… but we can’t wait for too long. I think if they are still up an down by game 40, the front office is going to have to make a move of some sort.
And hopefully they’ll step it up for the 4 home games during Thanksgiving week, since I just bought tickets to them.
Brandon,
the energy/jump arguments tend to just be code for “they’re not trying”, or “they just don’t care” or the dreaded “I could do better than that myself”. If you don’t admit that that’s true, you haven’t sat around a bunch of hockey fans for very long.
I’m not saying that you mean this in this context but I feel no what the writer means when saying these things, its just a negative statement of the players personal ethics and really adds drama to the discussion that is unneeded.
I was afraid that this blog would turn out to be the same old emotional “they just don’t care enough” arguments when things don’t go well. Also, there’s often a contrarion feel to a lot the statements to protect the poster from having any homer type image reflected on them. Face it, you’re a homer of some sort to even be posting
If you don’t have patience, you aren’t able to accurately reflect on a hockey season. The Stars have played to win 1-0 for their whole existence in Dallas before this year and now winning 60% of the points available while converting to way most of the world plays hockey is just not fast or good enough to most of you.
BTW, all participants in pro hockey have been indoctrinated by the coach speak of “play harder, have jump, etc”. So Severyn saying that he’s baffled is not really a statement of truth from on high. Coaches work in this fashion because I’m not sure that they can do anything else but yell even when the problem is the schedule or the ice makes the puck jump over your stick.
I am not sure what you are trying to say, but assuming you have watched some of the games this year there has been a noticeable difference in the overall play of the team after a big shift by Ott or Morrow.
The Stars have had a lot of stretches where they seem to be just trying to flip the puck out of the offensive zone instead of making plays, and not out skating the opposition to the puck. Then Morrow or Ott will throw 2-3 big hits, make plays and get a shot on goal, and suddenly the team is skating harder as well as executing when coming out of the defensive zone.
I have a couple of games sitting on my Media Center PC, i’ll see if I can’t extract a clip showing this to you if you haven’t seen it, but it is certainly an issue the Stars need to work on, as they can’t coast every night until someone makes them feel like “working”
Dear Mr. McGee48c,
After analyzing your previous comments I have found a recurring theme. You zero in on one phrase or term, develop an opinion, regale us with your opinion and then fail to acknowledge anything else in the post or comments that refute or explain anything contrary to your opinion. How disingenuous and contrariant of you.
Let’s cut to the chase. What is your real purpose behind commenting here? If you are here to talk about the Stars and the specific postings, then comment on them. If you are here to prove to us what a superior thinker and writer you are then, perhaps this is not the place for you. We are here to talk hockey, not ridicule each other’s writing skills.
Or even better, perhaps you should write a fanpost, yourself, and show us all how a post should be written. Or would that be beneath you? As the old saying goes, "Those that can do, those that can’t…..criticize?
Supporting your local ice troll, 24/7/365
You forget, we’re all homers here, so therefore our judgment and ability to reason is clouded. By disagreeing with him, you are a homer, so therefore we both lose. His logic is inescapable, he wins the internet!
Fair enough
But if the topic was on Brad Richards, then you would be a homer. So, umm Richards has played… umm well, fairly well actually. I’m going to go sit back down now.
Hargh!
Well, I do defend my boy… to a point. I’m actually painfully honest when it comes to my players. Last year, he player like crap. Last game, he was slow. He “earned” a point, but mostly he was on another planet.
Overall though, yeah, B-Rad been awesome. w00T! Feels great to see after the last two seasons of illness, injury, and overall WTF BRAD!??!?!
laughs2loud
You put it much more eloquently than I ever could have… I’m glad you responded to that before I did. “Shut up, you moron,” was the first thing that had popped into my head, but your response is much better I think :-)
I don't know about the rest of you,
but I’ll take this inconsistent start over last year’s slow one.
Dallas Stars 4 Life: Stars Blogging From Hockeyville, Iowa
by Brad_Richards_Rocks on Nov 3, 2009 11:08 AM CST reply actions
Two things I see that need work from the first part of the season
1. Penalty Kill has looked lost most of the time, it’s starting to get better, but so far it’s been a weakness
2. Leaving the zone has been weak, they seem to be just dumping the puck to the neutral zone and hoping someone will win the race, which no one is, or they pass it into empty space. When they actually execute a breakout they are making progress. They also do the same thing in the neutral zone where they toss the puck into open space.
Mike Modano
I disagree that Modano is far from the player he was 4 or 5 years ago. Maybe 10-15 years ago, but he’s still got that scoring ability and is a good playmaker as well. He’s all around you could say.
If the stars had won those shootouts they would be even more ahead. It’s too bad they didn’t and have lost all 4 shootouts so far. I am an optimistic stars fan and believe this year we will make the playoffs and if we don’t win the cup, we will be very close to have won it. GO STARS!!!
- from the #1 stars fan in saskatchewan
Morrow
I don’t think Morrow is up to 100%. I know when Nieuwy came back from double knee surgeries, it took him a while to get his legs back. You can be 100% medically cleared but you have to play in games – not practice or gym time – to get your game legs back underneath you.
I think the thing that makes Modano and Lehts so important, is that they, like all great players, make the players around them play BETTER.
I’ve been the first to criticize this team for its inconsistency. And I stand by that critique. However, I will say I thought last year this team was too complacent and comfortable. I think Joe wanted to shake up the country club atmosphere. It would appear he’s done that. I think that as painful as this has been to watch (b/c losing in the SO sucks – even with the point), the adversity will help this team grow.
There’s a lot to love about this team though, like our youth. I love that we have young Stars who are performing well – especially James Neal – love that kid. I do wish Brunnstrom was a bit stronger when he doesn’t have the puck.
I am just hoping Brendan gets back to 100% soon and can take control of this team. They seem lost and looking for that one guy to step up and take ownership. As the captain, I think that needs to be Morrow.
I must have this thing for hockey boys from Whitby with the initials JN.

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